Loading...
HomeMy WebLinkAbout#13 - 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update STAFF REPORT DATE: 02/05/2019 REGULAR TO: Planning Commission FROM: Ken Roberts, Planning Director AGENDA ITEM: Approval of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update REVIEWED BY: Jennifer Haskamp, Swanson Haskamp Consulting Kristina Handt, City Administrator INTRODUCTION The City Council is being asked to review and approve the final draft of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update and authorize staff to submit the proposed Comprehensive Plan update to the Metropolitan Council. BACKGROUND: The City has been working with consultant Swanson Haskamp Consulting since February of 2017 on the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update (Update). As part of the update process, the city held several community engagement events including 4th of July Parade, Arbor Day, Tri-Lakes Ski Show, Farmers Market; Advisory Panel meetings; and two Open Houses. Two public hearings were held at the Planning Commission meetings on May 7, 2018 and May 30, 2018 and two Council Workshops were held at the March 13, 2018 and May 8, 2018. As explained at the May 15, 2018 City Council meeting, the City’s 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update (Update) was originally due to the Metropolitan Council by December 31, 2018. While the City wanted to meet that deadline, an extension request was made (and it was granted) to extend this deadline to February 28, 2019. Before the City can submit the Update to the Metropolitan Council, it must first submit the Update to adjacent jurisdictions for review. These jurisdictions have up to six months to complete this review, although it may not take this long. (This review period is now complete). The next step is for the City Council to approve, with a 4/5 vote, to submit the Comprehensive Plan update to the Metropolitan Council for their final review and approval. On January 14, 2019, the Planning Commission held a public hearing, took testimony from two interested parties and recommended approval of the final draft of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update. (See their comments below). 2 Neil Krueger, 4452 Lake Elmo Ave, has been part of the process for a long time and has submitted comments in the past. Krueger feels that the City could do a better job of responding to comments that are submitted. Krueger is wondering what the process is for the MUSA boundary to be changed. Krueger feels strongly about providing affordable housing. There was no discussion about the Manning/Hwy 36 area which has land in Lake Elmo. Krueger feels that design standards are very important and the term should be recognized in the Comprehensive Plan. Krueger is wondering if there will be enough fresh water to provide for the population that is proposed for the next 20 years and are there any assurances that we can provide water to residents. Susan Saffle, 110180 50th Street, greatest concern is fresh water for the City and if there will be enough for people as the population grows. ISSUE BEFORE CITY COUNCIL: Should the City Council approve the final draft of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update and authorize staff to submit the updated Comprehensive Plan to the Metropolitan Council for their approval? PROPOSAL DETAILS/ANALYSIS: Option to Make Changes after Jurisdictional Review. The submittal for adjacent jurisdictional review was sent in draft form. Therefore, the City Council can still make minor changes to the Draft 2040 Comprehensive Plan. These changes cannot be significant however, in that they cannot significantly impact traffic patterns or land use for adjacent jurisdictions. The City could still make changes to the goals and strategies – but staff would not recommend any at this time. Changes since the 2030 Comprehensive Plan. The City Council requested at the workshop on May 8, 2018 that Staff outline the significant changes since the last Comprehensive Plan Update. Below is a summary of these changes, categorized by Chapter: • Chapter 1: Community & Planning Context o This provides a summary of current demographic and socio-economic trends; current market snapshot (both local and regional) and planning context (regional context requirements by the Metropolitan Council and local context and objectives guiding plan development). The regional context requirements reflect the Metropolitan 2015 Systems statement, which forecast that Lake Elmo will more than double its population and add more than 2.5 times the number of households counted in the last census of 2010, and employment will add another 1,000 jobs, increasing by 125% from now until 2040. The local context and objectives guiding plan development describe the process through which the Update was drafted. It also outlines changes from the 2030 Plan, which explains that the Update is a re- write from the previous Plan, taking in to consideration current market place and expected demand. • Chapter 2: Vision, Goals & Strategies o This chapter is similar to the 2030 Plan’s City-Wide Planning Policy. The former plan’s City-Wide Planning Policy outlined goals that pertained to that planning period, including agricultural preservation, goals for residential and non-residential development, housing, environmental protection, municipal services, 3 transportation, I-94 Freeway Corridor Planning Policy, and Village Area Planning Policy. The 2040 Update provides a Vision Statement and outlines goals and strategies. These goals and strategies were derived from a Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT) analysis exercise by the Advisory Panel. These goals and strategies pertain to character and governance; land use; balanced development and growth; and housing; parks, trails and open space; and transportation and infrastructure. • Chapter 3: Land Use o Sewered Development. The previous existing land use plan did not include any developed areas that were in the Metropolitan Urban Services Area (MUSA), and the 2040 Update’s existing land use includes sewered development (Inwood, Savona, Easton Village, etc.). o Density. Densities within the plan have changed as follows:  Density ranges for Medium Density Residential and High Density Residential were shifted from 4.5-7 units per acre (upa) to 4.0-8 upa and 7.5-15 upa to 8-15 upa, respectively, to allow for a better integration of uses and more flexibility to respond to market demands.  Density ranges for Village Low Density Residential and Village Medium Density Residential have hanged from 1.5-2.49 upa to 1.5-3 upa and 2.5- 4.99 upa to 3-8 upa, respectively, and a Village High Density Residential Land Use with a density of 8-12 upa in order to provide for an increase in types of housing stock, provide opportunities for a more affordable and lifecycle housing, and bring higher concentration of people living close to Village destinations and amenities. o Mixed Use. The Mixed Use south of 10th Street has changed. The 2030 Plan stated that mixed use areas south of 10th Street could be zoned in accordance with either the base or adjacent land use category. This is not actually mixed use. The 2040 Update actually proposes mixed use commercial and mixed use business park land uses in parts of the areas south of 10th Street, which assumes that land will develop with a minimum of 50% residential use. o Business Park. The Business Park land use category specifically exempts residential use, warehousing, manufacturing, distribution, assembly and truck terminals, whereas the 2030 Plan allowed such uses. The aforementioned mixed use business park does, however, allow warehousing, showroom, light manufacturing and residential use. o Commercial. The Commercial category specifies that this land use category is to be used for retail business and not to be used for residential, whereas the 2030 Plan allowed for a broader range of uses, including residential. The mixed use commercial category does allow residential use. o Village.  Greenbelt Buffers. These are not within the 2040 Update. The City can still require buffering through ordinance development including required setbacks, landscaping, etc. to buffer less intensive uses from more intensive uses.  Much of the area north of Stillwater Boulevard is now guided for Commercial, while it was previously designated as Village Mixed Use. Most of the area south of Stillwater Boulevard is planned Village Mixed Use with areas to the east planned medium density residential. 4  There is no longer a Village Plan. Rather, there is reference to creating three districts within the Village: Civic, Elmo Station, and Old Village, which are further described in the Balanced Development & Growth Chapter (Chapter 4). o Rural Areas. Residential Estates and Rural Single Family land use designations were combined into one Rural Single Family land use designation, which allows development at a density of 0.1-2 units per acre. Additionally, there is no longer a density requirement for Open Space Preservation developments. The Update simply states that these developments generally average more than one residential unit per 10 acres. o MUSA. There is no change to the MUSA except for amendments since the 2030 Plan that the City Council has already approved. o Staging Plan. The Staging Plan has changed slightly, and specifies specific development time periods and includes the Village Area. The 2030 Plan designated stages. The 2040 Update still designates the areas south of 10th Street in the same order as the 2030 Plan. • Chapter 4: Balanced Development & Growth o This is a new chapter that describes what types of development patterns exist today, where those patterns are changing and evolving and where they are likely to stay the same. • Chapter 5: Housing o The housing chapter presents important housing principles that underscore the dynamics behind the role and importance of housing as a key element within the Plan; focuses on existing housing stock, summarizing important information regarding the overall number, types, affordability, and occupants of housing units; projected need for housing during this planning period; and practical implementation tools to help the City achieve its identified housing goals. The 2030 Plan had similar goals, including providing more affordable and a wider variety of housing. • Chapter 6: Parks, Trails, and Open Space o The Parks and Trails chapter focuses on refining and synthesizing information contained within the 2030 Comprehensive Plan and preparing an update that is more concise, clear and direct about the City’s goals and objectives for its future in regards to parks and trails. It now functions at a higher level of detail that will focus and more clearly demonstrate the interconnected quality of the Parks and Trails system. There are wider park search areas, and the trail plan identifies a regional trail search corridor and broader trail search corridors. This Chapter will evolve in to an updated Park System Plan and a Trail System Plan that implements this chapter as part of the implementation process. • Chapter 7: Transportation o The 2030 Plan has been updated to use new numbers in the 2040 Plan and also includes updated road classification and new improvements to be made. • Chapter 8: Surface Water o Information updated. • Chapter 9: Wastewater Facilities o Information from the 2030 Plan was updated significantly, as the 2030 Plan only planned for, and did not include, infrastructure. 5 • Chapter 10: Water Supply o It is required that the City update this section with the 2040 Comprehensive Plan housing and population projections. The numbers will need to be updated once the final population numbers are determined. • Chapter 11: Implementation o Rather than designating implementation within each individual chapter, there is an implementation chapter that describes implementation for each chapter in the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update. Jurisdictional Review Comments: The City received a few comments from adjacent jurisdictions about the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update. Many of the comments were recommending minor corrections (especially to the maps), were notes of general support or had no comment. The City of Afton sent comments about the proposed update. I have attached their comments for your consideration. While staff appreciates their concerns and comments, it is our opinion they are not significant enough to warrant changes to the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update. Washington County also sent comments about the Draft Plan. I have attached their comments for your consideration. Staff has incorporated many of their comments in this latest version of the plan. The Metropolitan Airports Commission (MAC) sent the City comments for the Transportation Chapter (Aviation) relating to Lake Elmo Airport, its Master Plan and how that plan relates to the City of Lake Elmo. They noted that they recently updated the Airport Master Plan and that the Airport is now classified as a regional airport. They also noted the ongoing importance of runway and airspace protection zones around the runways and that the City should take these into consideration when reviewing new developments. We have incorporated their relevant comments and changes into the Plan update as needed. Since June of 2018, staff also made some minor spelling and grammar corrections and clarifications to the draft 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update. They are included in the latest version (dated 1-06-19) for your review. The latest version of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan update is available on the City website and is available at lakeelmoplan2040.com/documents/ (To open: Right click then click open hyperlink). This is the version of the proposed Comprehensive Plan the City Council should be considering and making a decision about this evening. Staff has attached Chapter 3, the Land Use Plan, and Chapter 5, the Housing Plan of the draft Comprehensive Plan Update to this report as they had the most changes since June and are probably of most interest to the City Council. OPTIONS: Staff is requesting that the City Council review and approve the January 6, 2019 version of the Comprehensive Plan update and authorize staff to submit the updated Comprehensive Plan to the Metropolitan Council. The City Council may: 1. Approve the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan update as written; 2. Approve the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan update with minor changes; 6 3. Direct staff to send the draft 2040 Comprehensive Plan update back to the Planning Commission for further study and possible changes; or 4. Take no action on the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan update. RECOMMENDATIONS: Staff recommends the City Council: 1. Approve the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan update with the Chapters dated 1-06- 2019 and 1-30-2019; and 2. Authorize staff to submit the proposed Comprehensive Plan to the Metropolitan Council. by adopting the following motions: 1. “Move to adopt Resolution 2019-011 approving the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update (with the Chapters dated 1-06-2019 and 01-30- 2019): and 2. Move to adopt Resolution 2019-012 authorizing staff to submit the updated Comprehensive Plan (and all required materials) to the Metropolitan Council for their approval.” Note: The Metropolitan Council specifically requires the City Council adopt separate motions for each of these items. ATTACHMENTS: 1. 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update (1-6-19) 2. Chapter 3 – Land Use Plan Chapter dated 1-30-2019 of 2040 Plan Update 3. Chapter 5- Housing Chapter dated 1-30-2019 of the 2040 Plan Update 4. City of Afton comments 5. Washington County comments 6. Resolution of Comprehensive Plan Approval 7. Resolution Authorizing Plan Submittal to the Metropolitan Council DRAFT Chapter 3: Land Use Existing & Future F Draft 2040 Future Land Use Plan Urban Reserve V-UHD V-MXD V-ULD V-UMD MXD-BP MXD-UHD ULD UMD UHD RAD RE RSF RSFS GC C LB Institutional BP Park/OS ROW PSP MUSA2040_Revised 2020 - 2030 2020 2020 SOUTH MUSASOUTH MUSAVILLAGEMUSA 2020 existing existing existing 2030-2040 post-2040 2030-2040 2020 - 2030 post-2040 post-2040 existing 2020 ex i s t i n g post-2040 existing existing F Draft 2040 Future Land Use Plan Urban Reserve V-UHD V-MXD V-ULD V-UMD MXD-BP MXD-UHD ULD UMD UHD RAD RE RSF RSFS GC C LB Institutional BP Park/OS ROW PSP MUSA2040_Revised 2020 -20302020 2020 SOUTH MUSASOUTH MUSAVILLAGEMUSA 2020 existing existing existing 2030-2040 post-2040 2030-2040 2020 - 2030 post-2040 post-2040 existing 2020 ex i s t i n g post-2040existing existingIDEALAVEN60THSTN 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TILLWATE R B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVENOLSONLAKETRLN 50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N34TH ST NLAKE J A N E TRL N 4 5 T H ST N INWOODAVENHorseshoe ClearUnnamedDeMontrevilleOlsonJaneBerschen'sPond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer GoetschelKlawitterPondDeerPondCrombiePondHedge'sPond Dirk'sPond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 5.2.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, SHC AP RAD RSF RSFS GC LDR MDR HDR MU-BP MU-C V-LDR V-MDR V-HDR V-MU Institutional BP C Park PSP Reserve Closed Landfill ROWIDEALAVEN60THSTN 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENSTILLWATER BLVD N 30TH ST N KEATSAVENOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE JA NE TRL N 4 5TH ST N INWOODAVENHorseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 5.2.2018Source: Washington County, MNGEO, SHC Closed Landfill AP ELU RAD RSF LDR MDR V-LDR V-MDRLB BP GB C MXDIndustrial Institutional Golf Course PSP Park/OS Undeveloped ROW Comprehensive Plan 2040 LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 2 LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 1 INTRODUCTION The City of Lake Elmo is a growing, engaged and dynamic community that has experienced significant change over the past planning period. The City’s proximity to jobs and access to regional amenities means that the City will likely continue to experience external pressures to grow. Consequently, it is essential for the City to develop a thoughtful, well-planned approach to its future land uses and growth strategy. The following Chapter will focus first on existing land uses that will provide a baseline from which the Future Land Use Plan (FLU) was derived. The FLU guides anticipated densities of new neighborhoods, locations of future mixed-use and employment centers, and guides land for commercial and retail services through 2040. The community understands that while there is significant growth pressure and demand today for certain types of development, that demand is likely to ebb and flow and change over the next several decades as market trends fluctuate. More detail regarding current market trends and development can be found in Chapter 4. Balanced Development & Growth within this Plan; however, the pace of growth is addressed through the Staging Plan that is included in subsequent sections of this Chapter. The Staging Plan provides sequential geographic areas available for development and growth during prescribed time periods that methodically allows for contiguous development and cost-effective expansion of municipal services to undeveloped areas of the community. The Future Land Use, Staging and Special Area plans contained within this Chapter, if consistently followed and implemented, directly support the goals and objectives contained within Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies. The intent of this chapter is to demonstrate where land use changes are anticipated, where existing land use patterns are guided to stay the same, and how these land uses patterns will continue to support the identity and character of the community through this planning period. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 2 2040 Land Use Highlights – What’s to Come »The Existing Land Use Patterns in the Rural Residential areas should be protected through this planning period; some new rural residential neighborhoods, including open space developments, are anticipated to develop consistent with the City’s rural tradition. »New Future Land Use designations will allow for a better response to market conditions and will allow greater options in land use choices. »Integration of more diverse neighborhood patterns and densities will allow for a stronger commitment to the staging plan. »Refinement of staging and infrastructure phasing to promote contiguous, efficient development patterns. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 3 Existing Land Use The existing land use patterns reflect the City’s past commitment to the rural landscape and investment in development of primarily single-family detached housing. Rural residential neighborhoods with conventional rural subdivisions and open space development subdivisions are sprinkled throughout much of the community’s landscape. The many lakes of the City are dotted with smaller residential lots that once were dominated by vacation homes that have now transitioned to full-time residences. The Lake Elmo Regional Park Reserve is centered in the City providing a hub of natural and recreational resources for both City and metro area residents. The “Old Village” is the historical hub of activity in the City, and a mix of uses is present today including some residential, commercial and office users. Business uses, employment pockets and retail/service users are primarily located in or near the “Old Village”, along the I-94 corridor, or at major intersections and thoroughfares. In Lake Elmo’s 2030 Comprehensive Plan, the City’s existing land uses did not include any areas that were connected to municipal services or located within the Metropolitan Urban Service Area (MUSA). Now, in this 2040 Plan, the existing land use patterns include neighborhoods that have been developed or are under construction that were guided in the MUSA in the previous plan. The availability of municipal services has allowed for the addition of new land use patterns that can be found in developing neighborhoods such as Inwood, Savona, and Easton Village. Additionally, the Old Village area has been incrementally served and connected to municipal services over the past decade, which has allowed for existing small-lot residential neighborhoods to be served, as well as new neighborhoods under development. While the developing neighborhoods in the MUSA continue to be dominated by single-family detached uses, some diversification has started to emerge as a few small pockets of medium-density residential uses are under construction and development. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 4 Table 3-1. Existing Land Use Existing Land Uses Residential Density (dwelling units/acre)Acres % Total Acres Agricultural Preserve (AP)0.025 414.70 2.67% Rural Area Development (RAD)0.1 6,103.13 39.36% Rural Estate (RE)0.1 -0.4 815.26 5.26% Rural Single Family (RSF)0.66 - 2.0 1,754.14 11.31% Low Density Residential (LDR)2 - 4 182.06 1.17% Medium Density Residential (MDR)4 - 8 231.41 1.49% Village - Low Density Residential (V-LDR)1 - 4 36.08 0.23% Village - Medium Density Residential (V-MDR)4 - 6 48.18 0.31% Mixed Use (MU)5 - 12 4.93 0.03% Undeveloped (U)Various 392.15 2.53% Limited Business (LB)NA 71.79 0.46% Business Park (BP)NA 88.01 0.57% General Business (GB)NA 70.09 0.45% Commercial (C)NA 50.27 0.32% Institutional (INST)NA 305.40 1.97% Closed Landfill (CL)NA 67.53 0.44% Public/Semi-Public (PSP)NA 123.55 0.80% Golf Course (GC)NA 267.36 1.72% Parks & Open Space (POS)NA 2,531.43 16.32% Right of Way (ROW)NA 594.18 3.83% Open Water NA 1,355.29 8.74% TOTAL 15,506.96 100.00% LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 5 Map 3-1. Existing Land Use Map 2018 IDEALAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TILLWATER BLV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVENOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A N E TRL N 4 5 T H ST N INWOODAVENHorseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 5.2.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, SHC Closed Landfill AP ELU RAD RSF LDR MDR V-LDR V-MDR LB BP GB C MXD Industrial Institutional Golf Course PSP Park/OS Undeveloped ROW Closed Landfill LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 6 Existing Land Use Definitions Agricultural Preserve (AP) This land use designation identifies land enrolled in the Agricultural Preserves program. Land in this designation is required to be guided for no more than 1 dwelling unit per 40 acres and is protected from further subdivision during the contract period. Rural Area Development (RAD) This land use designation represents the large areas of rural residential development and agricultural uses within the City. Common uses found in these areas include working farms, alternative agricultural uses as defined by City Code and rural single-family detached residences. Development in these areas requires 10+ acres, or a conditional use permit to authorize a cluster development meeting the City’s Preserved Open Space regulations. Rural Estate (RE) This land use designation defines areas developed specifically for large lot single-family detached housing typically on two or more acres of land, but developed at densities more than one unit per ten acres. Rural Single Family (RSF) This land use designation identifies land that was platted for conventional subdivision prior to 2005, and includes large lots that are primarily serviced by private on-site well and septic system. Low Density Residential (LDR) This land use designation identifies land that has been developed with primarily single-family detached housing with urban services between 2010 and 2018 at densities between 2.5 and 4 dwelling units per acre. This existing land use is only located within the South MUSA. Medium Density Residential (MDR) This land use designation identifies land that has been developed primarily with a mix of attached and detached single-family housing with urban services between 2010 and 2018 at densities between 4.5 and 7 dwelling units per acre and the manufactured home park that was developed in the 1960s. This existing land use is only located within the South MUSA. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 7 Village - Low Density Residential (V-LDR) This land use designation identifies land that has been developed with primarily single-family detached housing with urban services between 2010 and 2018 at densities between 1.5 and 2.5 dwelling units per acre. This existing land use is only located within the Village Planning MUSA. Village - Medium Density Residential (V-MDR) This land use designation identifies land that has been developed with primarily single-family detached housing with urban services between 2010 and 2018 at densities between 2.5 and 5 dwelling units per acre. This existing land use is only located within the Village Planning MUSA. Mixed Use (MU) This land use designation identifies land developed with a mix of commercial and residential uses and is limited to land within the Village Planning Area. Undeveloped (U) This land use designation identifies land within the South MUSA and Village MUSA that has been approved for future sewered development through a Preliminary Plat or PUD process, but Final Plat has not been completed. Limited Business (LB) This land use designation identifies areas that are developed with commercial users that are not served by urban services. Users in this designation are generally less intense than would be permitted in the planned MUSA designations. Business Park (BP) This land use designation identifies areas used for professional businesses including medical and research facilities, offices and corporate headquarters. Users specifically excluded for existing park areas include warehousing, manufacturing, distribution, assembly and truck terminals. Retail sales of goods and services are allowed by conditional use permit. General Business (GB) This land use designation identifies areas used for general business activities that currently include warehousing, light industrial and manufacturing uses. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 8 Commercial (C) This land use designation identifies areas that are used for retail and service businesses. This land use can be found within the Village MUSA and South MUSA. Institutional (INST) This land use designation identifies lands that are developed with public or semi-public uses including users such as, but not limited to, religious institutions, schools, libraries and other civic buildings. Public/Semi-Public (PSP) This land use designation identifies lands that support adjacent development with stormwater ponds and other utilities and may include ancillary uses such as trails and small open spaces. Golf Course (GC) This land use designation identifies land that is used for a private golf course and ancillary uses that may include, but not be limited to, driving range, clubhouse and other amenity centers. Park & Open Space (POS) This land use designation identifies land that is used for park, recreation, trails, other natural resources preservation. Land within this designation is publicly owned by either the City, county, or other public agency. Closed Landfill Restricted (CL) This land use designation identifies former landfills that are qualified to be under the Closed Landfill Program of the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency (MPCA). The purpose of this category is to limit uses of land within the closed landfill, both actively filled and related lands, to minimal uses in order to protect the land from human activity where response action systems are in place and, at the same time, are protective of human health and safety. Right of Way (ROW) This land use designation includes all publicly dedicated areas that are used for roadways, shoulders, ditches, and other improvements. It should be noted that not all roads in the City are platted, and many are dedicated by easement and therefore this land area is accounted for through the associated land use designation. As a result there is more land dedicated to road use than identified within the acreages identified on the existing land use table. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 9 FUTURE LAND USE The Future Land Use Plan (FLU) was developed by building on stated goals and strategies as identified through the planning process and documented in Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies. The resulting FLU carefully balances the recommendations and considerations of residents, stakeholders, staff, and policy-makers while responding to and incorporating the regulatory requirements of the Metropolitan Council. The FLU is in part shaped by the policy designations the City is required to meet as part of the Metropolitan Council’s Thrive MSP 2040 Land Use Policy as provided within the 2015 Lake Elmo System Statement. Lake Elmo falls into two categories of Community Designation, as described in Chapter 2: Community Context. Each of these designations carries responsibility for the related Community Role in the regional growth of the metropolitan area in relation to future land use. These roles are outlined in the Metropolitan Council’s Thrive 2040 Land Use Policy and include the following land use practices for Lake Elmo: Emerging Suburban Edge • Plan and stage development for forecasted growth through 2040 and beyond at overall average net densities of at least 3-5 dwelling units per acre in the community. Target higher-intensity developments in areas with better access to regional sewer and transportation infrastructure, connections to local commercial activity centers, transit facilities, and recreational amenities. Future land use must therefore plan to accommodate a minimum residential density of 3 du/acre within this designation. • Identify and protect an adequate supply of land to support growth for future development beyond 2040, with regard to agricultural viability and natural and historic resources preservation. • Incorporate best management practices for stormwater management and natural resources conservation and restoration in planning processes. • Plan for local infrastructure needs including those needed to support future growth. LU Goal #1. Wo rk with residents, developers, land owners and other stakeholders through the development process and require development that is consistent with the Future Land Use Plan. - Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 10 Rural Residential • Discourage future development of rural residential patterns (unsewered lots of 2.5 acres or less) and where opportunities exist, plan for rural development at densities that are not greater than 1 unit per 10 acres. Future land use must therefore plan to limit development to a maximum residential density of 0.1 du/acre within this designation. • Implement conservation subdivision ordinances, cluster development ordinances, and environmental protection provisions in local land use ordinances, consistent with the Council’s flexible residential development guidelines. • Promote best management practices for stormwater management, habitat restoration, and natural resource conservation in development plans and projects. The two distinctive Community Designations require the City to adopt and implement a FLU that provides a minimum residential density within the areas defined as Emerging Suburban Edge (where MUSA is designated), while implementing a maximum residential density for the areas identified as Rural Residential (areas not included within the MUSA in this planning period). The FLU must also identify appropriate land use designations and guide corresponding acreages that support the forecasted employment growth as identified within the System Statement. Additionally, the FLU must guide adequate land area, at appropriate densities, that may accommodate the City’s allocated number of affordable housing units for the period between 2021 and 2030. The employment and affordable housing requirements will be provided for within the MUSA, and are not expected to be met within the Rural Residential Areas. The Emerging Suburban Areas are generally consistent with the MUSA areas identified in the 2030 Comprehensive Plan with two exceptions; 1) the existing single-family homes on the south side of Olson Lake are now served by MUSA; and 2) the newly designated Golf Course Community located on the east side of the community was incorporated into the MUSA through a Comprehensive Plan Amendment in October 2017. With the exception of these two areas, the MUSA and corresponding Emerging Suburban Area designations are unchanged from the previous planning period, and all projected urbanized growth can be accommodated within the boundaries as shown on Map 3-2. 2018-2040 MUSA. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 11IDEALAVEN60THSTN 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENSTILLWATE R B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVENOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A N E TRL N 4 5 T H ST N INWOODAVENHorseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 5.2.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, SHC Map 3-2. 2018 – 2040 MUSA VILLAGE PLANNING AREA (MUSA) SOUTH PLANNING AREA (MUSA) LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 12 Future Land Use Definitions Agricultural Preserve (AP) This land use designation identifies land enrolled in the Agricultural Preserves program. Land in this designation is required to be guided for no more than 1 dwelling unit per 40 acres, and is protected from further subdivision during the contract period. Rural Area Development (RAD) A large percentage of land in Lake Elmo falls within the Rural Area Development designation, including single-family detached homes, working farms and agricultural uses where land is undeveloped, cultivated in crops, or used for livestock. This designation includes open space developments that are developed, or may be developed, with clustered housing and may be served by a community septic system. Open space developments generally average more than 1 residential unit per 10 acres and include a dedicated open space protected through a conservation easement. This designation is inclusive of large-lot rural single-family detached residential uses and future conventional subdivision. Density across this land use designation is planned to maintain maximum densities of 1 residential dwelling unit per 10 acres. This land use designation is limited to areas not within the MUSA planning areas. Rural Single Family (RSF) This land use designation combines the previous Residential Estate and Rural Single-Family categories into one designation to simplify intended land use guidance. Development with this designation includes single-family detached housing served by private on-site well and septic systems. Some areas with this designation are allowed to have two-family dwellings based on zoning. Rural Single Family Sewered (RSFS) This land use designation identifies existing previously unsewered rural single- family land uses located within the Village Planning Area. These properties have either recently been served with municipal sewer and water, or are planned to be served as part of the planned MUSA extensions within the Village Planning Area. Some areas with this designation are allowed to have two-family dwellings based on zoning. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 13 Golf Course Community (GC) In recognition that a Golf Course on the land formerly known as Tartan Park is a local and regional amenity the City wishes to maintain, this specialized land use category has been crafted to maximize the likelihood that a golf course can be maintained on the property should a development proposal for the land come forward. Low Density Residential (LDR) This category includes development of single-family detached housing and two- family attached dwellings with a density of 2.5 to 4 units per acre (2.5 – 4 du/ acre) and are planned to be serviced by public sewer and water. This land use is limited to the part of the City within the South Planning Area. Medium Density Residential (MDR) This category allows for a variety of housing types including single-family detached, duplexes, townhomes, and small two- and three-story apartment buildings and/or senior living centers. The Medium Density Residential development is intended for a density of 4.01 to 8 units per acre (4.01 – 8 du/acre). This land use is limited to the part of the City within the South Planning Area. High Density Residential (HDR) This land use designation guides land for higher density residential development including townhomes, small apartment buildings, and multi-family dwellings. Residential density ranges between 8.01 and 15 units per acre (8.01 – 15 du/acre) and provides opportunities for affordable housing to be incorporated into future developments. This land use is limited to the part of the City within the South Planning Area. Mixed Use Commercial (MU-C) This designation is a new land use designation and identifies where a mix of commercial and residential uses may be integrated to benefit from proximity and adjacencies to each other. Commercial uses in this category include service and retail uses such as, but not limited to, restaurants, shops, convenience stores, salons, studios and dry cleaners. Land with this designation is assumed to develop with a minimum of 50% residential use with a density ranging from 10 to 15 dwelling units per acre (10 – 15 du/acre). LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 14 Mixed Use - Business Park (MU-BP) This land use designation is new and identifies where a mix of general business, business park, and residential uses may benefit or be compatible due to proximity of uses. Business uses in this category include office and service uses such as, but not limited to, offices and agencies, warehouse/showroom, light manufacturing, and live/work development. Land with this designation is assumed to develop with a minimum of 50% residential use with a density ranging from 6 to 10 dwelling units per acre (6 – 10 du/acre). Village – Low Density Residential (V-LDR) This land use designation is planned for areas within the Village Planning Area and identifies land intended for single-family detached housing development serviced by municipal sewer and water. Density ranges between 1.5 and 3 dwelling units per acres (1.5 – 3 du/acre). This land use already exists, or is developing, in much of the outside edges of the Village Planning Area, transitioning from the village center districts to the rural land use pattern not designated within the MUSA areas. Village – Medium Density Residential (V-MDR) This land use designation identifies proposed land use within the Village Planning Area guided for single-family detached, duplexes, and townhomes/ villa housing types. Residential density ranges between 3.01 and 8 dwelling units per acre (3.01 – 8 du/acre). This land use allows for a greater variety in housing stock and brings more people closer to living within easy access of Village destinations and amenities. Village – High Density Residential (V-HDR) This land use designation is a new planned land use within the Village Planning Area and is guided for apartment buildings and multi-family dwellings with a density between 8.01 and 12 units per acre (8.01 – 12 du/acre). This land use is intended to provide for an increase in types of housing stock, provide opportunities for more affordable and lifecycle housing, and bring a higher concentration of people living closer to Village destinations and amenities. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 15 Village – Mixed Use (V-MU) This land use designation is used in the center of the Village Planning Area to identify an area where a mix of vertically integrated commercial/business and residential uses provide development types that benefit from proximity to each other. More residents in closer proximity to businesses bring greater traffic to the businesses while these same businesses offer convenient and necessary services and amenities to nearby residents. Together, the dynamics of a mixed-use district can establish unique vitality, synergy of activity and a true community destination. Land with this designation is assumed to redevelop or develop with a minimum of 50% residential use with a density ranging from 5 to 10 dwelling units per acre (5 – 10 du/acre). Limited Business (LB) This land use designation identifies areas that are developed with commercial users that were not served by urban services. Users in this designation are generally less intense than would be permitted in the planned MUSA designations. Commercial (C) The commercial land use includes areas that are used for retail business and are primarily located within MUSA boundaries of the City. Small pockets of commercial land can also be found where retail goods and services are located at transportation intersections. This category excludes residential and industrial uses. Business Park (BP) This land use provides for a wide variety of professional businesses such as medical and research facilities, offices and corporate headquarters. Retail sales of goods and services are allowable uses by conditional use permit provided such uses are goods and services for the employees of the permitted business use. This land use designation excludes any residential use. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 16 Institutional (INST) The Institutional land use category identifies land that is used for schools, religious institutions, City hall, municipal buildings, libraries, and other institutional uses. This land use is found throughout the City. Public/Semi-Public (PSP) The Public/Semi-Public land use category identifies land that is generally owned by the City or other agency, whose primary purpose is to support adjacent developments with stormwater management and other utilities. This land use may also include some secondary uses such as public trails or small open spaces. Closed Landfill Restricted (CL) This land use designation identifies former landfills that are qualified to be under the Closed Landfill Program of the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency (MPCA). The purpose of this category is to limit uses of land within the closed landfill, both actively filled and related lands, to minimal uses in order to protect the land from human activity where response action systems are in place and, at the same time, are protective of human health and safety. Park & Open Space (Park) This land use identifies land used for public recreation and protected open space managed for park uses. Most land within this designation is owned by Washington County or the City of Lake Elmo, but also includes land owned by other public and semi-public agencies. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 17 LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 18 The following table identifies the total land area within the community and comprehensively includes all existing land uses, not guided for change, and planned land uses. The planned land use designations are generally consistent with the 2030 Land Use Plan, with some exceptions as noted: • The nomenclature regarding sewered residential uses has been changed from “Urban Low Density” to “Low Density Residential, “Urban Medium Density” to “Medium Density Residential” and so forth. This change did not in all cases alter the definition or density ranges but was renamed to better describe the planned land uses. • The density ranges for Medium Density Residential and High Density Residential were shifted to align with the required affordable housing density requirements as noted within the Metropolitan Council’s Housing Policy Plan. • Two mixed use residential land uses were added to areas within the MUSA to allow for a better integration of uses and more flexibility to respond to market demands. These use designations require a minimum residential component as described within the Future Land Use definitions. Table 3-2. Future Land Use Plan and Total Acreage Future Land Use Residential Density (dwelling units/acre)Total Acres % of Total Acres Agricultural Preserve (AP)0.025 414.73 2.67% Rural Area Development (RAD)0.1 4,835.22 31.18% Rural Single Family (RSF)0.1-2.0 2,398.76 15.48% Rural Single Family Sewered (RSFS)0.1-2.0 149.79 0.97% Golf Course Community (GC)1.5-2.49 442.96 2.86% Low Density Residential (LDR)2.5 - 4 477.90 3.08% Medium Density Residential (MDR)4.01 - 8 365.92 2.36% High Density Residential (HDR)8.01 - 15 80.07 0.52% Mixed Use – Commercial (MU-C)10 - 15 138.23 0.89% Mixed Use - Business Park (MU-BP)6 - 10 92.20 0.59% Village – Low Density Residential (V-LDR)1.5 - 3 382.69 2.47% Village – Medium Density Residential (V-MDR)3.01 - 8 157.13 1.01% Village – High Density Residential (V-HDR)8.01 - 12 21.99 0.14% Village – Mixed Use (V-MU)5 - 10 74.10 0.48% Commercial (C)NA 154.92 1.00% Business Park (BP)NA 206.93 1.33% Limited Business (LB)NA 45.76 0.30% Institutional (INST)NA 304.05 1.96% Closed Landfill NA 67.34 0.43% Public/Semi-Public (PSP)NA 205.86 1.33% Park/Open Space (Park)NA 2600.59 16.77% Open Water NA 1355.29 8.74% Right of Way (ROW) Includes RR ROW NA 534.54 3.45% Total 15,506.97 100.00% LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 19IDEALAVEN INWOODAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENSTILLWATER B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A N E TR L N 4 5 T H ST N Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC 2040 Future Land Use AP RAD RSF RSFS GC LDR MDR HDR MU-BP MU-C V-LDR V-MDR V-HDR V-MU LB BP C Closed Landfill Institutional Park PSP ROW MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles Map 3-3. Future Land Use Map Legend Planned Roadway (Parkway) LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 20 Planned Growth Areas Growth within Lake Elmo is expected to primarily occur in areas designated within the MUSA, consistent with the Metropolitan Council’s 2015 System Statement Projections. The City geographically describes their primary growth areas the South Planning Area and the Village Planning Area. Within both of these MUSA boundaries, there is adequate land to serve the projected population, households and employment through 2040. As shown on Map 3-4 and Map 3-5, the areas planned for growth and change in this planning period are identified. Corresponding Table 3-3. Net Developable Acreage of Residential Land Uses provides the calculated density, and expected households, based on the FLU in each of these areas. In addition to the anticipated growth in the areas served within the MUSA, the City also anticipates some growth within the Rural Residential areas consistent with previous plans, and as projected within the 2015 System Statement. Further description regarding the development of the FLU and the growth strategy are provided within Chapter 4: Balanced Development & Growth. Map 3-4. Future Land Use – South Planning Area Planned Growth IDEALAVENINWOODAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TIL LWATE R B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A N E TRL N 4 5 T H ST N Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel KlawitterPond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles LU Goal #3. Continue to educate residents, developers, and stakeholders about the guided land uses and where sewered and non-sewered development is guided. - Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies IDEALAVENINWOODAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENSTILLWATER B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A NE TRL N 4 5 T H ST N Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC 2040 Future Land Use AP RAD RSF RSFS GC LDR MDR HDR MU-BP MU-C V-LDR V-MDR V-HDR V-MU LB BP C Closed Landfill Institutional Park PSP ROW MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 MilesMUSAMUSA Areas Planned for Growth Planned Roadway (Parkway) Legend LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 21 Map 3-5. Future Land Use – Village Planning Area Planned Growth IDEALAVENINWOODAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TIL LWATER BLV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A N E TRL N 4 5 T H ST N Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel KlawitterPond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC 2040 Future Land Use AP RAD RSF RSFS GC LDR MDR HDR MU-BP MU-C V-LDR V-MDR V-HDR V-MU LB BP C Closed Landfill Institutional Park PSP ROW MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 MilesIDEALAVEN INWOODAVEN60THSTN 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TIL LWATE R B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKEJANETRLN 45THSTN Horseshoe Clear UnnamedDeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel KlawitterPond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles Areas Planned for Growth Planned Roadway (Parkway) MUSA MUSALegend LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 22 Table 3-3. Net Developable Acreage of Residential Land Uses Future Land Use Residential Density (dwelling units/net acre) Total Net Acres Estimated Households Low Density Residential (LDR)2.5 - 4 233.43 584 Medium Density Residential (MDR)4.01 - 8 148.50 596 High Density Residential (HDR)8.01 - 15 79.99 640 Mixed Use – Commercial (MU-C)*10 - 15 62.19 622 Mixed Use - Business Park (MU-B)*6 - 10 46.05 276 Village – Low Density Residential (V-LDR)1.5 - 3 142.75 214 Village – Medium Density Residential (V-MDR)3.01 - 8 70.10 211 Village – High Density Residential (V-HDR)8.01 - 12 19.99 160 Village – Mixed Use (V-MU)*5 - 10 8.52 43 Total 2020-2040 Residential 811.56 3,346 Net Density 2020-2040 4.12 du/acre Residential Plats 2010 - 2020 1,180.75 2,444 Total Sewered Households 2010-2040 1,914.81 5,790 Total Net Density 2010-2040 3.02 du/acre *Only residential acreage included/calculated in table. Land Use designation assumption that a minimum of 50% of total acreage is developed with residential use. Total number of households does not exclude potential park areas as contemplated in Chapter 6: Parks Trails and Open Spaces. Actual acres and resulting households to be adjusted and calculated at time of development (Preliminary and Final Plat). Net density does exclude principal/arterial ROW, wetlands, and lake areas. Density in Sewered Areas by 2040 Consistent with the Metropolitan Council’s policies, the density calculation performed based on Table 3-3. Net Developable Acreage of Planned Residential Land Uses will result in an average net density of approximately 3.0 dwelling units per acre. As required, the household calculation in Table 3-3 was performed based on the minimum units allowable per the density range. As shown on Map 3-4 and Map 3-5, there are three land use designations at sufficient densities to meet the City’s allocation of affordable housing per the Metropolitan Council System Statement. Approximately 112 acres are collectively guided for these three designations between 2021 and 2030, which meets the required allocation in this planning period. (Further detail regarding affordable housing can be found in Chapter 5: Housing). LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 23 Revised Population & Household Projections As noted in Table 3-3 the number of households, and thus the corresponding projected population, is greater than the projections identified by the Metropolitan Council in the 2015 System Statement. After much deliberation and discussion, the City concluded that it would be more advantageous to plan for a thoughtful, contiguous land use pattern throughout all MUSA areas rather than limiting the amount of land available for urbanized services within this planning period to match the 2015 System Statement. As denoted in subsequent sections of this Chapter and the Sanitary Sewer Chapter, the City’s infrastructure may need additional improvements to its infrastructure to serve the entire MUSA area depending on the ultimate commercial and/or business user and density of the residential neighborhoods. Thus capacity of the infrastructure within later staging areas will need to be evaluated, and development approvals contingent on appropriate system upgrades. Regardless, this Plan identifies and guides all land within the MUSA with an urbanized land use designation, and therefore the following table provides the City’s adjusted projections based on the Future Land Use Plan and Staging Plan contained in this Chapter. (There are no revisions to the employment forecasts, as those are relatively consistent with the System Statement). Table 3-4. Revised Population & Household Projections 2020 2030 2040 Population Unsewered 6,788 7,140 7,992 Population Sewered 5,032 11,196 15,743 Total Population 11,820 18,335 23,735 Households Unsewered 2,441 2,760 3,379 Households Sewered 1,850 4,116 5,788 Total Households 4,291 6,876 9,167 Source: Lake Elmo System Statement, SHC, City of Lake Elmo LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 24 Employment Locations Existing and planned employment locations are generally located within the Village Planning Area and South Planning Area. Land uses served by MUSA, or planned for extension of services, will continue to be the primary locations for employment through the forecasted planning period. There are some existing limited business land uses located outside of MUSA designations that are anticipated to remain in operations through this planning period, but are not accounted for in Table 3-4 because they are existing, and no intensification of the land use is projected in these areas. To determine the intensity of the commercial and business park uses in the guided FLU, the maximum impervious surface coverage was estimated based on information contained in the City’s Zoning Ordinance. The coverage calculation was converted to square feet and the Metropolitan Council Environmental Services Sewer Area Charge (SAC) 2017 Manual was used to determine allocated SAC units based on the designation and potential users. These land uses are identified on Map 3-3. Future Land Use Plan, Map 3-4. Future Land Use Plan – South Planning Area and Map 3-5. Future Land Use Plan – Village Planning Area. Table 3-5. Employment Locations and Intensity (Planned for Development) Growth Area Land Use Planned Acres Intensity (FAR) Estimated Acres (Square Feet)EMP South Planning Area Commercial 110 35%38.5 (1,677,060)559 Business Parkb 100 35%35 (1,524,600)320 Mixed Use - Commerciala 69.12 35%24.19 (1,053,804)351 Mixed Use - Business Parkab 46.1 35%16.14 (702,841)148 Village Planning Area Commercial 14.9 35%5.21 (227,165)76 Mixed Use - Villagea 9.54 50%4.77 (207,781)69 Total EMP 1,523 aOnly commercial/business component is included in acreage. Approximately 50% of total land use designation used for calculation per land use definition. bBusiness Park Designations calculation assumes office/manufacturing/warehousing mix of general business users. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 25 Airport Impact The Lake Elmo Regional Airport is located adjacent to the City’s eastern boundary in West Lakeland Township. The airport is east of Manning Avenue and between the railroad and 30th Street N. Parts of the airport safety zone and noise impact areas impact a portion of the Village Planning Area in Lake Elmo. A new low density single- family detached residential neighborhood is partially developed with subsequent phases anticipated within this planning period. No development is allowed within the Runway Protection Zone (RPZ). All land designated within the RPZ are designated as Public/ Semi-Public uses and are included within the City’s Greenway Overlay which restrict any future development of land within this designation. The FLU is consistent with allowed land uses within the safety zones for the Lake Elmo Regional Airport and reflects this restriction. The City will continue to work with the Metropolitan Airports Commission and MnDOT Aeronautics Division to update airport zoning regulations that address noise and safety concerns within these zones as required. Map 3-6. Airport Safety and Runway Protection INWOODAVEN60THSTN 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TIL LWAT E R B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE N 50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKEJANETRLN 45THSTN Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson OlsonJane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC 21D_Refined_Alt_3500_RPZ <all other values> Layer State Safety Zone A State Safety Zone B Runway Protection Zone Existing Safety Zone Safety Zone A Safety Zone B MUSA 2040 (Revised) 2040 Future Land Use AP RAD RSF RSFS GC LDR MDR HDR MU-BP MU-C V-LDR V-MDR V-HDR V-MU LB BP C Closed Landfill Institutional Park PSP ROW 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles Source: MAC, City of Lake Elmo, SHC LAKE ELMO AIRPORT Legend IDEALAVENINWOODAVEN10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TIL LWATE R BL V D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A NE TR L N 4 5 T H S T N Horseshoe Clear UnnamedDeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel KlawitterPond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles 21D Refined Alt 3500 Safety Zone State Safety Zone A State Safety Zone B Runway Protection Zone Existing Safety Zone Safety Zone A Safety Zone B Runway Protection Zone LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 26 Phasing & Staged Growth The majority of the City’s growth in households and employment is anticipated to occur within the designated MUSA boundaries; however, there will be some continued development in the rural residential areas of the community consistent with the community’s land use designations. Table 3-6 identifies gross acreages per land use designation, while calculations found in Table 3-3 provide net acreage calculations for each residential land use designation within the designated MUSA as noted. The City’s objective is to plan for phased, contiguous growth to ensure adequate infrastructure and capacity are available to support development. Map 3-7 identifies four staging areas consistent with existing and planned water, wastewater and transportation infrastructure. The City acknowledges that market conditions, as well as other external impacts may influence exactly where and when development occurs, and this map is intended to signal to the City that it must evaluate its infrastructure with respect to timing and development approvals. This is particularly important in the last phase denoted as post-2035. Property withing this staging area should be monitored for capacity and potential improvements based on actual development in earlier phasing periods. Map 3-7. MUSA Growth & Phasing Plan IDEALAVENINWOODAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TILLWATER B LVD N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A NE TRL N 4 5 T H ST N Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles Current (2020) 2020 - 2030 2030-2040 2035-2040 + Staging/Phase LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 27 Table 3-6. Future Land Use Forecast Gross Acreage per Decade Future Land Use Residential Density (dwelling units/acre)2020 Acres (%)2030 Acres (%)2040 Acres (%) Agricultural Preserve (AP)0.025 414.73 (2.67%)414.73 (2.67%)414.73 (2.67%) Rural Area Development (RAD)0.1 6,071.68 (39.15%)5,326.20 (%)4,837.37 (31.19%) Rural Single Family (RSF)0.5 - 2 2,398.76 (15.47%)2,398.76 (15.47%)2,398.76 (15.47%) Rural Single Family Sewered (RSFS)0.5-2 149.79 (0.97%)149.79 (0.97%)149.79 (0.97%) Golf Course Community 1.5-2.49 267.96 (1.73%)442.96 (2.86%)442.96 (2.86%) Low Density Residential (LDR)2.5 - 4 216.16 (1.39%)336.60 (2.15%)477.90 (3.08%) Medium Density Residential (MDR)4.01 - 8 298.89 (1.93%)365.92 (2.36%)365.92 (2.36%) High Density Residential (HDR)8.01 - 15 12.69 (0.08%)80.07 (0.52%)80.07 (0.52%) Mixed Use - Commercial (MU-C)12 - 15 63.73 (0.41%)63.73 (0.41%)138.23 (0.89%) Mixed Use - Business Park (MU-BP)6 - 10 0 (0%)0 (0%)92.20 (0.59%) Village – Low Density Residential (V-LDR)1.5 - 3 202.78 (1.31%)225.45 (1.45%)377.54 (2.43%) Village – Medium Density Residential (V-MDR)3.01 - 5 78.31 (0.50%)157.13 (1.01%)157.13 (1.01%) Village – High Density Residential (V-HDR)8.01 -12 0 (0%)21.99 (0.14%)21.99 (0.14%) Village – Mixed Use (V-MU)5 - 10 76.74 (0.49%)76.74 (0.49%)76.74 (0.49%) Commercial (C)NA 41.16 (0.27%)129.18 (0.83%)154.92 (1.0%) Business Park (BP)NA 99.80 (0.64%)206.93 (1.33%)206.93 (1.33%) Limited Business (LB)NA 45.76 (0.30%)45.76 (0.30%)45.76 (0.30%) Institutional (INST)NA 301.41 (1.94%)301.41 (1.94%)301.41 (1.94%) Public/Semi-Public (PSP)*NA 206.56 (1.33%)206.56 (1.33%)206.56 (1.33%) Closed Landfill NA 67.34 (0.43%)67.34 (0.43%)67.34 (0.43%) Park (Park)*NA 2,602.89 (16.79%)2,602.89 (16.79%)2,602.89 (16.79%) Open Water*NA 1,355.29 (8.75%)1,355.29 (8.75%)1,355.29 (8.75%) ROW / RR ROW*NA 534.54 (3.45%)534.54 (3.45%)534.54 (3.45%) TOTAL NA 15,506.97 (100%)15,506.97 (100%)15,506.97 (100%) LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 28 ADDITIONAL OBJECTIVES OF FUTURE LAND USES The City’s Future Land Use Plan acknowledges and plans for continued household and employment growth through 2040, but also includes preservation and continued support of its rural residential landscape and robust parks and open space system. The City of Lake Elmo has always been identified as an exceptional place to live because of its robust parks system, protected high-quality natural resources, and proximity to major employment, healthcare and retail centers. Even though the community is growing, and in some cases transitioning from a primarily rural residential community, there is a desire and an opportunity to weave the most important elements and characteristics into changing areas of the community to ensure that the identity and character of the community continues for generations to come. Equally important to the planned land uses, densities and projections is the commitment to maintain open spaces, natural resources and parks and to promote opportunities to provide healthy, vibrant, resilient neighborhoods. The following sections should be used as an extension to the Future Land Use Plan and should be incorporated or acknowledged in growth areas and in areas planned for protection of existing uses. There is always an opportunity to do better, and the following themes help support the future direction of the City’s land uses and decision-making. Promoting Health with Land Use As part of the 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update process, the City obtained a grant from Washington County Department of Public Health and Environment through the Statewide Health Improvement Partnership (SHIP). There are many ways that the principles of healthy neighborhoods, communities and environments can be incorporated into existing and future land uses. The following summary identifies some of the ways in which health was considered, and incorporated, into the Future Land Use Plan. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 29 Mixed-Use Land Use Designations to Promote Health The introduction of land uses that will promote a more compact, walkable, development pattern was purposefully integrated throughout the growth areas as identified in previous sections of this Chapter. In addition to creating new land use designations, the City discussed opportunities to better connect existing neighborhoods though bikeways, trails and other pedestrian routes to support active residents. This discussion included how public and private trail connections may be used to achieve these objectives, and the City acknowledges the need to better communicate and sign public trails and routes so users are comfortable and informed using the system. In addition to neighborhood pattern, the new mixed-use designations will permit the incorporation of uses such as restaurants, markets, farmers markets, and other events that can be designed to support an active lifestyle for the City’s residents, employees and employers. With the growing popularity of farm-to-table dining and experiences that focus on healthy living, Lake Elmo is well-positioned to capitalize on trends that connect its rich rural and agricultural resources with health-conscious consumers seeking fresh high-quality foods and products. As the community grows and new households are added, it will be important for the City to ensure grocery and fresh foods are sold and provided at locations nearby higher concentrations of residents. Ensuring “Uses” that Support Health are Permitted and Accessible Closely related to the introduction of more compact development patterns, is the need to provide accessible options to purchase healthy and fresh foods and products. This can be accomplished through ensuring that uses that support that objective are permitted within the City’s land use designations and the zoning code. Connection and ease of access are essential components to this objective, so pedestrian, bikeways and other routes to locations with fresh products is important to consider as the City develops and evolves. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 30 Providing an Accessible and Connected Green Network The City is committed to preservation of its existing natural resource and open space network. In addition to the existing network, the City plans to expand the network as growth areas are developed. Part of this planning process included discussion and recommendations regarding better park, trail and open space connections for residents in existing neighborhoods and in new growing neighborhoods. Natural resource protection, identification, preservation and development creates opportunities to create a network of greenways and trails for residents to utilize for recreation, connection with nature, connection between various neighborhoods and destinations in and around Lake Elmo, and to build a more resilient (and green) infrastructure. Trail development is an important way to promote health and activity in the community. The City’s Future Land Use Plan should be implemented to be consistent with Chapter 6: Parks, Trails & Open Space that identifies key trail, natural resource and open space considerations as development occurs within the City’s growth areas. Parks, Open Space and Natural Resources Integration Nearly 18% of the City’s land acreage is publicly protected as Park or Open Space, and an additional 11% of private lands area is protected with a conservation easement. Natural resources, parks, and open space protection and enhancement is one of the City’s character defining elements that makes the community a special place to live, work and recreate. The City’s expansive natural resources, including woodland, meadow, lakes and wetlands, and rural scenic amenities are sprinkled throughout the heart of the community are valued assets for all residents. The presence of high quality natural resources is important to the lasting effort of balanced development, enduring biodiversity, and opportunity for recreation and connection for area residents. The effort to preserve and enhance these features as an asset for the community and region is a primary objective and specifically stated in several Goals and Strategies within Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies. LU Goal #2. Enhance Lake Elmo’s expansive network of trails, open spaces, and natural resources as amenities in developing areas of the community. - Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 31 Decision-making related to incorporation of greenways, natural resources, parks and trails associated within this Future Land Use Plan should be consistent with the information found in Chapter 6: Parks, Trails & Open Space. Access and Transportation A key component of implementing the Future Land Use Plan is to plan for appropriate access and consider diverse modes of transportation. It is likely that as the growth areas change and develop a more diverse demographic will move to the community and their transportation demands may include alternate modes such as bikeways, pedestrian ways and the desire for transit. Incorporated on Map 3-3. Future Land Use Plan are the conceptual main thoroughfares through the growth areas that are planned for within the Chapter 7: Transportation. Identification of the east-west roadway connection in the South MUSA planning boundary on the Future Land Use Plan is deliberate and was used to guide compatible and appropriate land uses. It is the intent of the Future Land Use Plan that development along the east-west corridor would support and plan for adequate right-of-way at time of development that would include a multi-use trail that would promote mode choice and accessibility to adjacent neighborhoods. Likewise, a new roadway connection in the Village MUSA planning boundary is identified and the land use plan was developed to encourage higher-densities near the roadway to improve access. More detail regarding new roadways, and the existing transportation, transit, and bikeways system can be found in Chapter 7: Transportation. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 32 Supporting Resiliency The purpose of creating a Future Land Use Plan that provides a diverse land use pattern is to allow for the City to adapt and change as needed through this planning period. Better integration of land uses allows for the community to be thoughtful about innovation as the environment changes and new technologies are developed, and creates opportunities to adapt and be responsive. The idea of resiliency is woven throughout this Plan, and is specifically discussed as it relates to the Green Network and Resilient Infrastructure in Chapter 6. It is the intent of the City that the idea of a Green Network be used as part of the decision-making process and allow for improvements in neighborhood and development design as the community evolves and changes through 2040. Solar Access The City has incorporated standards into their zoning ordinances regarding siting of structures and buildings to support access to solar resources. Given the City’s dominant residential landscape pattern, options for private property owners including individual homeowners and homeowners associations to capitalize on solar energy are supported by the City’s adopted ordinances and official controls. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 33 Map 3-8. Gross Solar Potential Lake Elmo STILLWATE R BLV D N INWOOD AVE N34TH ST N 10TH ST NIDEAL AVE NKEATS AVE NDEMON T R E VI L L E T R L N OL SONLAKETRLN50TH ST N LAKEELMOAVEN47TH ST N KIMBRO AVE NLAKE JANE TRL N JULEP AVE NGross Solar Potential (Watt-hours per Year) High : 1276008 Low : 900001 Solar Potential under 900,000 watt-hours per year County Boundaries City and Township Boundaries Wetlands and Open Water Features Gross Solar Potential Source: University of Minnesota U-Spatial Statewide Solar Raster. ANOKA DAKOTA HENNEPIN RAMSEY SCOTT WASHINGTON CARVER Extent of Main Map 0 1 2 3 40.5 Miles 12/20/2016 City of Lake Elmo, Washington County LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 34 SPECIAL RESOURCE PROTECTION A consideration when developing the Future Land Use Plan was to inventory special or unique resources in the community, and to allow these resources (where applicable) to help guide where and when development would occur. Historical Resources There are no State or Locally registered historical districts or structures in Lake Elmo. However, the City strongly supports the preservation of the “Old Village” Main Street, where the Village first developed. During the 2030 Planning period, the City developed a set of design guidelines which will help protect existing buildings and ensure new construction integrates well with the existing character and building form of the district. During this Plan development process the City studied the Old Village area, and concluded that it would benefit from further refinement based on areas contained within the previous Old Village boundary. The result, is that this Plan creates three distinct Districts that describe the use, activities and desired plans based on location within the City’s core village area. A full description of the Districts, and how they will shape the core of the Village are provided in Chapter 4: Balanced Development & Growth. LU Goal #4. Create strong and vibrant Districts in the Village Planning Area that become a destination for all residents of the community. LU Goal #5. Identify and Explore opportunities to improve the streetscape in the Old Village District, Elmo Station District and Civic Center District to create a more walkable environment. LU Goal #6. Maintain and Strengthen the small-town charm of the Old Village District. - Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 35IDEALAVEN INWOODAVEN60THSTN 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENSTIL LWATE R B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKEJANETRLN 45THSTN Horseshoe ClearUnnamedDeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel KlawitterPond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 5.23.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC AP RAD RSF RSFS GC LDR MDR HDR MU-BP MU-C V-LDR V-MDR V-HDR V-MU Institutional Closed Landfill ROW BP C Park PSP 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles District Plan - NEED TO CREATE - Old Village, Civic, Elmo Station Village Planning AreaCivic District Old Village District Village Planning Area Elmo Station District Map 3-9. District Boundaries in Village Planning Area IDEALAVENINWOODAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENS TILLWATER B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A NE TRL N 4 5 T H ST N Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel KlawitterPond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 6.11.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles Source: Metropolitan Council,City of Lake Elmo, SHC LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 36 Aggregate Resources Per the Metropolitan Council’s 1997 Aggregate Resources information, there are approximately 324 acres of land identified in the City has having aggregate resource value. Today, there are two active aggregate sites, one located in the northwestern quadrant of the community, which is identified on the 1997 Aggregate Resource Inventory. The second active site is located in the South MUSA boundary, near the Keats intersection with 10th Street North. Adjacent to this site, and designated within the City’s post-2035 phasing area, is additional land identified within the 1997 Aggregate Resource map. The existing active sites have been in operation for several decades, and it is the City’s understanding that these sites are nearing their useful life and may be exhausted in this planning period. Beyond the active sites, the 1997 Aggregate Resource map identified areas within exiting neighborhoods that are not likely to experience any demand or opportunity for extraction. As aggregate resources are depleted, the land will likely transition into suburban-style development, consistent with the surrounding district. As mentioned, some of the land identified with potential for aggregate resource extraction that has not been mined, is designated within the City’s post-2035 phasing area, which does not plan for or anticipate urbanized development over the next 15-years due to existing development patterns and infrastructure planning. Agricultural Preserve The City’s agrarian and agricultural past continues to be valued by the City, and landowners and homeowners that express interest in preserving agricultural land through the Agricultural Preserve program will be supported by the City. Currently, there are approximately 414-acres of land protected by an Agricultural Preserve covenant per the Metropolitan Council’s records, and those properties have been identified and guided appropriately on the Existing and Future Land Use Plan contained within this Chapter. LAND USE 1.06.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 37 Map 3-10. Aggregate Resource Locations IDEALAVENINWOODAVEN60TH ST N 10TH ST N LAKEELMOAVENSTILLWATE R B LV D N 30TH ST N KEATSAVE NOLSONL A K E T R L N50TH ST N MANNING AVE N 47TH ST N 34TH ST N LAKE J A N E TR L N 4 5 T H ST N Horseshoe Clear Unnamed DeMontreville Olson Jane Berschen's Pond Elmo Sunfish Friedrich Pond Eagle Point Downs H.J. Brown Pond RoseGoose Goose Armstrong Armstrong Kramer Goetschel Klawitter Pond Deer Pond Crombie Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond Legion Pond FDraft Date: Rev. 5.23.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, City of Lake Elmo, SHC Aggregate Resources 1997 MUSA 2040 (Revised) 0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.20.15 Miles Elmo Jane Olson Downs Rose Eagle Point DeMontreville Sunfish Horseshoe Goose Clear Goetschel Kramer Armstrong Unnamed Legion Pond Friedrich Pond H.J. Brown Pond Goose Deer Pond Armstrong Crombie Pond Klawitter Pond Berschen's Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond FHomesteaded EMV < $238,500 $238,501 - $450,000 $450,001 - $750,000 $750,001+ Draft Date: 4.5.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, SHC Elmo Jane Olson Downs Rose Eagle Point DeMontreville Sunfish Horseshoe Goose Clear Goetschel Kramer Armstrong Unnamed Legion Pond Friedrich Pond H.J. Brown Pond Goose Deer Pond Armstrong Crombie Pond Klawitter Pond Berschen's Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond FHomesteaded EMV < $238,500 $238,501 - $450,000 $450,001 - $750,000 $750,001+ Draft Date: 4.5.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, SHC DRAFT Chapter 5: Housing Supply, Demand & Allocations Comprehensive Plan 2040 HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 2 HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 1 INTRODUCTION The City’s housing stock is evolving and is slowly becoming more diverse as new neighborhoods throughout the community are beginning to be developed. Prior to the 2030 Plan, the City was dominated by single-family detached housing in a predominantly rural residential setting. The historical development pattern is fairly homogeneous, with some pockets of slightly smaller and older homes near the Old Village District, and around the Tri-Lakes area that remain a vibrant, vital part of the City’s housing stock. The City’s 2030 Comprehensive Plan was the first to introduce suburban densities into the community, and with that guiding came the opportunity to incorporate more diversity into the housing stock and create a more balanced housing supply that would provide options to a broader demographic. Shortly after the 2030 Plan was put into effect, the housing bust and great recession hit, leaving the residential housing market largely paralyzed, and places like Lake Elmo saw little to no new residential development even though land had been guided to allow new neighborhoods and housing. While very little happened the first half the decade due to the housing bust, by 2015 renewed interest in housing began to emerge. The first signs of recovery in Lake Elmo were consistent with regional and national trends, which first saw recovery in the single-family detached housing market which is demonstrated in neighborhoods such as Wildflower in the Village Planning Area, and Savona in the South Planning Area. As the single-family residential housing market heated up and prices began to escalate, interest in attached housing and multi-family products has slowly emerged as a more cost-effective alternative. The delay in demand for attached and multi-family products is particularly noticeable in communities like Lake Elmo; however, current regional trends suggest that the housing market is likely to remain strong, and that Lake Elmo will continue to see increasing demand for new, and more diverse housing stock over this planning period. Understanding that there will be demand for a more diverse housing stock, the Future Land Use Plan included in Chapter 3 guides residential land use with a range of densities to allow for development of spectrum of households from rural residential neighborhoods to small apartment complexes. The purpose of this Chapter is to evaluate Lake Elmo’s existing housing stock and to plan for future housing needs based on not only the Future Land Use Plan, but the household and population projections as stated within the City’s 2015 System Statement prepared by the Metropolitan Council. Addressing and planning for the City’s housing stock is a critical part of this Comprehensive Plan, because residential uses account for the largest existing and future HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 2 2040 Housing Highlights »Greater housing diversity (townhomes and apartments added to mix of housing types, beyond single-family homes). »Intensification of housing in the South Planning Area and Village Area. »Protect the rural residential areas and neighborhood patterns. »Staging plan supports diverse housing stock throughout each phasing area. HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 3 land use category in Lake Elmo. Moreover, a diverse housing stock with access to open space and essential goods and services is paramount to creating a healthy, sustainable, and resilient community. It protects the community’s tax base against market fluctuations; it helps the community’s economic competitiveness by assisting Lake Elmo businesses with employee attraction and retention; it provides options for existing residents to remain in the community should their life circumstances (e.g., aging-in- place); and it offers future residents access to the same amenities and levels of service that current residents have come to expect and appreciate. The first part of this Chapter presents important housing principles that underscore the dynamics behind the role and importance of housing as a key element in this Plan. The second part of the Chapter focuses on the existing housing stock and summarizes important information regarding the overall number of housing units, the type of units, their affordability, and the profile of who lives in those units. The existing housing stock provides a critical baseline of information from which the City can plan and determine what types of housing products may be demanded over the next 10-20 years, which then informed where to appropriately guide land areas suitable to attract that type of development. Finally, the third part of this Chapter addresses the projected need for housing during this planning period based on the existing housing and neighborhood conditions and the 2015 System Statement requirements. This section evaluates issues surrounding affordability and the Metropolitan Council’s requirements for quantifying need based on income and provides corresponding description of where and how the City might encourage a broader range of affordability in its new neighborhoods. The final section links projected housing need to practical implementation tools to help the City achieve its identified housing goals. HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 4 HOUSING PRINCIPLES The following sections provide context and information about the role housing plays in the community, and how the principles can be supported through thoughtful planning of the City’s future housing stock. Throughout this process, residents, stakeholders and the Advisory Panel discussed the visible changes in the housing stock taking place in the community, particularly within the growth areas. Though new development and growth is planned to continue over the next planning period, the existing housing stock and neighborhoods was also an important part of the discussion. What is clear, is that the City is likely to continue to be dominated by residential uses and land use patterns in both the existing areas of the community and in the areas guided for growth and change. Since housing plays such a critical role in the character of the community, it is important for the City to have a universal understanding of the principles that make good houses, neighborhoods and community. The following are some core principles from which this Housing Chapter is developed. Housing Diversity As described in the Balanced Development & Growth Chapter, and within the introduction of this Chapter, the City has been slowly increasing and improving diversity of its housing stock in new neighborhoods, but there are still critical gaps in the City’s housing supply. To more effectively describe why diversity is important, understanding what it means to have a diverse housing stock is a critical first step to demonstrating why a diverse housing stock can have long-term positive effects on the City and its residents. A community that has a diverse supply of housing is one that includes different tenures (rental and ownership), types (single-family, townhome, and HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 5 apartment), price points, sizes and styles. This residential mix can accommodate the needs of a wide variety of households at different life stages, incomes and family types. Furthermore, it provides more options as resident housing needs vary over time due to changes in age, income, housing preference, family structure, or abilities. In turn, this enables people to move into a community and remain in it as they experience these life changes while staying close to their established social support networks. For example, a long-term Lake Elmo resident who no longer wishes to care for a large yard will likely choose to move to another housing type within their community with less maintenance needs, if that option is available, before looking at other communities. A diverse supply also provides options for young adults, who grew up in a community, to move out of their parent’s home into an apartment or townhome nearby. In addition to providing improved housing options for residents, a diverse supply of single-family homes, townhomes, and apartments provides local governments with a broad tax base that can withstand changes in economic and housing trends without dramatic impacts on government budgets and services. Age and housing types aside, a diverse supply of housing price points specifically helps to address the needs of current and projected local workers. Oftentimes employees want to live close to where they work. Employers need a diverse housing supply to help attract and hire the best qualified talent at all wage levels with a variety of home preferences. A full range of home options is needed to match the needs of a diverse workforce. Housing Stability For many people, a stable home is a critical component to their quality of life. Quality of life can mean something different to many people, but with respect to housing it is often associated with a feeling that their home feels safe in terms of its surrounding neighborhood and the physical structure, and that they expect to be able to reside there for the near future. This degree of certainty in a home is often the foundation needed to pursue life goals and to fulfill their potential. A central aspect to a stable home is HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 6 affordability, and the industry has generally quantified this as defined as paying no more than 30% of gross income toward home expenses. If forced to pay more, a household may forgo health care, food, education, transportation and other expenses in order to pay their mortgage or rent and utilities. In that situation, an essential car repair may mean making the difficult choice between reliable transportation and risking mortgage defaults or evictions. Frequent moves, in an attempt to afford a suitable home, place a lot of stress on households. For families with children, this often results in a change in schools, daily work commutes, and access to supportive friends and family. For seniors, it may impact access to healthcare, transportation and long established social networks. A community with quality affordable housing helps to ensure the stability of both neighborhoods and communities that greatly benefit its residents and businesses. Workforce Housing The Washington County Community Development Agency (CDA) conducted research in 2016 that revealed a mismatch between the wages of many who work in Washington County (County) and the cost of housing in the County. The study showed that this mismatch is particularly pronounced in the City of Lake Elmo. The County has the third highest median household income in the metro area and one of the highest costs of living in the State. However, the average weekly wage for the workers employed in the County is 37 percent lower than the metro area average. There are two contributing factors: 1) many jobs in the County are low skill and do not pay enough to afford the housing that currently exists in the County; and 2) there is a lack of modestly priced options in the County affordable at that wage level. To be a vibrant and growing community, it is important to have a good mix of jobs across a wide wage range as well as enough housing that is accessible to all income levels so those that work in the County also can call it home. For the business sector to grow and expand, a reliable labor force is needed to fuel it. Available and financially accessible housing helps to attract a talented workforce to fill these job opportunities so they can live near their place of work. Workers often look for jobs that are located near attractive housing options. This also helps to retain current workers who wish to be at a company for the long term thereby avoiding unnecessary and costly employee turn-overs. HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 7 EXISTING HOUSING SUPPLY The previous sections are intended to provide context from which to consider the City’s existing housing stock, and to eventually consider how the City may plan for future needs in the housing stock. This section provides information about the current housing stock in Lake Elmo that is most relevant to consider when planning for the future of the City’s housing. This information is a synthesis of more detailed housing and socio- economic data that is included in Appendix A: Background report, which was used to inform the remaining content of this Chapter. Key Housing Characteristics Total Housing Units and Recent Construction Trends According to data from the Metropolitan Council and the City of Lake Elmo, there are 3,606 housing units in Lake Elmo as of 2017. As seen in Figure 5-1. Housing Construction Permits 2001-2017, a 10-year period of very limited new construction proceeds Lake Elmo’s current strong housing market and rapid growth adding approximately 300 new housing units per year. It is important to keep in mind, though, that the housing sector, like all real estate sectors, is cyclical. Therefore, not every year during the planning period will likely see similar quantities of new housing development. As a result, it will be important to track housing development on an on-going basis to understand how broader market trends are influencing the growth and change of Lake Elmo. Figure 5-1. Housing Construction Permits 2001-2017 (units) Sources: Metropolitan Council; City of Lake Elmo 3,606 Lake Elmo housing units as of December 31, 2017 - Sources: Metropolitan Council: City of Lake Elmo Grand Total 87%Single Family 7%Townhome 7%Multifamily 52%Single Family 23%Townhome 24%Multifamily 42%Single Family 15%Townhome 43%Multifamily Sources: Metropolitan Council; City of Lake Elmo 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 201120122013201420152016Metro Area Housing UnitsCOUNTY METRO AREA 140 94 46 13 21 27 25 23 17 26 25 34 36 41 142 339 299 HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 8 Year Built Although recent construction in Lake Elmo is adding a lot of new housing units, over 40 percent of the City’s housing stock (1,500 units) is more than 40 years old. Therefore, it will be important for the City to track the condition of these older homes because they are at-risk of deferred maintenance, which can rapidly result in critical structural problems. At the same time, well-maintained older housing can be an important source of entry-housing. Housing Type Lake Elmo’s existing housing stock is dominated by detached, single-family homes as seen in Figure 5-2. Housing Stock by Structure Type. According to data from the Metropolitan Council, 82 percent of the City’s housing stock (2,955 units) consists of single-family homes. Moreover, the remaining housing stock mostly consists of manufactured housing or mobile homes, which account for 12 percent of the housing stock of 428 units. This means only six percent of the housing stock (223 units) is something other than a single-family home or manufactured home. More housing choices will help older adults to remain in the City as they age-in-place and younger adults to move into Lake Elmo. Figure 5-2. Housing Stock by Structure Type (2017) Single-Family82% Mobile Homes 12% All Other Housing Types 6% Owner-Occupied92% Renter-Occupied 8% Sources: Metropolitan Council; City of Lake Elmo Housing Goal #4. Protect and preserve the existing housing stock of established neighborhoods. - Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies 40% Lake Elmo housing stock more than 40 years old - Sources: US Census; Metropolitan Council; City of Lake Elmo HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 9 Although single-family homes can be a very flexible type of housing, it does mean that the community has a lack of housing choices. This can have an impact on both existing residents who may desire a different housing type and those who may want to move into the community. This is especially true for older residents who no longer want or are able to maintain a single-family home. Currently, the only option for Lake Elmo residents in need of housing with support services is Arbor Glen Senior Living, which opened in 2017. However, for older adults who do not need support services, but would prefer low maintenance housing, the options are limited to small pockets of new developments such as the villa-style products in Inwood. Key Demographics The issue of being able to adequately house an aging population will only become more important in the coming years. According to data from the US Census, Lake Elmo is already a community with a high proportion of older adults. Illustrated in Figure 5-3. Median Age of the Population, the median age of Lake Elmo residents in 2015 was 44 years, which was almost 8 years older than the metro area median age. The Minnesota State Demographer anticipates Lake Elmo’s median age will increase, and by 2020, they expect the City’s median age to be just over 46. Therefore, the housing needs of an older population will become increasingly important in the years to come. Figure 5-3. Median Age of the Population (2015) 37.3 42.4 43.9 46.1 34.2 36.0 36.5 37.7 33 38 43 2000 2010 2015 2020 LAKE ELMO METRO AREA Sources: US Census; Minnesota State Demographer; Perkins+Will HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 10 At the same time, Lake Elmo has surprisingly few residents age 25 to 34. Currently, a little over five percent of the City’s population is in this age group. Metro-wide the percentage is three times this amount at just over 15 percent. The lack of young adults is likely the result of few entry-level housing options. Homeownership Level The predominance of single-family homes helps explain why almost all of the housing stock is owner-occupied (92% or 3,402 units) versus renter-occupied (8% or 204 units) as seen in Figure 5-4. Lake Elmo Homeownership. Although homeownership is an important path to building wealth and promoting greater civic involvement, depending on where households are in their lifecycle, homeownership also can be a financial burden. For example, many older adults have health concerns that make maintenance and upkeep of their housing a physical and financial challenge. Younger persons who grow up in a community and want to form their own household often don’t have the savings to enter homeownership. Without rental options, these population groups are forced to leave the community to find housing that will accommodate their circumstances. The only existing rental options are single-family homes or the recently completed Arbor Glen Senior Living residence. Figure 5-4. Lake Elmo Homeownership (2017) Single-Family82% Mobile Homes 12% All Other Housing Types6% Owner-Occupied92% Renter-Occupied 8% Sources: Metropolitan Council; City of Lake Elmo 5 % of Lake Elmo residents are 25-34 years old 1 5% of Metro area residents are 25-34 years old - Source: US Census HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 11 Home Values and Household Income Lake Elmo has high housing values compared to the larger metro area. According to the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors, the 2017 median sales price of homes in Lake Elmo was $432,500, which was $185,000 more than the Metro area median sales price of $247,900 illustrated in Figure 5-5. Median Home Sales Price. High home prices are attributed to larger homes sizes, newer housing stock, and larger lot sizes as well as the City’s advantageous location within the region given its proximity to numerous open space amenities, retail shopping and services and major employment centers. Despite the high average home prices, there are areas within the City with less costly housing. In particular, older and smaller homes are concentrated near the Old Village, Tablyn Park, and in the Cimarron manufactured home park. Figure 5-5. Median Home Sales Price (2017) $432,500 $247,900 LAKE ELMO METRO AREA Source: Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors The cost of housing also has a strong influence on who lives in Lake Elmo. The result is a community that is much older and wealthier than the Metro area. According to the US Census, the 2015 median household income for Lake Elmo was just under $100,000, which was 35 percent higher than the metro area median household income of $69,000 as seen in Figure 5-6. Median Household Income. High household incomes have more to do with few younger households than a concentration of wealth. If the City had more younger households, the median household income would likely be lower. Figure 5-6. Median Household Income (2015) $99,161 $69,233 LAKE ELMO METRO AREA Source: US Census HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 12 Map 5-1. Assessor Estimated Home Values (2018) Elmo Jane Olson Downs Rose Eagle Point DeMontreville Sunfish Horseshoe Goose Clear Goetschel Kramer Armstrong Unnamed Legion Pond Friedrich Pond H.J. Brown Pond Goose Deer Pond Armstrong Crombie Pond Klawitter Pond Berschen's Pond Hedge's Pond Dirk's Pond Beutel's Pond FHomesteaded EMV < $238,500 $238,501 - $450,000 $450,001 - $750,000 $750,001+ Draft Date: 4.5.2018 Source: Washington County, MNGEO, SHC HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 13 HOUSING DEMAND & AFFORDABILITY The existing conditions of the City’s housing stock provide valuable insight and information to assist in planning for what types of housing and price-points may be demanded in the future as the City continues to grow. As described in the previous sections of this Chapter, the existing housing stock is relatively homogeneous and expensive. By planning for improved housing diversity, the City will experience a more stable, well-rounded housing supply to meet the demands of a diverse demographic. To assist in that planning effort, this section of the Housing Chapter analyzes the affordability of Lake Elmo’s existing housing stock and compares it to the City’s ability to meet the current and forecasted housing needs. One of the most important factors in analyzing the housing stock is its affordability and marketability. As demonstrated in previous sections of this Chapter, the majority of Lake Elmo’s housing stock is not considered affordable. Some of the conditions that limit affordability are the newer age of the housing stock, the larger size of the homes and lots, and also Lake Elmo’s geographic location in the region. These same factors also contribute to the City’s marketability and housing value. With newer and larger homes, the average market value of the homes is more than that of other communities that may have more typical suburban size lots, more modest homes, and an older housing stock. Definition of Affordability There are several different definitions of affordable housing. The definition of affordable housing most frequently cited and measured in this Chapter is that housing is affordable when households do not pay more than 30 percent of their income on housing costs. (Defined by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development or “HUD”). When households have incomes at or below 80 percent of the area median income (AMI) costs associated with market rate housing (whether ownership or rental) becomes a challenge. This household group tends to pay more than 30 percent of their income on housing and has less disposable income to pay for other goods and services such as clothing, food, child care, transportation, and medical expenses. In addition, those residents with lower incomes have significantly fewer housing choices to meet their family needs. As required by 2015 System Statements issued by the Metropolitan Council, cities within the seven-county metropolitan area are required to plan for an allocated number affordable housing units based on three levels of affordability. As prescribed by HUD for the Twin Cities region, the three levels are: Extremely Low Income (30% of Area Median Income “AMI” or less); Very Low Income (31-50% of AMI); and Low Income (51-80% of AMI). HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 14 Ownership Housing Affordability Table 5-1 identifies the housing costs/prices that meet each of the affordability levels for home ownership in Lake Elmo. The Metropolitan Council determines affordable home prices based on monthly housing costs, assuming a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at prevailing interest rates, insurance, and utilities. Ta ble 5-1. 2017 Affordable Purchase Price for Owner-Occupied Housing Household Income Level Affordable Home Price 80% AMI ($68,000)$236,000 60% AMI ($54,240)$185,000 50% AMI ($45,200)$151,500 30% AMI ($27,100)$85,000 Source: Metropolitan Council Table 5-2 identifies the monthly rental housing costs that meet each of the affordability levels for rental housing in Lake Elmo. Based on HUD defined parameters, the Metropolitan Council determines affordable rents based on the number of bedrooms assuming that smaller units can and should accommodate smaller households. Table 5-2. 2017 Affordable Rental Rates # of Bedrooms 30% of AMI 50% of AMI 60% of AMI 80% of AMI Studio/Efficiency $474 $791 $949 $1,265 1 Bedroom $508 $848 $1,017 $1,356 2 Bedroom $610 $1,017 $1,220 $1,627 3 Bedroom $705 $1,175 $1,410 $1,880 4 Bedroom $786 $1,311 $1,573 $2,097 Source: Metropolitan Council HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 15 Existing Affordable Units Table 5-3 compiles an inventory of the estimated market value of ownership housing and of rental rates to determine what percentage of the City’s housing stock would be considered affordable based on the levels established by HUD for the region. As shown, 24 percent of the City’s housing stock (865 units) is at or below 80 percent of AMI, with 13 percent of the housing stock (473 units) at or below 50 percent of AMI. A significant proportion of the City’s affordable housing stock is located in the Cimarron manufactured home park, and in the historic neighborhoods surrounding the Old Village District. As suggested by the City’s median home sales price, Lake Elmo’s overall housing stock is not affordable, especially when compared to the metro area’s percentage of housing units that are considered affordable. Regionally, 68 percent of the housing stock is affordable at or below 80 percent of AMI and 28 percent is affordable at or below 50 percent of AMI. Table 5-3. Lake Elmo Affordable Housing Stock Lake Elmo Units Percentage of All Housing Units Metro Area Percentage of All Housing Units Units affordable to households with income at or below 30% of AMI 373 10.3%6.5% Units affordable to households with income 31% to 50% of AMI 100 2.8%21.8% Units affordable to households with income 51% to 80% of AMI 392 10.9%39.9% Total Units at or below 80% AMI 865 24.0%68.3% Source: Metropolitan Council staff estimates for 2015 based on 2105 and 2016 MetroGIS Parcel Datasets (ownership units), 2009-2013 Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy data from HUD (rental units and household income), and the Council’s 2015 Manufactured Housing Parks Survey (manufactured homes). HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 16 Publicly Subsidized Units As of 2017, Lake Elmo does not have any publicly subsidized housing units. Cost Burdened Households Directly correlated to affordability is the metric of cost burden, which is the proportion of household income spent toward housing and utilities. When lower income households spend more than 30 percent of their income toward housing and utilities this burden is considered excessive because it begins to limit the money available for other essentials such as food, clothing, transportation, and healthcare. Table 5-4 shows the number and percentage of low-income Lake Elmo households that are cost burdened and compares this against the metro area rate of cost burdened low-income households. According to data from the Metropolitan Council, 418 Lake Elmo households have incomes at or below AMI and also spend more than 30 percent of their income on housing costs. This is just under 12 percent of the City’s households. This percentage is less than half the Metro area rate of 23 percent. The low incidence of cost burdened households is correlated with high proportion of households in their peak earning years (i.e., age 45-64) with higher than average incomes and the existing housing supply. As Lake Elmo’s population ages into retirement, and younger households are needed to support local business expansion, housing that is cost burden to lower income households will increase. Table 5-4. Cost Burdened Households by Income Level Lake Elmo Units Percentage of All Households Metro Area Percentage of All Households Income at or below 30% of AMI 200 5.5%10.0% Income 31% to 50% of AMI 151 4.2%7.4% Income 51% to 80% of AMI 67 1.9%5.8% Total households at or below 80% AMI 418 11.6%23.2% Note: Housing cost burden refers to households whose housing costs are at least 30% of their income. Source: U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, 2009-2013 Comprehensive Housing Affordability Strategy (CHAS) data, with counts adjusted to better match Metropolitan Council 2015 household estimates. HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 17 Affordable Housing Allocation for Lake Elmo Included within the 2015 System Statement provided by the Metropolitan Council is an allocation of affordable housing need for the City of Lake Elmo. The System Statement requires the City to plan for an additional 508 Affordable Units over the next 20 years (Table 5-5). Because of the limited supply of existing affordable housing, the Metropolitan Council is establishing an allocation of new affordable units to meet both regional goals for housing affordability and to ensure greater housing choice within Lake Elmo as it grows and its housing needs become more diverse. As such, land use designations contained within Chapter 3: Land Use assign appropriate densities to developing or redevelopment areas to meet the Metropolitan Council’s affordable allocation. Table 5-5. Affordable Housing Need Allocation through 2030 (Adjusted) % of Area Median Income (AMI)Units At or below 30% AMI 52 31 to 50% AMI 348 51 to 80% AMI 586 Total Units 986 Source: Metropolitan Council Email 1/25/2019, Metropolitan Council 2015 Systems Statement Lake Elmo, SHC HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 18 FUTURE HOUSING OPPORTUNITIES Projected Housing Need The Metropolitan Council’s 2015 System Statement forecasts that Lake Elmo will add approximately 3,500 new households through 2040. This amount of household growth will generate need for a more diverse housing stock. As a community that is both aging and growing, it will be important that a much wider selection of housing be made available in order to retain existing residents and attract new ones. Therefore, the City will need to accomodate more housing options besides detached single-family units on large lots and manufactured homes. This Housing Chapter does not prescribe specific housing products or styles, but it does identify where within the land use plan different housing types, primarily through guided densities, can be accommodated. For example, the 2015 System Statement allocates 508 new affordable housing units in Lake Elmo through 2030. It does not stipulate that these be rental or owner; it does not stipulate that these units be attached or detached; nor does it stipulate that they be publicly subsidized or dependent on market dynamics. However, housing affordability is strongly correlated with the price of land. Therefore, areas that allow higher densities are more likely to accommodate a range of housing types and price points. 3,500 Number of forecasted new households in Lake Elmo through 2040 - Source: Metropolitan Council 508 Number of allocated affordable housing units through 2030 - Source: Metropolitan Council HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 19 Future Residential Uses in Planned Growth Areas Higher Density Residential Areas The Land Use Plan outlined in Chapter 3 identifies two planned growth areas both within the Municipal Urban Services Area (MUSA): 1) the South Planning Area; and 2) the Village Planning Area. Both planned growth areas call for new residential land uses at a sufficient density to accommodate a variety of housing types at densities that could support the number of allocated affordable units at the three income levels. Table 5-6 below describes the future land use categories, the allowable density ranges, and the minimum number of supportable future units. According to the guided densities and staging plan, these three high density areas could accommodate, at minimum, a total of approximately 1,134 dwelling units between 2020 and 2030, which exceeds the revised required allocated affordable units based on the population and household projections provided in this Plan. Table 5-6. Planned Residential Uses Supportive of Affordable Housing Future Land Use Residential Density (dwelling units/acre) Total Acres Supportable Households High Density Residential (HDR)8.01-15 79.99 640 Village High Density Residential (V-HDR)8.01-12 21.99 176 Mixed Use Commercial (MU-C)10-15 31.86 318 Total 2020-2030 Higher Density Residential 133.84 1,134 Net Density 2020-2040 (All Planned Residential Areas)8.6 dwelling units/acre Source: SHC, Perkins+Will, City of Lake Elmo Moreover, the two residential land use categories would be proximate to mixed- use and commercial districts in which essential goods and services, transit, and employment opportunities would be planned to be available. Housing Goal #1. Create land use designations that support various housing types throughout the community. - Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 20 Other Sewered Residential Areas In addition to new residential development envisioned in higher density areas between 2020 and 2030, the Housing Plan also calls for significant residential development in the planned growth areas at lower densities and in future staging period. According to the Land Use Plan, the growth areas could accommodate approximately 2,386 housing units through 2040. These residential categories range from low density areas to mixed-use districts that could support relatively high density development, such as housing above ground floor commercial space, or horizontally integrated uses that are connected with walking trails between job centers and apartments. Rural Residential Areas Lake Elmo has a rich history of supporting innovative conservation developments and other unsewered residential neighborhoods. These residential areas preserve critical open space and contribute to Lake Elmo’s high quality of life. Although this Plan does not plan for significant residential growth in the rural portions of Lake Elmo, some growth in this area of the community is anticipated to occur over this planning period. Like housing in the sewered areas of the community, the City’s Rural Residential housing stock is an important part of the housing supply that must be planned for and considered as the community grows. An important consideration of any future residential developments in these areas should respect past efforts to protect and preserve important open spaces, critical habitats, and water resources. Maintaining Existing Housing & Neighborhoods While the City is projected to more than double its households in this planning period, there remains a significant portion of the housing supply that is aging and may begin to experience deferred maintenance, and structural obsolescence if not maintained. As such, it is critical that the City plan for and consider how existing neighborhoods and structures, particularly as they age, will be maintained. Many of these neighborhoods are constructed with high-end, large homes and lots but there are also areas of the City with smaller houses and lots that are an important piece of the City’s history, as well as a contributor to the small proportion of naturally occurring affordable houses in the community. These neighborhoods, at all price-points, are an important part of the City’s character, and it is important for the community to continue to prioritize these areas for preservation and maintenance as an important part of the City’s housing stock. Housing Goal #3. Endorse and sustain existing neighborhood patterns throughout the rural residential areas of the community. - Chapter 1: Vision, Goals & Strategies HOUSING 1.30.2019 City of Lake Elmo Comprehensive Plan 2040 21 HOUSING RESOURCES, STRATEGIES & TOOLS Table 5-7 outlines a variety of resources and tools to implement Lake Elmo’s identified housing needs and stated housing goals. There is a wealth of resources available to assist communities in meeting their goals. The table below should be considered a starting point. As the City’s housing needs evolve or become more defined, it should expand with options. Table 5-7. Housing Resources and Tools Housing Goal Tool/Resource/Strategy Description Protect and Preserve Housing Stock of Existing Neighborhoods CDBG Work with Washington County CDA to use CDBG funds to help low- and moderate-income homeowners with rehabilitation assistance. Referrals Review and update reference procedures and training for applicable staff, including a plan to maintain our ability to refer our residents to any applicable housing programs outside the scope of our local services. CDA Septic Loan and Grant Program The Washington County CDA has loan and grant funds available to help residents with individual septics that may be failing or out of compliance with current standards. Foreclosure prevention In established neighborhoods, a rash of foreclosures, especially in proximity to one another, can have a deleterious effect on the surrounding neighborhood. Be aware of foreclosures and be able to direct homeowners at-risk of foreclosure to resources that can help prevent foreclosures (can http://www.foreclosure-response.org/policy_guide/index.html). Explore ways to integrate lifecycle housing choices throughout the community Washington County Community Development Agency (CDA) Given the limited staff capacity of Lake Elmo, regularly coordinate with the Washington County CDA to best align their resources with the City’s housing needs and goals. The CDA has capacity, funding resources, and expertise to assist smaller communities with their housing needs. GROW Program Consider utilitizing GROW Program funds for City intiated redevelopment efforts to support increased diversity in high-density residential areas. Livable Communities Demonstration Account (LCDA) Consider supporting/sponsoring an application to LCDA programs for multi-family rental proposals in areas guided for high density residential and targeted to households of all income levels. Tax Abatement Consider tax abatement for large rental project proposals. Zoning and Subdivision ordinances Review zoning and subdivision ordinances to identify any regulations that inhibit the housing priorities in this document. Expedited application process Streamline the pre-application process in order to minimize unnecessary delay for projects that address our stated housing needs, prior to a formal application submittal. Site Assembly Consider strategies for assembling sites in high-density or mixed-use districts that would increase appeal to developers. Housing Bonds Work with Washington County CDA to raise housing bonds for the development of low-income housing at various targeted income levels. Tax Increment Financing (TIF) To help meet the need for low-income housing, consider establishing a TIF district in an area guided for high density development. Brownfield Clean-Up In potential redevelopment areas in the Old Village or along the I-94 corridor, explore EPA and MN DEED grant programs that provide funding and assistance with planning, assessment, and site clean-up. CITY OF LAKE ELMO, MINNESOTA RESOLUTION 2019-011 A RESOLUTION APPROVING THE 2040 COMPREHENSIVE PLAN UPDATE WHEREAS, Minnesota Statutes section 473.864 requires each local governmental unit to review and, if necessary, amend its comprehensive plan and its fiscal devices and official controls at least once every ten years to ensure its comprehensive plan conforms to metropolitan system plans and ensure its fiscal devices and official controls do not conflict with the comprehensive plan or permit activities that conflict with metropolitan system plans; and WHEREAS, Minnesota Statutes sections 473.858 and 473.864 require local governmental units to complete their “decennial” reviews by December 31, 2018; and WHEREAS, the City received a time extension from the Metropolitan Council to complete and submit their Comprehensive Plan update by February 28, 2019; and WHEREAS, the City Council, Planning Commission and the City Staff have prepared a proposed Comprehensive Plan intended to meet the requirements of the Metropolitan Land Planning Act and Metropolitan Council guidelines and procedures; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Minnesota Statutes section 473.858, the proposed Comprehensive Plan was submitted to adjacent governmental units and affected special districts and school districts for review and comment on June 5, 2018, and the statutory six-month review and comment period has elapsed; and WHEREAS, the Lake Elmo Planning Commission has considered the proposed Comprehensive Plan and all public comments, and thereafter submitted its recommendations to this City Council; and WHEREAS, the City conducted public hearings on May 7, 2018, May 30, 2018 and on January 14, 2019 relative to the adoption of the proposed Comprehensive Plan; and WHEREAS, the City Council has reviewed the proposed Comprehensive Plan and those recommendations, public comments and comments from adjacent jurisdictions and affected districts; and WHEREAS, Minnesota Statutes section 473.858 requires a local governmental unit to submit its proposed comprehensive plan to the Metropolitan Council following recommendation by the planning commission and after consideration but before final approval by the governing body of the local governmental unit. WHEREAS, based on its review of the proposed Comprehensive Plan and Planning Commission and staff recommendations, the City Council is ready to approve the proposed Comprehensive Plan; and NOW THERE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF LAKE ELMO, MINNESOTA, the proposed 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update (with Chapters dated 1-06- 2019 and 1-30-2019) is approved subject to the final approval of the Metropolitan Council. Adopted by the Lake Elmo City Council on February 5, 2019. _________________________________ Mayor Attest: _________________________________ City Clerk CITY OF LAKE ELMO, MINNESOTA RESOLUTION 2019-012 A RESOLUTION AUTHORIZING CITY STAFF TO SUBMIT THE 2040 COMPREHENSIVE PLAN UPDATE TO THE METROPOLITAN COUNCIL WHEREAS, Minnesota Statutes section 473.864 requires each local governmental unit to review and, if necessary, amend its comprehensive plan and its fiscal devices and official controls at least once every ten years to ensure its comprehensive plan conforms to metropolitan system plans and ensure its fiscal devices and official controls do not conflict with the comprehensive plan or permit activities that conflict with metropolitan system plans; and WHEREAS, Minnesota Statutes sections 473.858 and 473.864 require local governmental units to complete their “decennial” reviews by December 31, 2018; and WHEREAS, the City received a time extension from the Metropolitan Council to complete and submit their Comprehensive Plan update by February 28, 2019; and WHEREAS, the City Council, Planning Commission and the City Staff have prepared a proposed Comprehensive Plan intended to meet the requirements of the Metropolitan Land Planning Act and Metropolitan Council guidelines and procedures; and WHEREAS, pursuant to Minnesota Statutes section 473.858, the proposed Comprehensive Plan was submitted to adjacent governmental units and affected special districts and school districts for review and comment on June 5, 2018, and the statutory six-month review and comment period has elapsed; and WHEREAS, the Lake Elmo Planning Commission has considered the proposed Comprehensive Plan and all public comments, and thereafter submitted its recommendations to this City Council; and WHEREAS, the City conducted public hearings on May 7, 2018, May 30, 2018 and on January 14, 2019 relative to the adoption of the proposed Comprehensive Plan; and WHEREAS, the City Council has reviewed the proposed Comprehensive Plan and those recommendations, public comments and comments from adjacent jurisdictions and affected districts; and WHEREAS, Minnesota Statutes section 473.858 requires a local governmental unit to submit its proposed comprehensive plan to the Metropolitan Council following recommendation by the planning commission and after consideration but before final approval by the governing body of the local governmental unit. WHEREAS, based on its review of the proposed Comprehensive Plan and Planning Commission and staff recommendations, the City Council is ready to submit its proposed Comprehensive Plan to the Metropolitan Council for review pursuant to Minnesota Statutes section 473.864; and NOW THERE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF LAKE ELMO, MINNESOTA, AS FOLLOWS: 1. The City Administrator is directed to distribute said 2040 Comprehensive Plan Update to the Metropolitan Council by February 28, 2019 pursuant to Minnesota Statutes section 473.864. Adopted by the Lake Elmo City Council on February 5, 2019. _________________________________ Mayor Attest: _________________________________ City Clerk