02/09/1998 Council Packet - Laserfiche WebLink

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M E M O R A N D U M DATE: January 12, 1998 TO: Comprehensive Plan Task Force FROM: Brian Wessel /Mary Kay Wyland RE: Moderate Growth Scenario The Comprehensive Plan Task Force voted in favor of the moderate growth scenario at their November 20, 1997 meeting. Eight task force members were present at that meeting with two members voting against the moderate growth scenario the total committee consists of 14 members). Following is an excerpt from the September 1997 Lino Lakes Growth Scenario report prepared by Northwest Associated Consultants. This report identifies the moderate growth scenario as follows: The moderate growth scenario represents the mid point between limited growth and high growth scenarios. The moderate growth projection is for 147 dwelling units per year (the low growth scenario estimates a growth rate of 79 units per year while the high growth (Met Council) estimates 214 dwelling units per year). The moderate growth scenario is projecting a 2020 population of 20,500 with approximately 7,513 to 7,900 households. This number is variable as we do not know what the average household size will be in the year 2020 and can only speculate at 2.7 persons per household. Attached for your information is a map indicating the buildable area associated with the moderate growth scenario. POPULATION ESTIMATES: The 1994 population estimate for the City of Lino Lakes from the Mn Dept. of Trade and Economic Development is 12,266. The Metropolitan Council April 1996 estimate is 13,756 and City Staff population estimate for December 1996 is 14,324. A more accurate estimate will be available upon completion of the year 2000 Census conducted by the US Bureau of the Census. A review of past home building activity reveals that over the last 20 years the City has issued, on average, 174 building permits per year for single family homes.