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18 | Page <br />Note: when we discuss or illustrate values and capacity below, it is shown in the “Tax Year”, <br />as opposed to the “Assessment Year”, which is the year prior. Those assessments are <br />based on property and sales evaluations from the year prior to the assessment year, so <br />values and capacity for the tax year lag roughly 1.5 - 2 years behind the actual market or <br />construction activity. <br />The total tax capacity for tax year 2026 for Lake Elmo increased by $1.4 million, or 3.73%, to <br />$ 39,039,717, a similar increase to the prior year. In comparison, the 3 years prior (2022- <br />2024) averaged over 18% increases, and the 10-year average is 11.5%. <br /> <br />The slowed increase in tax capacity is largely due to a cooldown of housing prices and <br />development, along with a shift from single-family to multifamily construction. The <br />increase in existing market value (market value excluding new improvements) is now under <br />$26 million, compared to a 10-year average of approximately $120 million. Additionally, <br />new improvements have slowed to just over $84 million, aligning more closely with the <br />average seen between 2019 and 2022. <br /> <br />The next chart shows Estimated Market Value (EMV) changes in the past 10 years. The <br />green bar is the market value from each prior year, the blue bar shows the market value <br />increase to that prior year existing value, and the red bar shows the market value of new <br />improvements. EMV will follow similar trends as tax capacity, but they are different <br />measures. <br /> - <br /> 5,000,000 <br /> 10,000,000 <br /> 15,000,000 <br /> 20,000,000 <br /> 25,000,000 <br /> 30,000,000 <br /> 35,000,000 <br /> 40,000,000 <br />2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 <br />Tax Capacity <br /> $- <br /> $50,000,000 <br /> $100,000,000 <br /> $150,000,000 <br /> $200,000,000 <br />2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 <br />New Improvements