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Tax Increment Revenue Estimates <br /> <br /> Scenario 1: <br />$80/SF <br />Scenario 2: <br />$90/SF <br /> <br />Existing ‘Base’ Land Value $469,200 $469,200 <br /> <br />Estimated Total Taxable Value $6,429,200 $7,174,200 <br /> <br />Estimated annual available increment (full buildout) $86,848 $97,773 <br /> <br />Total gross tax increment (9 years) $890,908 $1,001,892 <br />City retainage (10%) $89,091 $100,191 <br />Net amount available for development (90%) $801,817 $901,701 <br /> <br />Estimated Present Value Revenues (9 Years) at 4% $609,368 $685,322 <br /> <br />Developer Pro forma Analysis including But-For <br />Upon approval of a TIF district and project, the City must make several findings, including the “but for” test: that <br />the proposed development would not reasonably be expected to occur solely through private investment within <br />the reasonably foreseeable future. The developer has stated that but for the provision of tax increment <br />financing, the project as proposed would not occur. The developer has provided preliminary financial <br />information that includes total development costs and supporting due diligence materials that illustrate an <br />approximate $1,023,000 gap due to increased costs of the project relating to site development and other soils <br />correction costs. Ability to support the total project costs would be subject to financial feasibility and availability <br />of annual revenues to support repayment, as well as willingness of a lender to provide funding. <br /> <br />Based on the developer’s stated position relative to the need for tax increment financing assistance, the City <br />could make its “but for” finding and provide tax increment assistance. We recommend, however, that the City <br />review the provided assumptions to consider if the project meets the but-for test and, if so, what an appropriate <br />level and type of TIF assistance may be based on the information submitted by the developer. Following <br />thorough evaluation of the project as provided allows the City to be prepared to make an informed “but -for” <br />decision based on the likelihood of the project needing assistance, as well as the appropriate level of <br />assistance. As stated previously, the developer’s request for financial assistance of $1,023,000 is more than <br />the projected available tax increment revenues generated by the project. As a result, any level of financial <br />assistance provided would be less than what has been requested. In addition, the City may have additional <br />public improvements that may be required as related to development of the proposed project site. <br /> <br />To complete the but-for analysis, we will review the developer’s provided sources and uses of funds and <br />operating proforma, showing a result if the developer received the assistance as pay-as-you-go (reimbursement <br />for TIF eligible costs) and showing a result if the developer did not receive assistance. Our analysis of the <br />proformas included a review of the development budget, projected operating revenues and expenditures, and <br />the project’s capacity to support annual debt service payments. The purpose of evaluating the operating <br />proformas is to understand the potential cash flow performance and projected rates of return of the project over <br />a 10-year period to assist with making the determination that 1) tax increment assistance is necessary and 2) <br />an appropriate level of assistance will be provided. <br /> <br />An additional measure of project need and financial feasibility is the Debt Coverage Ratio (DCR), which is a <br />calculation detailing the ratio by which operating income exceeds the debt -service payments for the project. If <br />the DCR is greater than 1.0 it indicates the project has operating income that is greater than the debt-service <br />payment by some margin; conversely if the DCR is less than 1.0 it indicates the project is incapable of meeting <br />its debt-service payment and would need to seek additional revenue sources in order to pay its debt. Typical <br />lending standards will require a DCR of greater than 1.0 as a measur e of cushion in the event actual revenues <br />and expenses are different than projected. <br /> <br />The amount of financing available for the project is typically based on net operating income, which is lease <br />revenues less operating expenses. The annual cash flow is based on assumptions relative to lease revenues,