08-04-25 - City Council Work Session Agenda

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Table 4-2: Scenario 1 Full Buildout Trip Generation Intensity AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour Land Use Description Daily / UnitsIn Out • Out • LUC 210 - Single -Family 1,600 15,088 280 840 1,120 948 556 1,50 4 Detached Housing LUC 215 - Single -Family 600 4,320 72 216 288 202 140 342 Attached Housing LUC 220 - Multifamily Low 1,200 8,088 115 365 480 386 226 612 Rise Residential LUC 821- Shopping Plaza 60 4,020 64 39 104 153 159 311 Total Site Trips 31,516 532 1,460 1,992 1,687 1,082 2,769 4.3. DIRECTIONAL DISTRIBUTION The estimated distribution of site -generated traffic on the surrounding roadway network was developed based on a review of origin -destination data from Replica, a publicly available dataset which utilizes Census data, land use regulations, aggregate mobile data, transaction data, and real estate transaction data to model transportation patterns. Based on the origin -destination data and consideration of the existing traffic patterns and roadway characteristics, the following global distribution was developed: • 35% to/from west on Main Street • 25% to/from south on Sunset Avenue • 20% to/from south on Lake Drive • 10% to/from east on Lilac Street • 5% to/from north on Lake Drive • 5% to/from east on Main Street The anticipated site trip distribution for Opening Year (2030) Scenario 1 conditions is shown in Exhibit 7. The site traffic assignment, representing traffic volumes associated with the proposed development at the study intersections, is a function of the estimated trip generation (Table 4-1 and Table 4-2) as well as the directional distribution listed above. The site trip assignment for Opening Year (2030) Scenario 1 conditions is shown in Exhibit 8. The Opening Year (2030) Scenario 1 traffic volumes were calculated by adding the total development site trips (Exhibit 8) to the Opening Year (2030) No -Build traffic volumes (Exhibit 5). The Opening Year (2030) Scenario 1 traffic volumes are shown in Exhibit 9. The anticipated traffic distribution for the Design Year (2045) Scenario 1 conditions is shown in Exhibit 10. The site trip assignment for Scenario 1 in the Design Year (2045) is shown in Exhibit 11. The Design Year (2045) Build traffic volumes were calculated by adding the total Development Site Trips (Exhibit 11) to the Design Year (2045) No -Build traffic volumes (Exhibit 6). The Design Year (2045) Build traffic volumes are shown in Exhibit 12. 4.4. OPENING YEAR (2030) SCENARIO 1 CAPACITY ANALYSIS The Opening Year (2030) Scenario 1 analysis was conducted to determine the impacts of the proposed Scenario 1 development on the short-term operations of the adjacent roadway network. The future year Northwest Main - Lino Lakes, MN Traffic Impact Analysis I June 2025 Page 168 of 617