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05-13-2020 Council Packet
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05-13-2020 Council Packet
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20 <br />Financial Feasibility Study <br />The Financial Feasibility Study (the “Forecast”) attached hereto in “APPENDIX B - <br />FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY STUDY” prepared by the Borrower and examined by CliftonLarsonAllen <br />LLP, Minneapolis, Minnesota, for the ______ years ending September 30, 2020 through September 30, <br />20___, is based upon assumptions made by the Borrower. No assurance can be given that the results <br />described in the Forecast will be achieved. The Borrower does not intend to issue an updated Forecast <br />and, accordingly, there are risks inherent in using the Forecast in the future as it becomes outdated. The <br />Forecast is only for Fiscal Years ending September 30, 2020 through September 30, 20___ and does not <br />cover the entire period during which the Series 2020 Bonds may be outstanding. See “THE FINANCIAL <br />FEASIBILITY STUDY” and “APPENDIX B - FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY STUDY” in this Official <br />Statement. <br />No guaranty can be made that the Forecast will correspond with the results actually achieved in <br />the future by the Borrower because there is no assurance that actual events will correspond with the <br />assumptions made by the Borrower. Actual operating results of the Borrower may be affected by many <br />factors, including, but not limited to, increased costs, changes in demographic trends, and local and <br />general economic conditions. The Forecast relates to the forecasted operations of the Borrower and does <br />not include any information regarding the Limited Guarantor. The Forecast, which appears in <br />“APPENDIX B - FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY STUDY” in this Official Statement, should be read in its <br />entirety. <br />Competition and Reliance on Market Information in the Financial Feasibility Study <br />The ultimate success of the Project and the ability of the Borrower to meet all of its obligations <br />with respect to the Project, including the timely payment of principal of and interest on the Series 2020 <br />Bonds, depends on the existence of adequate demand for units in the Project. There is market study <br />information included in the Forecast with respect to the Project and its market area. There are no <br />guarantees that actual demand exists or will continue to exist which support the assumptions in the <br />Forecast regarding the market area for the Project. The Borrower is not aware of any material changes to <br />the information included in the Forecast. The Borrower faces competition from other existing facilities of <br />a similar nature to the Project and may face additional competition in the future if new facilities are <br />constructed in the market area of the Project that are of a similar nature to the Project. The Forecast has <br />identified _____ competing independent senior rental housing facilities and _____ competing skilled <br />nursing care facilities in the primary market area for the Project. As shown in the Forecast, affiliates of <br />the Limited Guarantor own and operate ___ independent living facilities (with ___ units) and ___ skilled <br />nursing facilities (with ___ licensed beds) in the market area of the Project. Actual occupancy of the <br />Project in the future may vary from conclusions in the Forecast, which variance may be material and <br />adverse. If, among other things, actual occupancy of the Project is materially lower or rental rates for the <br />Project are materially less than assumed by the Borrower, actual revenues for the Project will be less than <br />projected, and perhaps materially less. Any shortfall in such revenues could adversely affect the ability of <br />the Borrower to provide for payment in full of the Series 2020 Bonds. See “APPENDIX B - <br />FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY STUDY” in this Official Statement for more information with respect to <br />competition in the primary market area for the Project. <br />Construction and Lease-Up Risks Relating to the 2020 Project <br />Construction of any community such as the Project is subject to risks of cost overruns and delays <br />due to a variety of factors including, among other things, site difficulties, labor strife, delays in an <br />shortages of materials, weather conditions, fire and casualty. Any delay in completion of the 2020 Project <br />may materially adversely affect the timely receipt of Borrower revenues, including but not limited to
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