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City of Lino Lakes and Lino Lakes Economic Development Authority, Minnesota <br />(2) The proposed development, in the opinion of the City, would not reasonably be <br />expected to occur solely through private investment within the reasonably <br />foreseeable future, and the increased market value of the site that could <br />reasonably be expected to occur without the use of tax increment would be Tess <br />than the increase in market value estimated to result from the proposed <br />development after subtracting the present value of the projected tax increments <br />for the maximum duration of the TIF District permitted by the TIF Plan; <br />The proposed development is a mixed use project consisting of commercial, <br />owner -occupied and rental housing in Lino Lakes. The properties in the TIF <br />District have been dilapidated for several years, despite previous efforts by the <br />Authority to encourage its development. The Authority has been trying since <br />1998 to find a suitable developer for the site. <br />The increased market value of the site that could reasonably be expected to <br />occur without the use of tax increment financing would be less than the increase <br />in market value estimated to result from the proposed development after <br />subtracting the present value of the projected tax increments for the maximum <br />duration of the TIF District permitted by the TIF Plan: As noted above, the site <br />has been blighted for many years. The area is not serviced by public water and <br />sewer. Without installation of the improvements needed to serve the area, the <br />Authority has no reason to expect that significant redevelopment would occur <br />without assistance similar to that provided in this plan. Several environmental <br />conditions exist Therefore, the Authority concludes as follows: <br />a. The city's estimate of the amount by which the market value of <br />the site will increase without the use of tax increment financing is <br />$0, except for a small amount attributable to appreciation in land <br />value. <br />b. If all development which is proposed to be assisted with tax <br />increment were to occur in the District, the total increase in <br />market value would be approximately $72,222,325. <br />c. The present value of tax increments from the District for the <br />maximum duration of the district permitted by the TIF Plan is <br />estimated to be $14,092,793. (See Exhibit V) <br />d. Even if some development other than the proposed development <br />were to occur, the Authority finds that no alternative would occur <br />that would produce a market value increase greater than <br />$58,129,532 (the amount in clause b less the amount in clause c) <br />without tax increment assistance. <br />The reasons and facts supporting this finding are that the developer has <br />represented to the Authority that it would not undertake the proposed <br />development without the assistance of tax increment financing. Private <br />investment will not finance these development activities because of <br />prohibitive costs. It is necessary to finance these development activities <br />through the use of tax increment financing so that other development by <br />private enterprise will occur within the Project Area. <br />A comparative analysis of estimated market values both with and without <br />establishment of the TIF District and the use of tax increments has been <br />SPRINGSTED Page 6 <br />