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<br />72 <br />Table 15. Criteria for assessing goodness-of-fit Poisson regression model. <br />Criteria DF Value Value/DF <br />Deviance <br />Scaled Deviance <br />Pearson Chi-Square <br />Scaled Pearson X2 <br />Log Likelihood <br />1990 <br />1990 <br />1990 <br />1990 <br />881.5022 <br />881.5022 <br />3432.5818 <br />3432.5818 <br />−568.4558 <br />0.4430 <br />0.4430 <br />1.7249 <br />1.7249 <br /> −2 (LL (Poisson) - LL (negative binomial)) = <br /> −2* (−568.4558 − (−548.7469)) = <br /> 2* (568.4558 − 548.7469) = 39.4178 <br /> <br />Thus, the null hypothesis is rejected for α = 0.01, and we conclude that the Poisson distribution is inadequate for this <br />model.(40) <br /> <br />RESIDUALS <br /> <br />Because generalized estimating equations (GEE) were used, the interpretation of residuals is problematic <br />and no residual analysis was undertaken. <br /> <br />MULTICOLLINEARITY <br /> <br />Certainly multicollinearity is an issue, because the marked crosswalk and the unmarked crosswalk were <br />matched on geographic terms, thus the number of lanes, median type, and traffic ADT are distributed very <br />similarly in the marked and the unmarked crosswalks. <br /> <br />Multicollinearity was explored using the regression diagnostics suggested by Belsley, Kuh, and Welsch. <br />They suggest two different measures: variance inflation factor (VIF) and the proportion of variation. VIF <br />gauges the influence potential near dependencies may have on the estimation of the standard error of the <br />estimate of the regression parameters. The proportion of variation is a diagnostic which permits the <br />detection of morel complex dependencies. For the final model with predictor variables, the values were: an <br />indicator for marked versus unmarked, pedestrian ADT, and traffic ADT; two indicators for number of <br />lanes; two indicators for type of median; an interaction between the indicator for marked versus unmarked <br />and pedestrian ADT; and an interaction between indicator for marked versus unmarked and traffic ADT. <br />The largest VIF was 4.0; this is not high (VIF < 10), however, it is more than the suggested criterion of VIF <br />> 1.55. Thus, the VIF for indicator for marked versus unmarked VIF = 3.5, traffic ADT, VIF = 2.5, and the <br />interaction of these two predictor variables VIF = 4.0. There is some variance inflation in this model. <br />Since none of the VIF are greater than 10, we can conclude that the model has not been degraded by <br />collinearity. We should interpret the results with some care, because three predictors have VIFs greater than <br />1.55. <br />(41) <br /> <br />The proportion of variation suggested by Belsley, Kuh, and Welsch with a condition index of 9.4 suggests a <br />weak dependency between the three predictors: indicator for marked versus unmarked, traffic ADT, and the <br />interaction of these two predictor variables. It is not surprising that an interaction is correlated with the main <br />factors. <br /> <br />In conclusion, the model does have a weak dependency among the predictor variables. This does not inflate <br />the variance too much; thus, reasonable tests may be conducted. The mild nature of the collinearity does not <br />present a threat to the interpretability of the model.(41) <br />