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<br />develop the final model form, generalized estimating equations (GEEs) were used, since they provide a <br />practical method to analyze correlated data with reasonable statistical efficiency. PROC GENMOD uses <br />GEE and permits the analysis of correlated data. Another feature of the final model is that the distribution <br />of pedestrian crashes at a crosswalk is assumed to follow a negative binomial distribution. The negative <br />binomial is a distribution with an additional parameter (k) in the variance function. PROC GENMOD <br />estimates k by maximum likelihood. (Refer to McCullagh and Nelder (chapter 11),(26) Hilbe,(27) or <br />Lawless(28) for discussions of the negative binomial distribution.) <br /> <br />The final model is a negative binomial regression model that was fitted with the observed number of <br />pedestrian crashes as the dependent measure. A negative binomial model is an extension of traditional <br />linear models that allows the mean of a population to depend on a linear predictor through a nonlinear <br />link function and allows the response probability distribution to be a negative binomial distribution. <br />PROC GENMOD is capable of performing negative binomial regression GENMOD using GEE <br />methodology.(29) <br /> <br />The final model uses the observed number of pedestrian crashes at a crosswalk as the dependent measure. <br />The independent measures are estimated average daily pedestrian volume (pedestrian ADT), average <br />daily traffic volume (traffic ADT), an indicator variable for marked crosswalks (CM); two indicator <br />variables for number of lanes (one that indicates two travel lanes, L2; the other indicates three or four <br />travel lanes, L4); and two indicators for median type (no raised median, Mnone, and raised median, Mraised). <br /> <br />There are two interactions in the model. The first interaction in an interaction between pedestrian ADT <br />and the indicator for marked crosswalk, ADP*CM. The second interaction in the model is between traffic <br />ADT and the indicator for marked crosswalk, ADT*CM. <br /> <br />The linear predictor has the form: <br /> <br /> (7) <br /> <br /> <br />where ηi is the linear predictor for site i = 1 ,2, ..., 2,000. The number of years of accident data available <br />for a site is used as an offset. β0, β1, ... , β9 are parameters to be estimated. The estimates of the <br />parameters were obtained using PROC GENMOD. Parameter estimates for the final model are shown in <br />table 9. <br /> <br />Table 9. Parameter estimates for final model combining marked and unmarked crosswalks. <br />Marked Parameter <br />Estimate S.E.* p-Value <br />Constant ($0) −8.2455 0.4633 < 0.0001 <br />ADP ($1) 0.0011 0.0004 0.0149 <br />ADT ($2) 0.0000 0.0000 0.7842 <br />CM ($3) 0.3257 0.3988 0.4141 <br />L2 ($4) −0.4786 0.3180 0.1323 <br />L4 ($5) 0.0053 0.2638 0.9840 <br />Mnone ($6) 0.1541 0.2090 0.4610 <br />Mraised ($7) −0.5439 0.3064 0.0759 <br />ADP*CM ($8) −0.0008 0.0004 0.0780 <br />ADT*CM ($9) 0.0001 0.0000 0.0016 <br />Dispersion 2.1970 0.5898 – <br />*S.E. = Standard Error <br /> 26