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Future Challenges <br />There are three issues on the horizon which will affect crime in Lino Lakes: crime displacement <br />from surrounding areas, development, and population growth. <br />Crime Displacement <br />Crime displacement is defined as, "the relocation of crime from one place, time, target, offense, <br />or tactic to another as a result of some crime prevention initiativei4. Numerous studies <br />indicate that for well thought-out crime prevention efforts, there is little or no displacement. <br />There are, however, some types of crimes and criminals that are susceptible to displacement. <br />Criminals who are career offenders, are drug addicts, or depend on criminal activity for income <br />are more likely to continue offending in a new location. The crime that is most often displaced <br />from one location to another is theft. <br />We completed a secondary records study regarding shoplifting in the City of Lino Lakes. We <br />chose shoplifting because it is the crime category where we had the most offender data and a <br />crime that has the opportunity to exist in every city. We started by looking at the number of <br />shoplifting incidents over the past 5 years. <br />Figure 3 <br />30 <br />25 <br />20 <br />15 <br />10 <br />5 <br />0 <br />Number of incidents <br />23 23 <br />21 <br />16 <br />24 <br />2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 <br />■ Number of incidents <br />We then looked at how many offenders were involved in each incident. <br />4 Rob T. Guerette, Analyzing Crime Displacement and Diffusion (US Department of Justice) <br />