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<br /> 5 <br />marked and unmarked crosswalks. However, pedestrian volume was three times as high on the marked <br />crosswalks as on the unmarked crosswalks. Herms stated: <br /> <br />“Evidence indicates that the poor crash record of marked crosswalks is not due <br />to the crosswalk being marked as much as it is a reflection on the pedestrian’s <br />attitude and lack of caution when using the marked crosswalk.”(3) <br /> <br />The Herms study, however, does not say what evidence the author had in mind regarding incautious <br />pedestrian behavior. No behavioral data was presented. Other authors have advanced similar assertions <br />with regard to pedestrian behavior in marked crosswalks. <br /> <br />One of the issues involved in this crosswalk controversy relates to questions on the warrants used in San <br />Diego, CA, to determine where to paint crosswalks. Specifically, the warrant directive for San Diego <br />(January 15, 1962), established a point system calling for painting crosswalks when: (1) traffic gaps were <br />fewer rather than more numerous; (2) pedestrian volume was high; (3) speed was moderate (not low, not <br />high); and (4) other prevailing factors were present, such as previous crashes. Thus, it is possible that <br />crosswalks may have been more likely to be painted in San Diego, CA, where the conditions were most <br />ripe for pedestrian collisions (compared to sites which were unmarked). This could at least partly explain <br />the increase in pedestrian crashes at marked crosswalks in the Herms study. Furthermore, the city of San <br />Diego did not eliminate the use of marked crosswalks at uncontrolled locations based on the results of this <br />study. The study recommended against the indiscriminate use of markings at uncontrolled locations. It <br />should be mentioned that the Herms study did not distinguish whether the results would have differed, for <br />example, for two-lane versus multilane roads, or for low-volume versus high-volume roads. <br /> <br />Gibby et al. later revisited the issue.(5) Their report contains a thorough review of the literature and also <br />includes an analysis of pedestrian crashes at 380 highway intersections in California. These intersections <br />were picked after a detailed, multistep selection process in which more than 10,000 intersections were <br />initially considered, and all but 380 were excluded. Their results showed that pedestrian crash rates at <br />these 380 unsignalized intersections were 2 or 3 times higher in marked than in unmarked crosswalks <br />when expressed as crash rates per unit pedestrian-vehicle volume. This study had the advantage of <br />including a relatively large sample of intersections in cities throughout California, which may have <br />minimized any data bias resulting from crosswalk marking criteria. However, it should be mentioned <br />that, as with the Herms study, the Gibby study also did not determine how the results (between marked <br />and unmarked crosswalks) might have differed for two-lane versus multilane roads, and/or for roads with <br />low average daily traffic (ADT) compared to high ADT. <br /> <br />Other studies have been conducted to address this issue. Gurnett described a project to remove painted <br />stripes from some crosswalks following a bad crash experience.(6) This was a before-after study of three <br />locations that were selected for crosswalk removal because they had a recent bad crash record. After <br />removing the crosswalks, crashes decreased. Such results do not show the effect of removing the paint, <br />but are very likely the result of the well-known statistical phenomenon of regression to the mean. It is <br />also not clear whether pedestrian crossing volumes may have dropped after the marked crosswalks were <br />removed.(6) <br /> <br />Another study of marked crosswalks at unsignalized intersections was reported by the Los Angeles, CA, <br />County Road Department in July 1967.(7) The county reported results of a before-after study of 89 <br />intersections. Painted crosswalks were added at each site, but the basis for selecting those sites was not <br />mentioned. Pedestrian crashes increased from 4 during the before period to 15 in the after period. The <br />before-after design in this study is preferable to a treatment-control model in this instance, and better <br />takes the selection effect into account. All sites that showed crash increases were intersections with an <br />ADT rate above 10,900. Thus, at sites with a lower ADT rate, no change in pedestrian crashes was seen. <br />Also, rear-end collisions increased from 31 to 58 after marked crosswalks were added. The report stated <br />that rear-end collisions increased as traffic volume increased. Nevertheless, the study showed more