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08-04-14 Council Packet
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08-04-14 Council Packet
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10/14/2014 2:39:38 PM
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City Council
Council Document Type
Council Packet
Meeting Date
08/04/2014
Council Meeting Type
Work Session Regular
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The addition of a 287 space park and ride will add challenges pre and post construction. The <br />high voltage lights require copper wire that is a frequent target of thieves in Minnesota. Once <br />the park and ride is complete, the area will be targeted for thefts from motor vehicles. While <br />Metro Transit will have cameras that monitor the area, they are not monitored in real time. <br />The park and ride will need increased officer presence and active crime prevention programs <br />around the clock in order to prevent thefts. <br />Population Growth <br />With increased residential development, the population of Lino Lakes will rise. From 2000- <br />2012, Lino Lakes experienced a 43% increase in population, the largest in Anoka County. The <br />Metropolitan Council has projected the population of Lino Lakes will grow to 26,300 in 2020 <br />and 30,700 in 20309. <br />There is no data to suggest that an increase in population alone will cause an increase in crime. <br />However, more residents in Lino Lakes means more traffic and more citizens with service <br />requests such as medical incidents, house checks, vehicle lock outs, animal licenses, <br />background checks, permits to purchase firearms, and alarm calls. For example, from 2002 to <br />2012, there was a 23% increase in population in Lino Lakes and a 53% increase in medical calls <br />for service (257 to 394), a 171% increase in neighborhood disputes (14 to 38) and a 243% <br />increase in permit requests (88 to 302)10. <br />An increase in population could also contribute to an increase in traffic congestion, traffic <br />complaints, and accidents. <br />If we do not take displacement and development into account and staff officers based solely on <br />population, to keep our current rate of 1.2 officers per 1,000 residents we would add 6 officers <br />by 2020 and another 5 by 2030 for an authorized strength of 36. While we reject the notion of <br />automatic growth and increase, we believe that it is both fiscally and ethically advantageous to <br />provide the resources to keep ahead of the curve and focus on prevention than it is to shift to a <br />reactive model. <br />Return on Investment in Police Services <br />The City of Lino Lakes has a hard earned reputation for fiscal responsibility. In keeping with <br />that overarching principle, it is important to discuss the police elasticity of crime. There have <br />been several studies that discuss the relationship between the number of police officers in a <br />given area and the crime rate, but their findings are ambiguous at best. The most <br />comprehensive study in the area was conducted by Aaron Chalfin and Justin McCrary in 2012. <br />Chalfin and McCarary include factors and variables that are important to the City of Lino Lakes <br />and that most other studies overlook. Chalfin and McCarary are careful to take into <br />consideration the desire to not have government funds crowd out private precautionary <br />9 Regional Development Revised Forecast located in Appendix D <br />Zo Data obtained from County Wide Record System <br />
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