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RetailImpactofRaisingTobaccoSalesAgeto21Years <br />The majority of tobacco <br />use emerges in individuals <br />beforetheyreach21yearsof <br />age, and many adult distrib- <br />utors of tobacco to youths <br />are young adults aged be- <br />tween 18 and 20 years. <br />Raising the tobacco sales <br />minimum age to 21 years <br />across the United States <br />would decrease tobacco re- <br />tailer and industry sales by <br />approximately2%butcould <br />contribute to a substantial <br />reduction in the prevalence <br />of youths’ tobacco use and <br />dependency by limiting ac- <br />cess. (Am J Public Health. <br />2014;104:e18–e21. doi:10. <br />2105/AJPH.2014.302174) <br />Jonathan P. Winickoff, MD, MPH, Lester Hartman, MD, MPH, Minghua L. Chen, MD, MPH, Mark Gottlieb, JD, <br />Emara Nabi-Burza, MBBS, MS, and Joseph R. DiFranza, MD <br />RECENT RESEARCH HAS HIGH- <br />lighted the susceptibility of the <br />young adult brain torapid nicotine <br />addiction.1,2 While individuals are <br />still experimenting with tobacco <br />use and before they are aware of <br />their own level of addiction, they <br />first want, then crave, then need <br />cigarettes, at which point they are <br />unable to quit. <br />1 Individuals who <br />begin smoking at a young age are <br />more likely to become addicted, <br />progress to daily smoking, become <br />heavier tobacco users as adults, <br />and have difficulty quitting. <br />3,4 <br />The US Surgeon General has <br />expressed concern about the po- <br />tential long-term cognitive effects <br />of exposure to nicotine during <br />brain development with the potential <br />for lasting adverse consequences. <br />5 <br />For many years, public health <br />strategies focused on preventing <br />the onset of nicotine addiction by <br />relying on the strict enforcement <br />of laws that prevent the sale of <br />tobacco to minors younger than <br />18 years. Indeed, successful ef- <br />forts to limit tobacco access of <br />minors by disrupting the sale of <br />tobacco to minors have made an <br />important contribution toward <br />reductions in the prevalence of <br />tobacco use among minors. <br />6 <br />A factor that might limit the <br />impact of preventing the sale of <br />tobacco to minors is the fact that, <br />in most communities, 18- to <br />20-year-olds who can legally pur- <br />chase cigarettes provide them to <br />younger friends and family mem- <br />bers.7 The majority (59%) of <br />18- and 19-year-olds have been <br />asked by someone younger than <br />18 years to buy cigarettes for <br />them.8 Also, high-school students <br />are less likely to have 21-year-old <br />adults than 18- to 20-year-old <br />adults in their social circles, sug- <br />gesting reduced opportunities to <br />access tobacco from older buyers. <br />9 <br />Inhibiting this well-established <br />distribution cycle provides one <br />rationale for increasing the legal <br />age for tobacco sales to 21 years. <br />Another rationale stems from <br />the 2012 Surgeon General’s re- <br />port finding that almost 90% of <br />smokers in the United States be- <br />gan smoking before the age of 21 <br />years.4,10 The report concludes <br />that if young people can remain <br />free of tobacco, most will never <br />start to smoke. Currently, people <br />who reach the age of 21 years <br />as a nonsmoker have a minimal <br />chance of ever becoming a smoker. <br />For these reasons, there is interest <br />in extending the benefits of re- <br />stricting tobacco sales to individ- <br />uals younger than 21 years. <br />RECENT CHANGES IN US <br />TOBACCO SALES AGE LAWS <br />In consideration of the potential <br />beneficial public health impact <br />of raising the tobacco sales age <br />to 21 years, some US cities and <br />counties (New York City; Suffolk <br />County, NY; Hawaii County, HI; <br />and Needham, Arlington, Sharon, <br />Canton, Ashland, Wellesley, Dedham, <br />Dover, Norwood, Scituate, West <br />Boylston, Hudson, Winchester, <br />Wakefield, Reading, and Melrose <br />counties, MA) have already ap- <br />proved legislation for raising the <br />age to 21 years, and other cities, <br />counties, and states are making <br />legislative or regulatory efforts to <br />approve similar proposals. With <br />a single exception, all of these <br />measures were adopted in either <br />2013 or 2014. Clearly, the idea <br />of increasing the minimum to- <br />bacco sales age to 21 years has <br />momentum.11 <br />The tobacco industry and re- <br />tailers argue that raising the sales <br />age to 21 years will significantly <br />hurt businesses that depend on <br />tobacco sales. <br />12,13 We sought to <br />determine the proportion of the <br />current legal tobacco market (‡18 <br />years) that is consumed by18- to <br />20-year-old smokers to determine <br />the potential impact to retailers if <br />the tobacco sales age of 21 years <br />was universally implemented and <br />enforced. <br />We obtained self-reported data <br />regarding cigarette consumption <br />by age from the 2011 National <br />Health Interview Survey (NHIS). <br />The survey includes both citizen <br />and noncitizen noninstitutional- <br />ized civilian American house- <br />holds. We analyzed data from <br />33014 respondents who were <br />asked questions about smoking <br />in the NHIS Sample Core Adult <br />Health Behavior Section (‡18 <br />years) database. Current smokers <br />were identified as having smoked <br />at least 100 cigarettes in their <br />lifetime and still smoking when <br />surveyed. We sought to calculate <br />the volume of cigarette products <br />consumed by individuals, between <br />the ages of 18 and 20 years. Be- <br />cause the data were derived from <br />self-reported cigarettes smoked, <br />it accounts for any tobacco used to <br />“roll your own,”as well as small <br />cigars that are functionally iden- <br />tical to cigarettes. Tobacco con- <br />sumed by 15- to 17-year-old <br />smokers was not included as sales <br />to this population are already <br />illegal under federal law. <br />PUBLIC HEALTH POLICY BRIEFS <br />e18 |Public Health Policy Briefs |Peer Reviewed |Winickoff et al.American Journal of Public Health |November 2014, Vol 104, No. 11