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HomeMy WebLinkAbout#18 Lake Elmo Preliminary Final Draft 1JUNE2016City ofLake Elmo,MN FinancialManagementPlan for Water, Sanitary Sewer,and StormWaterFunds 2016REPORT FINALDRAFTFOR DISTRIBUTION ASOF JUNE 1, 2016 Northland Securities, Inc. 45 South 7th Street, Suite 2000 Minneapolis, MN 55402 (800) 851-2920 Member NASD and SIPC i Letter ofTransmittal Executive Summary 1 Organization of the Report....................................................................................................................1 Study Approach..........................................................................................................................................1 Conclusions and Recommendations..................................................................................................2 Table A - Growth in Residential Equivalent Units.....................................................................3 Table B - Establishment of Utility Rates.......................................................................................4 Table C - Management of Cash Balances and Assets..............................................................4 Chart 1 -Year-end Cash Balances and Change in Cash Balances.......................................5 Background 6 Water..............................................................................................................................................................6 Sanitary Sewer............................................................................................................................................6 Storm Sewer.................................................................................................................................................6 Capital Improvement Plan 7 Capital Projects...........................................................................................................................................7 Source of Funding for Capital Projects...............................................................................................7 Debt Service.................................................................................................................................................7 Table D-1 - Capital Improvement PlanWater...................................................................................9 Table D-2 - Capital Improvement Plan Sanitary Sewer..............................................................10 Table D-3 - Capital Improvement Plan StormWater...................................................................11 Table E-1 - Debt (Bonds) Outstanding as ofYear End.................................................................12 Table E-2 - Annual Debt Service - Principal and Interest Payment on Bonds.....................13 Chart 2 - Estimated Debt Outstanding atYear End.....................................................................14 Chart 3 - Estimated Annual Debt Service........................................................................................15 Utility Rates 16 Key Factors.................................................................................................................................................16 Annual Operating Expenditures.........................................................................................................16 Metropolitan Council Environmental Services..............................................................................16 Annual Capital Expenditures...............................................................................................................17 Debt Service...............................................................................................................................................17 Growth in Customers..............................................................................................................................17 Table F - Growth Projections................................................................................................................18 Chart 4 - Sanitary Sewer REU Platted and Connected byYear................................................19 Chart 5 -Water REU Planned and Connected byYear................................................................19 Available Other Revenue Sources......................................................................................................20 Historical Utility Rates............................................................................................................................20 Future Utility Rates..................................................................................................................................20 ProjectedVolumes ofWater Sold and Sanitary Sewer Billed...................................................20 Table G -Water Fund - Fees and Charges and Customer Data................................................21 Contents ii Table H - Sanitary Sewer Fund - Fees and Charges and Customer Data..............................22 Table I - StormWater Fund - Fees and Charges and Customer Data.....................................23 Chart 6 - Estimated Annual Gallons ofWater Billed....................................................................24 Financial Plans 25 Key Assumptions......................................................................................................................................25 Water Fund.................................................................................................................................................26 Table J-1 - Pro Forma......................................................................................................................27 Table J-2 - Cash Balance................................................................................................................28 Table J-3 - Operating and Other Expenses.............................................................................29 Chart 7 -Year End Cash Balances...............................................................................................30 Chart 8 - Source and Use of Funds............................................................................................30 Sanitary Sewer Fund..............................................................................................................................31 Table K-1 - Pro Forma.....................................................................................................................32 Table K-2 - Cash Balance...............................................................................................................33 Table K-3 - Operating and Other Expenses............................................................................34 Chart 9 -Year End Cash Balances...............................................................................................35 Chart 10 - Source and Use of Funds..........................................................................................35 StormWater Fund....................................................................................................................................36 Table L-1 - Pro Forma......................................................................................................................37 Table L-2 - Cash Balance................................................................................................................38 Table L-3 - Operating and Other Expenses............................................................................39 Chart 11 -Year End Cash Balances............................................................................................40 Chart 12 - Source and Use of Funds..........................................................................................40 Appendix 41 Appendix A -Water Fund - Calculation of Net Capital Assets..................................................41 Appendix B - Sanitary Sewer Fund - Calculation of Net Capital Assets................................42 Appendix C - StormWater Fund - Calculation of Net Capital Assets.....................................43 Appendix D - Quarterly Residential and Commercial Utility Bills byYear...........................44 Appendix E - Chart 13 -Year End Cash Estimates by Fund........................................................45 Appendix F - Chart 14 -Year End Cash Compared to Outstanding Debt............................46 iii 1 Executive Summary EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This report was prepared by Northland Securities for the QVSQPTFPGSFWJFX JOHUI FöOBODJBMQFSGPSN BODFPGUI F City of Lake Elmo’s enterprise funds, including the Water Fund, the Sanitary Sewer Fund, and the StormWaterFund (collectively,the“utilityfunds”)todeterminetheappropri- ate fees and charges and other revenue needed to fund operations through 2025. The process involved the projection of revenues and ex- penditures for the utility funds and included incorporat- ing the City’s plans for capital improvements, and plans GPSöOBODJOH JOUPUI FöOBODJBMQSPKFDUJPOTBMPOHX JUI QSP jected growth in customers. Recommendations included in the report are based on information provided to Northland Securities from City TUBòBOEPUIFS$JUZDPOTVMUBOUTBOEDFSUBJOBTTVNQUJPOT as prepared by Northland Securities and detailed in the report. To the extent the assumptions in the report change in the months and years ahead, which they will, the City will OFFE UPBE KVTUJUTPOHPJOHöOBODJBMQMBOTBDDPSE JOHMZ #FGPSFPòFSJOHUIFDPODMVTJPOTBOESFDPNNFOEBUJPOT from the study, an explanation of the organization of the SFQPSUBOEUIFTUVEZBQQSPBDIJTPòFSFE Organization of Report This report is organized into six sections: 1. Executive Summary provides information on the or- ganization of the report, study approach, and conclu- sions and recommendations. 2. Backgrounddiscussesthehistoricalcontext,including growth and development of the community, and per- formance of the utilities. 3. Capital Improvement Plan provides information on the City’s plans for infrastructure improvements for the utilities. This includes estimates on project costs andsourcesoffundsto pay forthe improvements. In- formation on debt service is also included. 4. Utility Rates provides current, and future projected utility rates that will be necessary to maintain a posi- UJWFöOBODJBMDPOE JUJPOGPSUI FVUJMJUZGVOE T*OGPSN B tionisprovidedintheAppendixofthisreportonwhat proposedrateincreaseswillmeantocustomers ofthe utility systems. 5. Financial Plans are provided for the Water Fund, Sani- UBSZ4FX FS'VOE BOE 4UPSN 8 BUFS'VOE 5I FöOBODJBM plans provide both historical, current, and future pro- jected sources and uses of funds and balance sheet information. Financial plans take into account capital improvement plans, debt service, and proposed rates. 6. Appendix provides information on calculation of net assets and depreciation for the utility funds, and change in cash balances. Study Approach The following steps were taken as part of the study: • City provided information on the following: -historical spending and revenues, and future capi- tal improvement plans; -projected growth in customer units from future residential and commercial development; and QSFMJN JOBSZöOBODJBMSFTVMUT UI F$JUZT$PN  2 Executive Summary prehensive Annual Financial Reports as of Decem- ber 31, 2015 was not yet available for the study. • Information provided by the City was organized, ana- MZ[FE BOE VTFE UPTVQQPSUUI FE FWFMPQN FOUPGöOBO DJBMQMBOT0 ODFUI FQSFMJN JOBSZöOBODJBMQMBOTX FSF EFWFMPQFEUIFOEJòFSFOUTDFOBSJPTXFSFDPOTJEFSFE BOEBOBMZ[FEXJUI$JUZTUBòBOEPUIFS$JUZDPOTVMUBOUT to determine impact on utility rates. •$JUZTUBòPòFSFEJOQVUBOEGFFECBDLPOUIFBTTVNQ tions and desired outcomes. •"öOBME SBGUPGUI FSFQPSUX BTQSFQBSFE GPSQSFTFOUB tion to the City Council. *UJTJN QPSUBOUUPOPUFBTQFDUTPGöOBODJBMQFSGPSN BODF not reviewed as part of this study: •5I FWBMJE JUZPGUI FBTTVN QUJPOTBOE öHVSFTQSPWJE FE  by the City on future growth was not reviewed. • Analysis of the basis for the City’s determination of current utility fees and charges was not reviewed. •5I FöOBODJBMJN QBDUUPUI F$JUZPGQPUFOUJBMDI BOHFT to theexisting customer tier structure for charging for water and sanitary sewer services was not reviewed. • NorthlanddidnotreviewanyCitypreparedproforma as part of the study and we are not aware of how this report may compare to any prior or current City pro forma. • The scope of the study did not include a review and comparison of the City’s utility fees and charges to other cities. • The City was not able to provide volume data by tier. Because historical volume data was not available for review, the report makes certain assumptions for fu- ture volume of water sold by tier. Conclusions and Recommendations The following conclusions and recommendations are of- fered as a result of the study: 1. Growth in Customers (Residential Equivalent Units) To meet service demands from growth in customers, the City is planning for capital improvement projects. It needs to be emphasized that the scope, timing, and cost of the capital improvement projects included in this report are preliminary estimates. The City Engi- neer provided a projection of improvement projects with gross estimates for project costs to provide a reasonable basis for the pro forma analysis included in this report.The City will need to continue to review and revise the capital improvement plan on an on- going basis. Timing for future projects will be driven by future de- velopment. The planned improvements that are cur- rently included in the capital improvement plan are anticipated to be paid for through a combination of issuance of debt, special assessments (pre-paid), and cash. Inadditiontotheimpactoffuturegrowthonthecapi- tal improvement plan, the actual timing for the build out of already approved housing development and DPN N FSDJBMBSFBTX JMMI BWFBTJHOJöDBOUJN QBDUPOUI F estimatesforfuturerevenuesto theutilityfunds,from both the collection of development fees and usage fees. Table A provides the estimated growth projections for residential equivalent units (platted and connected). 5IFHSPXUIFTUJNBUFTXFSFQSFQBSFECZ$JUZTUBò Table F on page 20 provides detailed information on 3 Executive Summary the growth projections summarized in TableA. The as- sumptions for growth in customers have an impact on the establishment of future utility rates and the resulting revenue and year-end cash projections for the utility funds.The City should continue to carefully monitor its assumptions for future growth in custom- ers against actual development. /PUFUP5BCMF"5IFSFJTBEJòFSFODFCFUXFFO4FXFSBOE8BUFSVOJUT shown in Table A because some customers will connect to either mu- nicipal water or sanitary sewer, but not both. 2. Establishmentof UtilityRates The report assumes a 1.0% annual increase in water and sewer rates, beginning in year 2018. The annual rateincreaseisassumedonthequarterlybasefeeand usage fees only. The annual fee for storm water is as- sumed to increase by $10.00 per year, beginning in year2017.TheincreasesareneededtoensuretheCity JTBCMFUPNBJOUBJOTVóDJFOUDBTIJOUIFVUJMJUZGVOET overthelong-term.Thereisnoassumedchangetothe developmentfees(connectionandavailablycharges). TheCityshouldestablishannualuserratesconcurrent with the development of the following year’s budget BOE CBTFE POUI F$JUZTöOBODJBMQMBOT*UJTJN QPSUBOU to maintain a long term, forward looking view for the ongoingmanagementoftheutilityfundstoavoidpo- tential adjustments to utility rates based on prior year öOBODJBMQFSGPSN BODFBMPOFX JUI PVUUBLJOHJOUPBD DPVOUGVUVSFöOBODJBMQSPKFDUJPOTBOE QPUFOUJBMDI BM MFOHFT'VUVSFöOBODJBMDI BMMFOHFTN BZDPN FGSPN  UIFEJòFSFODFCFUXFFOQSPKFDUFEBOEBDUVBMHSPXUI incustomers,unanticipatedcapitalfundingpressures, and other unanticipated expense or revenue short- falls. There are no changes recommended at this time to the City’s rate structure (i.e., volume tiers). As the City gains more experience operating the expanded utili- UJFTBOE N PSFöOBODJBMI JTUPSZCFDPN FTBWBJMBCMF UI F City should evaluate whether the current rate struc- ture is continuing to meet the City’s objectives. An increase in revenue from growth in customers is projected; revenue collection will come from platted and connected units and customer usage of the sys- tems. TableB provides a summary of utility rates as assumed JOUI FSFQPSUGPSUI FOFYUöWFZFBST"DUVBMGVUVSFö nancial results and growth in customer units will im- pact the future utility rates that will be needed. 4 Executive Summary It is important to note that beginning in year 2022, boththeWater FundandSanitarySewer Fundwillbe- gin to draw on projected cash balances to cover ex- penses. Current projections suggest that the City may need to consider rate increases beyond what is pres- FOUMZJODMVE FE JOUI JTSFQPSU"DUVBMöOBODJBMSFTVMUT will need to be monitored to determine what may be necessary in the future years. TableC provides a summary of the projected year-end cash balances, combined net assets, and combined cash as a percentage of combined net assets.Chart1, on page 5,provides a summary of the total estimated year end cash balances and annual change in cash balances. Note toTable B: Table B does not include all of the tier rates. See Table G, Table H, andTable I for more information. 3. Managementof Cash BalancesandAssets The assumed level of utility rates included in this re- port, combined with the projected volume of water sold and sanitary sewer billed, plus the projected rev- enue to be collected from development charges, will provide cash needed to operate the utilities, maintain capital assets, and to pay debt service. The Financial Plan Section of this report provides a break-down of cash balances for each of the utility funds based on the following: 1) cash available to cover at least six months of anticipated operating expenses; 2) cash availabletocoverthefollowingyear’scapitalimprove- mentsthatareplannedtobefundedwithcash;and3) cashavailabletocoverthefollowingyeardebtservice. 5 Executive Summary Chart 1 shows that cash bal- ances in the utility funds are projected to increase over the next several years as a result of revenue collection from development (availability and connection charges).The cash balances will begin to decline as cash collected over the next several years is then used to pay debt service in the future years. Chart 14, on page 48 provides a comparison of projected year-end cash balances to pro- jected year-end outstanding debt obligations. 6 Background BACKGROUND The City of Lake Elmo is located on the eastern edge of the Twin Cities metropolitan area. The City’s 2030 Com- prehensive Plan forecasts and provides for approximately eighttimesthegrowthinhouseholdsandpopulationdur- ing the 2000-2030 planning period than was experienced during the 1980-2000 period. The City reports an estimated 2010 population of 8,069 and 2,774 households (2010 Census). Population is esti- mated to increase to 10,500 by 2020 and households to 3,800 (source: Metropolitan Council’s System Statement Dated September 17, 2015). The land area for the City en- compasses approximately 15,250 acres. The City’s 2030 Comprehensive Plan provides guidance on the City’s plans for managing future demand for utility infrastructure. The City is preparing to update to its Com- prehensivePlan, theupdatedPlan willlikely haveimplica- tions for the assumptions included in this report. Water Utility Lake Elmo owns, operates and maintains a municipal wa- ter supply and distribution system. The City has a goal to serve existing population desiring public water supply while preparing the system to allow people to connect as development occurs or existing areas request service. This policy guides the City’s capital improvement plan- OJOHBOE UI FOFFE UPN BJOUBJOBøFYJCMFBOE SFTQPOTJWF water system. Capital planning includes projects to cor- SFDUFYJTUJOHE FöDJFODJFTBOE UPFYQBOE UI FTZTUFN  The City uses an enterprise fund to account for its wa- ter operations. The net assets in the Water Fund totaled $9,360,075 and cash balance was $617,655 as of Decem- CFS  UI FN PTUSFDFOUBVE JUFE öOBODJBMTUBUFN FOUT for the City). SanitarySewer Utility PropertyownersintheCityareservedbyindividualsewer systems or in limited areas by municipal sewer. Capital planswillprovideforanincreaseinthenumberofproper- ties to be served by municipal sewer and connection to the RegionalSewerSystem. The Metropolitan Council En- vironmentalServices (MCES)has extended regionalsewer service to serve a greater area of the City. The City uses an enterprise fund to account for its sew- er operations. The net assets in the Sewer Fund totaled $3,611,364 and cash balance was $60,592 as of December   UI FN PTUSFDFOUBVE JUFE öOBODJBMTUBUFN FOUGPS the City). StormWater Utility TheCityoperatesastormwaterutility. Thesystemofcon- veyancesisownedandoperatedbytheCityanddesigned for collecting or conveying storm water. The City collects anannualfeefrompropertyownersthat isusedtopayfor the cost of constructing and maintaining the system. The City uses an enterprise fund to account for its storm water operations. The net assets in the Storm Water Fund totaled $1,095,528 and cash balance was $312,746 as of %FDFN CFS  UI FN PTUSFDFOUBVE JUFE öOBODJBM statement for the City). 7 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService CAPITALIMPROVEMENTPLANAND DEBT SERVICE Thisreportincludesacapitalimprovementplan(the“CIP”) thatincludescapitalprojectsfundedfromutilityrevenues and accounted for the in the utility funds.Table D, which canbefoundbeginningonpage9,providesdetailsonthe annual capital spending that is projected and included in this report for each of the utility funds. It is important to emphasize that the CIP included in this report should be considered a working draft. The City Engineer prepared the CIP included in this report. The TQFDJöDDPTUFTUJN BUFTJODMVE FE GPSFBDI PGUI FQSPKFDUT provides a reasonable basis for the pro forma analysis in- cluded in this report. But it is important to recognize that UI FTQFDJöDQSPKFDUTUI BUN BZBDUVBMMZCFBVUI PSJ[FE JOUI F future, and the actual costs, may vary greatly from what is included in this report. Capital Projects The projects included in the CIP include projects to ex- QBOE UI FDBQBDJUZBOE DPSSFDUE FöDJFODJFTPGUI FX BUFS and sanitary sewer systems.The City is a developing com- munity with utility expansion needs. Planned projects in- clude expansion of the City’s water supply capacity and distribution system. Sanitary sewer services have been expandedthroughtheconstructionofconnections to the Regional Sewer System. As a developing community, the City’s capital improve- ment plans focus on expansion and does not presently include capital spending for maintenance of existing sys- tems.ThiswillneedfutureconsiderationbytheCityasthe communitydevelopsandinfrastructureagesandrequires major maintenance and/or replacement. StormWaterProjects ItshouldbenotedthatforthestormwaterCIP,theCityEn- gineerhasincludedprojectsforPhases2and3forregion- al drainage improvements. The City Engineer has identi- öFE UI FGPMMPX JOHJTTVFTGPSUI FTUPSN X BUFSVUJMJUZUI BUBSF BOUJDJQBUFE UPCFBE E SFTTFE JOUI FOFYUöWFUPUFOZFBST • Phase 2 Downtown Regional Drainage project consisting of land acquisition (Shiltgen property west of Lake Elmo Avenue and north of CSAH 14), a storm water pond, and storm water diversion QJQJOHUP4VOöTI -BLF • Phase 3 Downtown Regional Drainage project consisting of storm sewer piping south of CSAH 14nearHagbergs.Thepondingmaybedeveloper paid, but for the purposes of this report it is as- sumed to be paid from utility revenue. • KraemerLakeFloodplainstudywillbeneededbe- foredevelopmentcanoccurinI-94corridor,Phase 3 area (between Keats-Lake Elmo Avenue). Source of Funding for Capital Projects The source of funding for the planned capital projects includes one of the following sources or a combination thereof: fund balance (cash); bond proceeds; and special assessments. Debt Service Planned funding for utility infrastructure projects antici- patestheissuanceofdebttoundertakeplannedimprove- ments and to manage annual fee increases. TheprojectionsassumethattheCitywillissuegeneralob- ligation bonds secured by revenues from the utility funds 8 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtServiceto pay principal and interest. This approach provides the lowestcostofdebt.Thesebondswillnotcountagainstthe City’s debt limit.Debt management is an important factor in the City’s ongoing capital improvements planning. The estimates for debt service are based on bonds to be paid over 15 years and level annual debt service.The esti- mated interest rates used to calculate annual debt service are generally based on today’s current rate environment. 5I FBDUVBMJOUFSFTUSBUFTX JMME FQFOE POöOBMTUSVDUVSFBOE  market conditions at time of issuance. TablesE1andE2,beginningonpage12,providesinformationon the City’s existing and projected future debt obligations supported by the utility funds. • Table E-1 includes information on projected debt (bonds) outstanding as of year-end for each of the utility funds. • Table E-2 includes information on projected annual debt service (principal and interest) payments for each of the utility funds. 9 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService 10 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService 11 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService 12 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService 13 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService 14 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService The annual debt outstand- ing as of year-end shown in Chart 2 includes G.O. revenue bonds secured by water, sani- tary sewer, and storm water revenues. The chart includes both exist- ing debt and estimated debt anticipated to be issued in the future and paid from util- ity revenues. Future bond is- suance estimates are based on the City’s capital improve- ment plan. Chart 2 includes debt sup- portedbyutilityrevenueonly and does not include existing or future estimated debt that is paidfromproperty tax levy. 15 Capital Improvement Plan andDebtService Theannualdebtservice(prin- cipal and interest) shown in Chart 3 includes G.O. revenue bonds secured by water, sani- tary sewer, and storm water revenues. The annual amounts include bothexistingdebtservice(on outstanding bonds) and esti- mated debt service on bonds anticipated to be issued in the future and paid from util- ity revenues. Future bond is- suance estimates are based on the City’s capital improve- ment plan (seeTable D). Chart 3 includes debt sup- portedbyutilityrevenueonly and does not include existing or future estimated debt that is paidfromproperty tax levy. 16 UtilityRates UTILITYRATES Key Factors 1SPKFDUJOHUI FVUJMJUZSBUFTOFDFTTBSZUPN BJOUBJOUI Fö nancialstabilityoftheCity’sutilityoperationsrequiresde- velopment and analysis of the following key factors: • Estimates for future annual operating expenditures, including personnel, materials and supplies, cost of electricity, and other operating expenses. The City contracted with TKDA Engineering Firm to perform a reviewoftheCity’soperations.TheresultsoftheTKDA revieware includedinthe futureannualoperatingex- penditures included in this report. • Metropolitan Council Environmental Service (MCES) sewer fee charged to the City by the Metropolitan Councilforregionalcollectionandtreatmentofwaste water. This is an operating expense that the City does not have control over. • Annual capital expenditure to maintain and improve the utility systems. • Annual debt servicePOCPOE TJTTVFE UPöOBODFDBQJ tal improvements. • Growth in customers using and paying for the sys- tems. This growth will provide additional revenue to the systems at time of platting, connection, and on- going usage, but will also create additional demand for services. • Available other revenue sources other than fees and charges to users of the water and sanitary sewer ser- vices. Annual Operating Expenditures Costs incurred in operating the utility systems, which are used up in the period in which acquired, are recorded as operating expenditures. Annual growth in operating expenditures, not including the MCES charge, has been modest.Itisanticipatedthatgrowthinfutureyearswillbe 2.0% annually. The operating expense projections included in this report were prepared by Bernie Bullert, fromTKDA.The City con- tracted with TKDA to perform a review of the City’s op- erations for the utility systems and to provide input into future estimated capital improvement projects. TKDA will provide the City with a report that explains the assump- tions and other factors behind the operating expenses that are included in the pro forma for each of the utility funds. Depreciation is reported as an operating expenditures and is the process of allocating the costs of an asset over its useful life in a systematic and rational manner. Depre- ciation is projected to change with capital spending and depreciation of both existing and future acquired assets. The appendix to this report includes information on the calculation of depreciation for this report. MetropolitanCouncil Environmental Services TheMCESchargetocitiesforregionalcollectionandtreat- ment has been volatile in recent years. MCES experienced SFWFOVFMPTTFTGSPN UI FTJHOJöDBOUE SPQJOSFHJPOBME FWFM opment during the recession which has caused a corre- sponding decline in revenue collected by the Council for Sewer Availability Charges (a one time fee for new con- nections).Forprojectionpurposes,thestudyassumesthat future charges paid to MCES for collection and treatment 17 UtilityRates will increase by 5.0% annually. This is part of the annual operating expense to the City’s Sewer Fund. The City accounts for the collection and payment of the MCES “Sewer Availability Charge” (SAC) through an ac- counts payable account. Therefore the pro forma for the sanitary sewer fund (see Table K-3, on page 34) does not in- clude a separate revenue and expense line item for the MCES SAC. Annual Capital Expenditures TheCIP anticipates paying for futurecapitalimprovement project costs with a combination of revenue sources. The City anticipates future development will provide the neededrevenuetotheCityforpayingforutilityexpansion through the collection of development fees (an availabil- ity and a connection charge). Paying for annual planned capital improvement projects with cash may be a sound strategy depending on the de- tails of the project. It avoids incurring annual interest ex- pense. However, this strategy requires advance planning and implementation of utility fees and charges that pro- WJE FBE FRVBUFDBTI øPX  For large (non-routine) capital expenditures or unantici- pated capital expenditures, the use of bonding to fund capital minimizes annual rate increases that otherwise wouldbenecessary.ItalsoallowstheCitytochargefuture customers the cost of infrastructure with a longer useful life, versus putting the entire burden on today’s custom- ers. The CIP anticipates bonding for certain project costs. The resulting annual debt service on the bonds is includ- FE JOUI FöOBODJBMQMBOTGPSUI F6 UJMJUZ'VOE T Debt Service Debt service in the Utility Funds is paid from revenue col- lected from utility fees, availability and connection charg- es, and special assessments. The CIP anticipates debt is- suance to be supported by the revenues within the utility funds. "MMDVSSFOUBOE GVUVSFE FCUJTBDDPVOUFE GPSJOUI FöOBODJBM plans that are included in this report. The estimated debt serviceisbasedon15yearsbondspayableatcurrentmar- ketinterestrates.Futureestimatedutilityfeesandcharges SFøFDUUI FDPTUPGUI FFTUJN BUFE JODSFBTFGPSE FCUTFSWJDF Growth in Customers Growth in customers fromfuture landdevelopment is the most important factor in determining the projections for future utility rates. Build out of approved developments will bring an increase in revenue to the City’s utility funds through the collection of availability and connection charges and fees collected for service and usage of the systems. Availability charges and connection charges are one time charges collected at the time of development and connection to the system. Estimating the increase in future customers from growth in residential and commer- cial development is the most volatile factor in developing öOBODJBMQSPKFDUJPOTGPSUI FVUJMJUZGVOE TTableFandChart4 andChart5,beginningonpage18,include information on the assumed growth in residential equivalent units (“REU”) fromfuturedevelopment.Theprojectedannualgrowthin 3&6TXBTFTUBCMJTIFECZ$JUZTUBòBOEQSPWJEFEUP/PSUI land for this report. The pace of future development will increase or decrease projected revenues shown in this report and impact fu- ture utility rates. For this reason it is critical that the City 18 UtilityRates 19 UtilityRates The estimates for future growth from development, shown in residential equiva- lentunitsinChart4andChart  XBTQSFQBSFECZ$JUZTUBò The data was provided to Northland Securities as an input for the study and this report. The assumption on growth, and annual units platted and connected, is an important input for projecting future revenue for the utility funds. Revenue from increased residential equivalent units comes from a one time pay- ment of the City’s availabil- ity charge and connection charge and then from on- going payment for use of the systems. The availabil- ity charge is paid at time of platting and the connection charge at time of connection. 20 UtilityRates VQE BUFJUTöOBODJBMQMBOTCBTFE POBDUVBMHSPX UI  Available Other Revenues There is limited other revenues that provide a source of funding for utility services.The majority of the cost to op- erateandmaintainthesystemispaidfromfeesandcharg- es collected from those using the system. Other revenue includes interest income on cash balances, special assess- ments, grants, and rents. Historical Utility Rates Informationonhistoricalratesisprovidedin TableG,TableH, andTableI,beginningonpage21, for each of the utility funds. Ratesshownarebilledquarterly,withtheexceptionofthe stormwaterfeewhichisbilledto customersreceivingthis chargeonanannualbasis.TheCitychargesabasicservice fee for water only. Future Utility Rates Informationonfutureprojectedutilityratesforyears2017 to2025isalsoincludedin TableG,TableH,andTableI,foreach PGUI FVUJMJUZGVOE T5I FQSPKFDUFE GVUVSFSBUFTSFøFDUUI F rates necessary to maintain adequate cash balance in the utility funds. These rates applied against projected cus- tomers and usage is used to calculate the annual estimat- FE DI BSHFTGPSTFSWJDFTGFFTTI PX OJOUI FöOBODJBMQMBOT (pro forma) for each utility fund. The report assumes a 1.0% annual increase in water and sewer rates, beginning in year 2018. The annual rate in- crease is assumed on the quarterly base fee and usage fees only. The annual fee for storm water is assumed to increase by $10.00 per year, beginning in year 2017. As stated, the increases are needed to ensure the City is able UPNBJOUBJOTVóDJFOUDBTIJOUIFVUJMJUZGVOETPWFSUIF long-term. There is no assumed change to the develop- ment fees (connection and availably charges). The validity of the tier structure the City uses for charging customers for water, based on volume of water sold, was not reviewed as part of this study. The current adopted tier structure appears to be reasonable. ProjectedVolumes ofWaterSoldand Sanitary Sewer Billed Annual estimated volume of water sold by tier and esti- mated sanitary sewer billed by year is included in Table G and Table H. The estimated gallons of water billed is sum- marized in Chart6,onpage24. The City was not able to provide information on histori- calvolumesoldpertiersoassumptionsweremadeonthe volumes sold per tier in order to prepare this report and toprojectfuturerevenuesfrombillingofwaterusage.The assumptions should be updated in the future as better is available from the City’s billing system. The report assumes average annual volume of 96,000 gal- lonsperresidentialcustomer(or8,000gallonspermonth). This volume is pro-rated across the City’s tier structure us- ing estimated historical data (actual data was not avail- able). For commercial customers, annual volume is cal- culated based on prior year estimated volumes adjusted by the percentage increase in commercial (and school) customers.The report assumes annual sewer volume bill- er per customer, for both residential and commercial, of 72,000 gallons (or 6,000 per month). The assumptions for residential and commercial custom- ersvolumeusageforbothwaterandsanitarysewerneeds to be revisited and reviewed as better information be- comes available fromtheCity’s utility billingsysteminthe future and historical billing data becomes available. 21 UtilityRates 22 UtilityRates 23 UtilityRates 24 UtilityRates The estimated annual gallons of water billed is projected to increase as more customers connect to the water system. This report assumes that the average annual usage per customer, for residential and commercial, remains con- stant. 25 FinancialPlans FINANCIAL PLANS #BTFE POI JTUPSJDBMöOBODJBMQFSGPSN BODF QSPKFDUFE VUJM ity rates andstructure, andanticipatedfuturecapitalproj- FDUT öOBODJBMQMBOT QSPGPSN B I BWFCFFOQSFQBSFE GPS each the utility funds. KeyAssumptions 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOTGPSFBDI PGUI FVUJMJUZGVOE TX BTE FWFM oped based on several key assumptions which are as fol- lows: • Operating expenditures, including personnel costs and materials supplies and all other operating ex- pense will increase by 2.0% annually along with other adjustments as prepared by TKDA Engineering Firm. The City contracted withTKDA to perform a review of theCity’soperationsfortheutilitysystemsandtopro- vide input into future estimated capital improvement projects. TKDA is to present the City with a report that will provide information on the assumptions and other factors behind the operating expenses that are included in the pro forma for each of the utility funds. • Nochangeinexistingtierstructureforfeesandcharg- es. • Depreciation is estimated based on projected capital improvements with new assets assumed to be depre- ciated over a 40 year term. Information on calculation of net capital assets, including depreciation is includ- ed in the Appendix. • Current capital improvement plan will be implement- ed at estimated project costs and projected sources of funding as included in this report. This includes an increase in future debt service for payment on bonds to be issued. • Utility fees for use of the system are assumed to in- crease by 1.0% annually for water and sanitary sewer services, beginning in year 2018. The annual rate in- creaseisassumedonthequarterlybasefeeandusage fees only. The annual fee for storm water is assumed toincreaseby$10.00peryear,beginninginyear2017. • Connection and availability charges are assumed to remain constant for years 2016-2025. Revenue from these charges is used to pay for the system, including the planned capital projects and related debt service. • Theproposedfutureutilityfeesandchargesareshown to be at a level that is adequate to maintain cash bal- BODFTJOUIFGVOETTVóDJFOUUPDPWFSUIFGPMMPXJOH 1) six months of operating expenses; 2) the following year’s capital improvements that are planned to be fundedwithcash;and3)thefollowingyear’sdebtser- vice. 26 FinancialPlans WATER FUND Fund Description The Water Fund is used to account for the operating and capital improvement costs of the water utility system. Background 5I F8 BUFS'VOE JTJOTPVOE öOBODJBMDPOE JUJPO'VUVSFö nancialperformance willbe impacted by the timing of fu- ture development of land in the City and the timing of re- ceipt of development fees (trunk line availability charges and connection charges) that will support infrastructure costs and receipt of charges for service for usage of the system. Source of Funds There are two major source of funds for the Water Fund: thecollectionofchargesforservicefees(basefeeandvol- ume usage fees) and development fees collected at time of platting and time of connection to the system. Future revenue from charges for service fees will increase as the number of customers increases over time and the volume of water sold increases. 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOGPSUI F8 BUFS'VOE BTTVN FTOPDI BOHF in the City’s existing rate structure and assumes rates in- crease of 1.0% annually beginning in year 2018. TheCitycollectsrevenuefromarentalfeeforaccesstothe City’s water tower by communication companies. InterestincomeisearnedonthecashbalanceintheWater Fundthatisrecordedasrevenue.Theinvestmentearnings rate is projected to be 0.5% for future years. Special assessments levied for water infrastructure im- provements is recorded as revenue in theWater Fund. Use of Funds The use of funds is to pay for the operation of the water system, debt service expense, depreciation, and autho- rized transfers to other funds that may occur from time to time. Operating expense line item details can be found in Table J-3. Debt service expense, which includes interest expense on bonds, can be found in Table E-2. (Principal payments on bonds supported by the Water Fund result in a reduction of liability for the Fund.) Depreciation expense details, including calculation of projected net capital assets, can be found in AppendixA,. Transfers 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOE PFTOPUBOUJDJQBUFBOZGVUVSFUSBOT fers in or out of funds from the Water Fund to other city funds. Presently the City does not charge the utility funds for General Fund overhead but does charge the fund for BENJOJTUSBUJWFTUBòUJNF Balance SheetItems 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOJODMVE FTQSPKFDUFE BTTFUTBOE MJBCJMJUJFT for the Water Fund, this includes projected annual year- end cash balance.Table J-2 provides a detailed summary on projected change in cash year by year.TheWater Fund cash balance includes funds collected and recorded as deferred revenue and funds held in escrow related to the refunding of bonds. WATERFUND 27 FinancialPlans WATERFUND 28 FinancialPlans WATERFUND 29 FinancialPlans WATERFUND 30 FinancialPlans Estimated year end cash bal- ances are projected to in- DSFBTFPWFSUI FOFYUöWFZFBST and then will be spent down as projects are implemented and cash balances are drawn down. The source and use of funds includes depreciation and capital contributions. The dif- ference between the annual source and use of funds is the change in net assets of the fund. WATERFUND 31 FinancialPlans SANITARY SEWER FUND Fund Description TheSanitarySewerFundisusedtoaccountfortheoperat- ing and capital improvement costs of the sanitary sewer utility system. Background 5I F4BOJUBSZ4FX FS'VOE JTJOTPVOE öOBODJBMDPOE JUJPO 'VUVSFöOBODJBMQFSGPSN BODFX JMMCFJN QBDUFE CZUI FUJN  ing of future development of land in the City and the tim- ing of receipt of development fees (trunk line availability charges and connection charges) that will support infra- structurecostsandreceiptofchargesforserviceforusage of the system. Source of Funds TherearetwomajorsourceoffundsfortheSanitarySewer Fund: the collection of charges for service fees (base fee and volume usage fees) and development fees collected at time of platting and time of connection to the system. Future revenue from charges for service fees will increase as the number of customers increases over time and the volume of water sold increases. Future development of landthroughplattingwillresultinincreasedrevenuefrom water availability and connection charges. 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOGPSUI F4BOJUBSZ4FX FS'VOE BTTVN FTOP change in the City’s existing rate structure and assumes a rate increase of 1.0% annually beginning in year 2018. InterestincomeisearnedonthecashbalanceintheWater Fundthatisrecordedasrevenue.Theinvestmentearnings rate is projected to be 0.5% for future years. Special assessments levied for sanitary sewer infrastruc- SANITARYSEWER FUNDture improvements is recorded as revenue in the Sanitary Sewer Fund. Use of Funds The use of funds is to pay for the operation of the sanitary sewersystem,debtserviceexpense,depreciation,andau- thorizedtransferstootherfundsthatmayoccurfromtime to time. Operating expense line item details can be found in Table K-3. Debt service expense, which includes interest expense on bonds, can be found in Table E-2. (Principal payments on bonds supported by the Sanitary Sewer Fund result in a reduction of liability for the Fund.) Depreciation expense details, including calculation of projected net capital assets, can be found in AppendixB. Transfers 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOE PFTOPUBOUJDJQBUFBOZGVUVSFUSBOTGFST in or out of funds from the Sanitary Sewer Fund to other city funds. Presently the City does not charge the util- ity funds for General Fund overhead but does charge the GVOEGPSBENJOJTUSBUJWFTUBòUJNF Balance SheetItems 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOJODMVE FTQSPKFDUFE BTTFUTBOE MJBCJMJUJFT for the Sanitary Sewer Fund, this includes projected an- nual year-end cash balance.Table K-2 provides a detailed summary on projected change in cash year by year. 32 FinancialPlans SANITARYSEWER FUND 33 FinancialPlans SANITARYSEWER FUND 34 FinancialPlans SANITARYSEWER FUND 35 FinancialPlans Estimated year end cash bal- ances are projected to in- crease annually between years 2016 and 2025. This is due the projected annual revenue collection exceeding the use. The actual year-end cash bal- ances will be impacted by changes in planned capital spending. As projects are implemented, beyond what is included in the draft CIP, cash balances may be lower than what is projected in this report. The source and use of funds includes depreciation and capital contributions. The dif- ference between the annual source and use of funds is the change in net assets of the GVOE5IFEJòFSFODFJTESJWFO by the projected collection of trunk line availability charges in advance of further build- out of the system. SANITARYSEWER FUND 36 FinancialPlans STORMWATERFUND Fund Description TheStormWaterFundisusedtoaccountfortheoperating and capital improvement costs of the storm water utility system. Background 5I F4UPSN 8 BUFS'VOE JTJOTPVOE öOBODJBMDPOE JUJPO'V UVSFöOBODJBMQFSGPSN BODFX JMMCFJN QBDUFE CZUI FUJN JOH of future development oflandintheCity. Future develop- ment will increasethe demands onthestormwaterutility infrastructure and provide opportunity for increased rev- enue to support the infrastructure and operation of the system. Source of Funds There is one major source of funds for the Storm Water 'VOE UI FDPMMFDUJPOPGBöYFE BOOVBMDI BSHFGPSTFSWJDF fee. The City does not charge an availability fee for the storm water utility system. Build out of the system has been paid as part of the developer’s project costs. Theannualfee,presentlyat$50.00,isassumedtoincrease by $10.00 per year, beginning in 2017. This increase is needed in order to maintain cash balance. Beginning in 2017,theCitywillbeginpayingdebtserviceonthebonds JTTVFE JOUPöOBODFTUPSN X BUFSJN QSPWFN FOUT Some cities choose to manage storm water utility fees UI SPVHI öOBODJOHDFSUBJODBQJUBMJN QSPWFN FOUTX JUI UBY levy, the City will have the ability in the future to consid- er what costs, if any, of the storm water utility should be spread over the cities entire tax base. InterestincomeisearnedonthecashbalanceintheWater Fundthatisrecordedasrevenue.Theinvestmentearnings STORMWATERFUNDrate is projected to be 0.5% for future years. Special assessments levied and recorded as revenue to the StormWater Fund relate to unpaid utility bills and are not related to project costs. Use of Funds The use of funds is to pay for the operation of the storm water system, debt service expense, and depreciation, ex- pense. Operating expense line item details can be found in Table L-3. Debt service expense, which includes interest expense on bonds, can be found in Table E-2. (Principal payments on bonds supported by the Storm Water Fund result in a re- duction of liability for the Fund.) Depreciation expense details, including calculation of projected net capital assets, can be found in AppendixC. Transfers 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOE PFTOPUBOUJDJQBUFBOZGVUVSFUSBOTGFST in or out of funds from the StormWater Fund to other city funds. Presently the City does not charge the utility funds for General Fund overhead but does charge the fund for BENJOJTUSBUJWFTUBòUJNF Balance SheetItems 5I FöOBODJBMQMBOJODMVE FTQSPKFDUFE BTTFUTBOE MJBCJMJUJFT for the Storm Water Fund, this includes projected annual year-end cash balance.Table L-2 provides a detailed sum- mary on projected change in cash year by year. 37 FinancialPlans STORMWATERFUND 38 FinancialPlans STORMWATERFUND 39 FinancialPlans STORMWATERFUND 40 FinancialPlans Estimated year end cash bal- ances are projected to de- cline due to the increase in debt service expense related UPUI FöOBODJOHPGDBQJUBMJN  provement projects.Year-end cashbalancesareexpectedto recover due to the projected increase in the annual storm water fee (assumed to be $5 per year increase). The actual year-end cash bal- ances will be impacted by changes in planned capital spending. As projects are implemented, beyond what is included in the draft CIP, cash balances may be lower than what is projected in this report. The source and use of funds includes depreciation. The EJòFSFODFCFUXFFOUIFBO nual source and use of funds is the change in net assets of the fund. STORMWATERFUND 41 Appendix 42 Appendix 43 Appendix 44 Appendix 45 Appendix The increase in estimated year-end cash is due to the collectionofchargesfromde- velopment to pay for future capital improvement proj- ects, including debt service JTTVFE UPöOBODFUI FQSPKFDUT The estimated spend down of cash is projected to occur as projected development units are realized and the col- lection of development fees begins to decline and debt service payments are met. For year by year explanation of projected change in year- end cash balances, see Table J-2 on page 29 for the Water Fund), Table K-2 on page 34 for the Sanitary Sewer Fund, and Table L-2 on page 39 for the StormWater Fund. 46 Appendix AsnotedforChart13onpage 46, the increase in estimated year-end cash is due to the collectionofchargesfromde- velopment to pay for future capital improvement proj- ects, including debt service JTTVFE UPöOBODFUI FQSPKFDUT The CIP anticipates the issu- ance of debt in the future to payforcapitalimprovements. The projected future year- end cash as percent of year- end debt outstanding will increase as cash increases from the collection of devel- opment charges. The cash collected will be used to pay future debt service. Northland Securities, Inc. 45 South 7th Street, Suite 2000 Minneapolis, MN 55402 (800) 851-2920 Member NASD and SIPC