HomeMy WebLinkAboutCC 8.18.15_Projected Growth #23 April 9, 2015
Dean Zuleger, City Administrator
City Of Lake Elmo
3800 Laverne Ave N
Lake Elmo, MN 55042 4
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Dear Mr.Zuleger: y
The Metropolitan Council requests your input on updates to your community's local forecast. The Council is 1
updating draft local forecasts in preparation for the release of Systems Statements this fall to kick off the local i
comprehensive planning process. 1
The table below shows your community's 2020, 2030, and 2040 draft local forecasts (2015 update); the table also
includes your community's current adopted Thrive MSP 2040 forecasts for comparison. (In addition, a table with
draft local forecasts for all communities is enclosed with this letter.) i
Forecasts for City Of Lake Elmo I
Population . . I
i i I f 2040 2020 2030 2040 2020 2030 2040 f
Forecasts 10,300 14,500 20,500 1 3,880 5,700 8,000 2,550 2,740 3,160
(2014 as adopted)
II Draft forecasts 10,500 14,100 18,200 3,800 5,300 7,100 2,900 3,350 3,800
(2015 update)The Council will accept comments on the draft forecasts(2015 update)through May 8, 2015. If you have
questions or concerns about your local forecasts, please contact your Sector Representative, Ryan Garcia, at }
Ryan.Garcia@metc.state.mn.us or 651-602-1832.
We will not publish these draft local forecasts until we have responded to local comments and the Council ,
formally adopts those revised forecasts in July. Some draft forecasts will change based upon the local comments
we receive.
A few things to note:
• The updated regional forecast released in March (metrocouncil.org/forecasts) reduces regional growth by
2040 by 5% for population, 6%for households, and 15%for jobs. These reductions alone reduce many
community forecasts.
• The draft local forecasts use updated real estate and land use data. These revisions have changed our
forecasts of growth across the region.
• Please remember that while the Council has reduced 30-year population forecasts for some jurisdictions,
the Council will provide necessary wastewater infrastructure to honor existing 2030 commitments for land
to be included in the Metropolitan Urban Service Area by 2040 (Thrive MSP 2040, p. 21).
Sincerely, {'
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Beth Reetz, Interim Director °
Community Development Division
cc: Council Member Harry Melander, District 12 _
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