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<br />WSB
<br />Pavement Management Report
<br />Page X20
<br />TARGET PCI DRIVEN MODEL
<br />Three scenarios were run to determine the budget required to maintain or achieve a certain target PCI. Models
<br />ran include decreasing to a PCI of 65, maintaining current PCI (71.32), increasing to a PCI of 75. Maximum iteration
<br />was employed for each model to achieve the most accurate results, with no condition tolerance.
<br />Table IVc. Annual budget required to maintain desired condition rating.
<br />Year
<br />65 PCI
<br />Maintain Current PCI
<br />75 PCI
<br />2018
<br />$2,164,204
<br />$2,596,375
<br />$2,975,384
<br />2019
<br />$2,164,705
<br />$2,591,058
<br />$2,977,368
<br />2020
<br />$2,159,715
<br />$2,589,842
<br />$2,976,986
<br />2021
<br />$2,158,969
<br />$2,593,401
<br />$2,976,239
<br />2022
<br />$2,155,974
<br />$2,562,111
<br />$2,948,787
<br />2023
<br />$2,157,451
<br />$2,577,644
<br />$2,939,425
<br />2024
<br />$2,120,846
<br />$2,554,443
<br />$2,974,845
<br />2025
<br />$2,164,801
<br />$2,596,961
<br />$2,975,335
<br />2026
<br />$2,159,990
<br />$2,579,632
<br />$2,966,675
<br />2027
<br />$2,150,392
<br />$2,595,832
<br />$2,973,715
<br />2028
<br />$2,160,778
<br />$2,587,333
<br />$2,976,734
<br />2029
<br />$2,163,895
<br />$2,593,600
<br />$2,974,830
<br />2030
<br />$2,151,566
<br />$2,583,764
<br />$2,939,283
<br />2031
<br />$2,164,796
<br />$2,596,533
<br />$2,981,384
<br />2032
<br />$2,162,524
<br />$2,596,594
<br />$2,981,519
<br />2033
<br />$2,164,330
<br />$2,596,774
<br />$2,981,235
<br />2034
<br />$2,161,290
<br />$2,596,781
<br />$2,979,862
<br />2035
<br />$2,164,013
<br />$2,596,995
<br />$2,981,382
<br />2036
<br />$2,163,878
<br />$2,597,268
<br />$2,981,718
<br />2037
<br />$2,162,397
<br />$2,596,801
<br />$2,978,314
<br />Average
<br />$2,158,826
<br />$2,588,987
<br />$2,972,051
<br />Total
<br />$43,176,513
<br />$51,779,743
<br />$59,441,020
<br />The results above show budget representation annually and that differs from the City's reconstruction budget that
<br />is bonded every 3 years. Although the budgets could not be compared directly, the average and total annual
<br />budget over a period of 20 years could be compared to determine if the City's current funding is sufficient to
<br />maintain and improve the condition of the roadways.
<br />The current annual budget is insufficient to maintain the current weighted average PCI. Based on an iterative
<br />review of the total budget it shows that a budget increase of 8 to 10 percent per year would better match the
<br />maintenance needs.
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