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04-14-26 City Council Workshop Packet
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04-14-26 City Council Workshop Packet
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4/9/2026 4:25:14 PM
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Bottom Line <br />The Met Council refuses to allow for a higher population projection than the City’s 2040 plan <br />provides, but has agreed that the September 2025 forecasts are low. The City has the option from <br />the Met Council to use the numbers from its Thrive 2040 plan, ending at a total of 21,400 by 2040. <br />For the time being, the City may need to work with the following projections by decade: <br />•2030: 19,200 (7,200 households @ 2.66 average household size) <br />•2040: 21,400 (8,250 households @ 2.59 average household size) <br />•2050: 21,400 (no increase) <br />From the Met Council’s Senior Manager of Local Planning Assistance, Angela Torres: <br /> “We routinely have staff-to -staff agreements on forecast adjustments during development of <br />the decennial Plan updates and we are willing to discuss an expanded 2050 forecast in mid- <br />2027 after the White Bear Lake Area Comprehensive Plan Work Group concludes. At that point, <br />we’d know more about everyone’s comfort (neighboring cities, DNR, etc.) and local systems <br />p re p a re d ne ss. Until the n, Me t Council will lim it fore ca st incre a se s a s d e scrib e d in "Fore ca st <br />Methodology for the White Bear Lake Area Communities.”
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