12-09-2024 Council Meeting Agenda Packet

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24-30671 ASH STREET TRAFFIC IMPACT STUDY - LINO LAKES, MN EXECUTIVE SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS, + RECOMMENDATIONS Summary This study has been prepared in anticipation of two proposed mixed used and residential developments along Ash Street in Lino Lakes, MN. The proposed sites, 116 acres total, are currently vacant and anticipated to be developed in two major phases. The sites are located west of Centerville Road along Ash Street between Centerville Road and Holly Drive. The proposed development will consist of the Wilkinson development and the North Oaks Farms development and will include townhomes, retail, apartments, senior adult housing, and single-family residences. The Wilkinson area, consisting of townhomes, retail, apartments, and senior adult housing, would be the first phase and is anticipated to be fully operational in 2025. The North Oaks Farms area, consisting of single-family residences, would be the next phase, and areas would be fully developed by 2045, the Design Year. See Appendix A for a preliminary site plan for the proposed Wilkison development and a preliminary concept for the North Oaks Farms area. This Traffic Impact Study (TIS) studied current, projected, and future traffic conditions at several locations in the City of Lino Lakes, Anoka County, Minnesota. These locations included in the study area are: • Intersection 1 - The intersection of CSAH 21/Centerville Road and CSAH J/Ash Street • Intersection 2 - The intersection of CSAH 21/Centerville Road and CSAH 32/Ash Street • Intersection 3 - The intersection of CSAH 32/Ash Street and Monarch Way/ the North Oaks Farms area's South Access • Intersection 4 - The intersection of CSAH 32/Ash Street and Rapp Farm Blvd • Intersection 5 - The intersection of CSAH 32/Ash Street and Holly Drive N • Intersection 6 - The intersection of Wilkinson Lake Blvd and the Wilkinson area's South Access • Intersection 7 - The intersection of CSAH 32/Ash Street and the Wilkinson area's North Access • Intersection 8 - The intersection of CSAH 32/Ash Street and the North Oaks Farms area's East Access Turning movement traffic count data was collected at Intersections 1-5 above from 6:OOAM - 9:OOAM, and from 3:30PM - 6:30PM on Thursday, July 181", 2024. Traffic was analyzed based on collected data. Findings In the existing condition, the southbound approach at Intersection 1 operates at a level of service F. All other movements operate at a level of service D or better at the study intersections during the Weekday AM and the Weekday PM peak hours. In the existing condition, all existing major intersections operate as stop -controlled. Reconstruction of major intersections is planned for 2025, and Intersection 1 and Intersection 2 are proposed to be converted to roundabouts. Historical traffic volumes in the area have held steady or decreased over the past 20 years; however, traffic forecasts completed in the last 5 years indicate that traffic growth is expected. The proposed developments will account for much of the traffic growth anticipated over the next 20 years, and growth rates were selected to account for background traffic growth separate from traffic growth attributed to the proposed developments. The assumed average annual traffic growth rates used for the future scenarios were the following: ■ Architecture + Engineering + Environmental + Planning Page 1 of 2