HomeMy WebLinkAbout8.15.23 EDA Packet
NOTICE OF MEETING
City of Lake Elmo Economic Development Authority
Meeting
3880 Laverne Avenue North
Tuesday, August 15, 6:00 PM
AGENDA
A. Call to Order 6:00 p.m.
B. Minutes
May 16, 2023 Minutes 6:00p.m.
C. Washington County Labor Market Study 6:05p.m.
D. Business Retention and Expansion
Survey Updates 6:35p.m.
E. Future Agenda Items/Reports 6:45 p.m.
-Next Meeting November 21, 2023
F. Adjourn 6:50 p.m.
The Lake Elmo Economic Development Authority (EDA) is
committed to preserving and enhancing our community by
creating an attractive business climate and listening to
businesses and residents to prepare for the economy of
tomorrow.
Page 1 of 1
CITY OF LAKE ELMO ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY MINUTES May 16, 2023 Call to Order/Roll Call Waldoch called the meeting to order at 6:00pm.
PRESENT: Jeff Holtz, Charles Cadenhead, Ninna Waldoch, Paul Ryberg and Tony
Manzara
ABSENT: None Staff Present: City Administrator Handt
February 21, 2023 Minutes: Motion by Cadenhead, seconded by Manzara to approve. Motion carried.
Business Retention and Expansion (BRE) Survey Updates Handt provided an update on the one visit completed since the last meeting. There was discussion about the crossing at CSAH 14 and a brochure. More updates at next meeting.
Business District Signage Update Handt provided an update the county will not allow business directional signage on county roads, a link to MNDOT business, and a copy of the city’s sign ordinance. Commission discussed other options to pursue to drive folks to the businesses downtown.
Future Agenda/Reports The next agenda will include updates/feedback on the BRE. If there are no other items the August 15th meeting maybe cancelled. At the November meeting the EDA will also discuss a Request for Proposals for the sale of fire station 1 and review and update as necessary the EDA work plan.
Closed Session Motion by Holtz, seconded by Cadenhead for the EDA to go into closed session pursuant to Minnesota Statutes Section 13D.05, subdivision 3 (c)(3) – to consider offers for the sale of the former 3M property on Ideal Avenue, PIDs 16.029.21.24.0002 and 16.029.21.23.0003. Motion carried.
Adjourn Meeting adjourned at 6:45 P.M. Respectfully Submitted, Kristina Handt
STAFF REPORT
DATE: August 15, 2023
REGULAR
AGENDA ITEM: Washington County Labor Study Presentation
SUBMITTED BY: Kristina Handt, City Administrator
BACKGROUND: When the EDA work plan was adopted, goal 2 related to obtaining more data. The specific goal
and actions steps were:
2. Develop data (including talent availability, business types, demographic data)
Action Step: City staff with assistance from Washington County CDA staff and DEED will
provide community demographic information (including but not limited to: talent availability, business types, community profile, demographic data).
Action Step: Washington County CDA will hire a consultant in 2023 to undertake a labor market study throughout the county. Lake Elmo will be included in the middle region plan.
Once completed, results will be reported back to the EDA Board.
Action Step: City staff with assistance from the Washington County CDA will explore options to obtain resident input through a survey and then report back to the EDA Board.
Deliverables: The labor market study and demographic/data study update will begin in 2023 or sooner contingent on available funding.
Earlier this year, Washington County’s study was completed. Copies of the studies related to labor supply and labor demand are included in your packet. PROPOSAL DETAILS/ANALYSIS: Erin Olson, the Senior Director of Strategic Research from Real Time Talent (the consultant who completed the study for Washington County) and Chris Eng, Washington County Economic Development Director, will be at the meeting to present their findings. I have asked them to focus in on the results from
the middle part of the county, as they would be most applicable to Lake Elmo
ATTACHMENT:
• Washington County Labor Demand Study
• Washington County Labor Supply Study
Washington
County Labor
Demand Study
Washington County CDA
Developed by RealTime Talent
March 7, 2023
Demand Study
Contents
01. Introduction (p. 3)
Centering equity and
community well-being as we
address workforce needs for
economic development
02. Labor Market
Overview (p. 4)
The pandemic’s impacts
and current labor market
landscape
03. Industry Analysis
(p. 24)
Deep-dive of critical
workforce needs in the
Healthcare, Manufacturing,
and Construction industries
04. Pathway
Priorities (p. 48)
Origin, Gateway, and Target
Occupations of critical need
to support regional
economic growth
05. Summary (p. 72)
What is needed, and where
we are headed
2 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
01. Introduction
The talent shortage is here, and likely to become more severe
Significant talent shortages have been on the horizon for years, and the effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic accelerated
many of the workforce transitions and talent misalignments seen on our horizon in 2018. In 2022, demographic trends
and the complex economic environment nationwide collided to create the tightest job market in history, and the impacts
of that tightness are still being felt. We still see a “great reshuffle” playing out as talent seeks higher wage opportunities more closely aligned to areas of interest and skill, and early retirements, lack of access to childcare and other dependent
care, illness, entrepreneurship and new business starts are cited as the top influencing factors limiting our available
talent pool.1 Minnesota has one of the most severe talent shortages in the nation, with about 50 available workers for
every 100 open jobs—not even taking into account skill misalignments.2 In short, we don’t have workers to spare.
The needs of industry are changing
3 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
1. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage.
Feb 22, 2023. 2. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s
Labor Shortage: The most Impacted States. Feb 1, 2023.
Just as the COVID-19 Pandemic accelerated talent shortages and misalignments, it also served as a catalyst for shifting
business models and talent needs. One outcome was the rapid proliferation of remote and hybrid work environments,
which has changed expectations of talent and business, and led to shifts in commute patterns that have remained with our communities even after stabilization. This report focuses on the unique needs of Washington County’s Healthcare,
Manufacturing, and Construction industries, which are essential to the prospering of the local economy.
02. Labor Market
Overview
State of the County’s Economy
5 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Washington County fared relatively well
economically during the COVID-19
pandemic, seeing a contraction of GDP of
only -1.3% in 2020.
In 2021, nominal GDP in Washington
County expanded 12.2% to a total GDP of
nearly twelve billion, one hundred and
twenty million dollars ($12,119,877,000).
Of the industry sectors in Washington
County, Manufacturing contributed the
largest portion of GDP in 2021, followed by
Real Estate, Health Care and Social
Assistance, and Retail Trade.
GDP (in $ Millions)
Washington County, Minnesota, 2021
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Employment Trends
6 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Washington County
employment has followed the
trends observed at the MSP
Metro and statewide levels,
with employment increasing
2.8% between 2021Q3 and
2022Q3.
A total of 99,098 workers are
employed in Washington
County, representing 5% of the
total MSP Metro workforce.
The employment outlook for
the county is strong, with an
estimated average annual
growth of 0.9% over the next
five years.
Historical Employment and Forecast Outlook, Washington County, 2022Q3
Total Employment: 99,098
Unemployment Rate: 1.9% (2,728 people)
Historical 5-Year Average Annual Growth: 1.5%
Forecast 5-Year Average Annual Growth: 0.9%
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Wage Trends
7 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
The average worker earned
annual wages of $54,920 as of
2022Q3. Average annual
wages increased 3.1% over the
preceding four quarters.
Washington County’s average
annual wages and growth both
lag the MSP Metro ($72,457)
and nation ($68,132). The
county also has a slightly
higher local cost of living than
the average community.
Average Annual Wages of Talent Employed in Washington County, 2022Q3
Cost of Living Information
Annual Average Salary Cost of Living Index (Base US)US Purchasing Power
Washington County, Minnesota $54,920 101.4 $54,166
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI MSA $72,457 99.4 $72,875
Minnesota $67,747 97.6 $69,405
USA $68,132 100.0 $68,132
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Talent Migration
8 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Regional Migration Patterns, 2020
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2020. Accessed through
Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset.
Top Counties by
Resident Migration
Inbound
Migrations
Outbound
Migrations
Net
Migrations
Ramsey County,MN 6,519 3,207 3,312
Hennepin County,MN 2,022 1,318 704
Dakota County,MN 1,953 1,520 433
Anoka County,MN 1,122 991 131
Chisago County,MN 536 737 -200
St.Croix County,WI 497 999 -501
Scott County,MN 130 118 12
Pierce County,WI 121 201 -80
St.Louis County,MN 108 83 26
Cook County,IL 98 48 50
Isanti County,MN 84 142 -58
Maricopa County,AZ 79 193 -114
Total Migrations 17,219 14,296 2,923
This dataset shows the amount of domestic taxpayer migration among all states,MSAs,
and counties in the United States.The source and design of this taxpayer-based
dataset excludes certain groups of people and thus does not represent the entire
population,but rather is a good indicator of migrating workers within the labor force.
Talent Commute
9 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Regional Commute Patterns, 2022
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2022. Accessed through
Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset.
Top Counties by
Resident Migration
Inbound
Commuters
Outbound
Commuters
Net
Commuters
Ramsey County,MN 16,048 40,941 -24,893
Dakota County,MN 7,882 12,414 -4,532
Hennepin County,MN 6,387 36,361 -29,974
St.Croix County,WI 5,535 2,040 3,494
Anoka County,MN 4,858 5,977 -1,119
Chisago County,MN 4,459 1,552 2,907
Polk County,WI 1,443 382 1,061
Pierce County,WI 1,143 466 677
Wright County,MN 703 309 394
Sherburne County,MN 662 286 376
Isanti County,MN 640 176 463
Scott County,MN 613 889 -276
Goodhue County,MN 437 397 40
55,316 106,058 -50,742
This dataset shows the number of inbound, outbound, and net commuters for Washington
County. Approximately 55,316 workers commute into Washington County from surrounding
counties, while approximately 106,058 residents of Washington County commute out from
the county to others.
Regional Trends
10 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Washington County is home to an
estimated 277,283 residents of all
ages, with the largest share of
population residing in the Southern
portion of the county (49).
The Southern and Central regions
have the highest overall labor force
participation rates.
Average annual salary is highest in
the Central region of the county
($57,259).
Share of Population by
Washington County Region
Average Annual Salary by Region
Northern Washington County $50,478
Central Washington County $57,259
Southern Washington County $52,950
Washington County, MN $54,920
15%
36%
49%
Northern
Central
Southern
Map of Washington County
69.5%
72.4%
70.0%
65.4%
88.9%
90.5%
90.6%
85.5%
Washington County
Southern
Central
Northern
25-54 Prime-Age 16+
Civilian Labor Force
Participation Rate by Region
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Industry and Career Pathway Selection
11 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023 Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. *Analysis
focused to 621, 622, 623 Health Care Industries
Approach for Selection of Industries and Pathways of Focus
1)Strong demand indicators in at least two of the following five areas (high historical employment, high job
posting volumes, low unemployment rate, high forecast growth, high total demand, labeled by HD)
2)Higher than average local concentration of roles (LQ-Location Quotient above 1.0)
3)Significant impact on local or regional economy by GDP contribution, high average wage offerings, or high
employment of county residents (HW)
Prioritized Career Fields and Pathways of Focus
1)Health Science—Therapeutic Services
2)Manufacturing—STEM, Production, Maintenance and
Machining
3)Architecture and Construction—Carpentry, Insulation, Drywall
Installation
Prioritized Industries of Focus
1)Healthcare*--Offices of Physicians, Mental Health, Older Adult
Services
2)Manufacturing—Wood, Paper, Chemical, Pharmaceutical,
Printed Circuit and Industrial Control Manufacturing
3)Construction—Nonresidential Drywall Contractors,
Nonresidential Structural Steel Contractors, Power Line
Construction
A Profile of Local Industry
12 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Washington County, Minnesota, 2022Q31
Current 5-Year History 5-Year Forecast
NAICS Industry Empl Avg Ann Wages LQ EmplChange Ann %Total Demand Exits Transfers EmplGrowth Ann % Growth
44 Retail Trade 15,232 $32,426 1.52 1,141 1.6%10,943 4,654 6,155 134 0.2%
62 Health Care and Social Assistance 14,614 $57,666 1.03 2,264 3.4%8,999 3,589 4,206 1,204 1.6%
31 Manufacturing 11,108 $75,300 1.39 1,467 2.9%6,318 2,257 3,839 222 0.4%
72 Accommodation and Food Services 9,544 $23,444 1.14 -79 -0.2%9,557 3,925 4,753 879 1.8%
61 Educational Services 7,469 $52,834 0.95 -60 -0.2%4,088 1,783 1,971 334 0.9%
23 Construction 5,747 $68,943 0.98 1,131 4.5%3,058 1,024 1,830 203 0.7%
81 Other Services (except Public Administration)5,316 $31,268 1.25 1 0.0%3,729 1,397 1,927 405 1.5%
54 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 4,951 $77,655 0.68 567 2.5%2,601 841 1,444 316 1.2%
48 Transportation and Warehousing 3,681 $48,582 0.75 610 3.7%2,462 919 1,343 200 1.1%
92 Public Administration 3,618 $68,277 0.79 -104 -0.6%1,869 748 1,063 58 0.3%
52 Finance and Insurance 3,446 $96,437 0.86 131 0.8%1,764 622 1,021 121 0.7%
56 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and
Remediation Services 3,399 $48,464 0.53 -82 -0.5%2,197 848 1,241 108 0.6%
42 Wholesale Trade 3,094 $94,353 0.83 393 2.8%1,829 643 1,097 89 0.6%
71 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 2,628 $22,800 1.39 6 0.0%2,204 844 1,168 191 1.4%
55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 1,624 $119,371 1.08 -16 -0.2%831 288 490 54 0.7%
53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 1,367 $54,265 0.78 152 2.4%743 320 394 29 0.4%
11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 1,108 $45,217 0.84 84 1.6%772 317 403 51 0.9%
51 Information 851 $59,886 0.42 -258 -5.2%525 154 281 90 2.0%
22 Utilities 245 $141,309 0.49 -59 -4.2%88 41 72 -24 -2.1%
Total -All Industries 99,098 $54,920 1.00 7,295 1.5%63,051 24,377 33,963 4,711 0.9%
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Industries
not shown: 21-Mining, 99-Unclassified
Industry Forecast
13 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023 Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Industries
not shown: 21-Mining, 99-Unclassified
The 2-digit Industry with the highest forecast
growth rate over the next ten years in
Washington County is the Information Industry
(22.3%), followed by Accommodation and Food
Services (19.3%) which is in recovery following
the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Utilities Industry is the only broad industry
cluster forecast to decline in overall
employment over the next five years, but at only
245 people employed in the County in this
industry as of 2022Q3, numbers of decline in
local jobs are minimal (around 24 jobs lost per
year). Replacement demand remains high
across most industries in the region.
Industry Cluster Trends
14 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Industry Cluster Forecasts and Wages in Washington County
The industry cluster in Washington County with the highest relative concentration is Wood/Paper Manufacturing with a location quotient
of 5.99. This cluster employs 4,723 workers in the region with an average wage of $59,222. Employment in this industry is projected to
expand by about 0.5% per year over the next ten years. Only the Coal/Oil/Power industry cluster is forecast to decline in employment.
Local Industry at a Glance
15 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023 Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. *Analysis
focused to 621, 622, 623 Health Care Industries
Top Industries by 5-Year Average Annual
Historical Employment Growth
1)Construction (+4.5%)
2)Transportation and Warehousing (3.7%)
3)Health Care and Social Assistance (+3.4%)
4)Manufacturing (+2.9%)
5)Wholesale Trade (+2.8%)
Top Industries by Location Quotient (LQ)
1)Retail Trade (1.52)
2)Manufacturing (1.39)
3)Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation (1.39)
4)Other Services (1.25)
5)Accommodation and Food Services (1.14)
Top Industries by Employment Volume
1)Retail Trade (15,232)
2)Health Care and Social Assistance (14,614)
3)Manufacturing (11,108)
4)Accommodation and Food Services (9,544)
5)Educational Services (7,469)
Top Industries by 5-Year Average Annual
Forecasted Employment Growth
1)Information (+2.0%)
2)Accommodation and Food Services (+1.8%)
3)Health Care and Social Assistance (+1.6%)
4)Other Services (+1.5%)
5)Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation (+1.4%)
Top Industries by Average Wage
1)Utilities ($141,309)
2)Management of Companies and Enterprises ($119,371)
3)Finance and Insurance ($96,437)
4)Wholesale Trade ($94,353)
5)Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services ($77,655)
Prioritized Industries of Focus
1)Healthcare*
2)Manufacturing
3)Construction
A Profile of Occupational Employment
16 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Washington County, Minnesota, 2022Q31
Current 5-Year History 5-Year Forecast
SOC Occupation Empl
Mean Ann
Wages2 LQ Unempl UnemplRate
Online Job
Ads3
Empl
Change Ann %
Total
Demand Exits Transfers EmplGrowth
Ann %
Growth
41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations 11,633 $46,000 1.25 349 2.4%748 420 0.7%8,379 3,690 4,584 105 0.2%
43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 10,591 $47,200 0.87 304 1.7%326 -327 -0.6%6,433 2,909 3,541 -16 0.0%
35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related
Occupations 10,041 $33,200 1.28 393 3.6%649 -101 -0.2%10,865 4,566 5,453 846 1.6%
53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving
Occupations 8,499 $45,200 0.98 287 2.9%394 1,296 3.4%6,684 2,437 3,770 476 1.1%
51-0000 Production Occupations 6,938 $46,900 1.24 167 2.4%216 627 1.9%3,999 1,471 2,496 32 0.1%
25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations 5,822 $56,200 1.10 115 1.3%230 -33 -0.1%3,156 1,402 1,453 300 1.0%
11-0000 Management Occupations 5,805 $117,000 0.86 115 1.1%380 646 2.4%2,911 863 1,709 339 1.1%
29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Occupations 5,519 $102,600 0.96 53 0.6%660 958 3.9%2,100 874 842 383 1.4%
13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 4,919 $83,700 0.77 123 1.1%241 800 3.6%2,528 772 1,501 255 1.0%
47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 4,580 $65,200 1.02 124 2.8%47 583 2.8%2,454 810 1,465 179 0.8%
31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations 4,422 $36,700 1.02 143 2.1%316 1,166 6.3%3,870 1,556 1,807 507 2.2%
39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 3,491 $36,600 1.45 148 3.6%159 3 0.0%3,590 1,341 1,913 336 1.9%
49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair
Occupations 3,260 $58,600 0.85 54 1.3%213 273 1.8%1,786 621 1,019 146 0.9%
37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and
Maintenance Occupations 3,219 $39,800 0.98 97 2.7%158 226 1.5%2,403 1,017 1,232 154 0.9%
15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 2,340 $96,300 0.69 44 0.8%151 498 4.9%1,026 267 597 162 1.3%
21-0000 Community and Social Service Occupations 1,836 $56,000 1.05 37 0.9%158 43 0.5%1,102 398 558 145 1.5%
27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media
Occupations 1,656 $64,100 0.95 78 2.5%94 54 0.7%1,056 394 541 121 1.4%
33-0000 Protective Service Occupations 1,357 $60,800 0.64 33 1.5%74 -71 -1.0%804 355 421 29 0.4%
17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 1,227 $88,700 0.76 25 0.9%95 74 1.2%526 179 294 53 0.8%
19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 684 $81,800 0.79 18 1.2%68 60 1.9%355 80 238 36 1.0%
23-0000 Legal Occupations 680 $111,400 0.80 10 0.8%11 34 1.0%282 110 126 46 1.3%
45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 580 $42,400 0.91 10 2.7%5 64 2.4%506 155 325 26 0.9%
00-0000 Total -All Occupations 99,098 $58,000 1.00 2,728 1.9%5,393 7,295 1.5%66,865 26,268 35,886 4,711 0.9%
Employment Outlook by 2-Digit Occupation
17 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
0.64
0.69
0.76
0.77
0.79
0.80
0.85
0.86
0.87
0.91
0.95
0.96
0.98
0.98
1.02
1.02
1.05
1.10
1.24
1.25
1.28
1.45
Protective Service
Computer and Mathematical
Architecture and Engineering
Business and Financial Operations
Life, Physical, and Social Science
Legal
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair
Management
Office and Administrative Support
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports,…
Healthcare Practitioners and…
Transportation and Material Moving
Building and Grounds Cleaning and…
Construction and Extraction
Healthcare Support
Community and Social Service
Educational Instruction and Library
Production
Sales and Related
Food Preparation and Serving Related
Personal Care and Service
Location Quotient
-16
26
29
32
36
46
53
105
121
145
146
154
162
179
255
300
336
339
383
476
507
846
Office and Administrative Support
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry
Protective Service
Production
Life, Physical, and Social Science
Legal
Architecture and Engineering
Sales and Related
Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports,…
Community and Social Service
Installation, Maintenance, and Repair
Building and Grounds Cleaning and…
Computer and Mathematical
Construction and Extraction
Business and Financial Operations
Educational Instruction and Library
Personal Care and Service
Management
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
Transportation and Material Moving
Healthcare Support
Food Preparation and Serving Related
5-Year Employment Change Forecast 5-Year Total Employment Demand Forecast
282
355
506
526
804
1,026
1,056
1,102
1,786
2,100
2,403
2,454
2,528
2,911
3,156
3,590
3,870
3,999
6,433
6,684
8,379
10,865
Legal
Life, Physical, and Social Science
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry
Architecture and Engineering
Protective Service
Computer and Mathematical
Arts, Design, Entertainment,…
Community and Social Service
Installation, Maintenance, and…
Healthcare Practitioners and…
Building and Grounds Cleaning…
Construction and Extraction
Business and Financial Operations
Management
Educational Instruction and Library
Personal Care and Service
Healthcare Support
Production
Office and Administrative Support
Transportation and Material…
Sales and Related
Food Preparation and Serving…
Employment Trends by Career Field
18 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Health Science (CTE Cluster) in Washington County, Minnesota, 2022Q31
Current 5-Year History 5-Year Forecast
Career Field Empl
Mean
Ann
Wages2 LQ Unempl Unempl
Rate
30-Day
Online
Job Ads3
Empl
Change
Ann %
Change
Total
Demand Exits Transfers Empl
Growth
Ann %
Growth
Business, Management, &
Administration 45,104 $53,300 1.03 1,447 2.2%2,515 1,716 0.8%34,252 14,068 18,476 1,708 0.7%
Engineering, Manufacturing, &
Technology 24,077 $56,700 0.99 619 2.2%820 2,768 2.5%14,371 5,061 8,503 806 0.7%
Human Services 15,996 $54,800 1.04 386 1.5%822 921 1.2%10,437 4,337 4,993 1,107 1.3%
Health Science 8,731 $82,500 0.98 133 1.0%1,054 1,320 3.3%4,641 1,800 2,156 685 1.5%
Arts, Communications, & Information
Systems 3,571 $83,800 0.75 111 1.4%172 436 2.6%1,756 549 999 207 1.1%
Agriculture, Food & Natural
Resources 1,620 $55,000 0.84 32 2.0%65 134 1.7%1,313 452 759 101 1.2%
Total -All Occupations 99,098 $58,000 1.00 2,728 1.9%5,447 7,295 1.5%66,865 26,268 35,886 4,711 0.9%
Occupations can be grouped into six distinct Career Fields (above), which are useful in planning career and technical education pathways.
These six fields have sixteen corresponding career clusters (on the following page), which further detail unique roles that are related by
skillset and content knowledge domains. Within the clusters are career pathways which represent the most detailed look at how skillsets
relate and how individuals may move along a trajectory of learning and career growth from Origin to Gateway to Target occupations.
Career Cluster Forecast
19 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Analysis of the sixteen Career and Technical
Education Career Clusters provides an entryway
into understanding the most critical career
pathways for a community.
All sixteen career clusters are forecasting
growth in Washington County over the next ten
years, with Human Services, Hospitality and
Tourism, and Health Science careers likely to
see the greatest overall positive change in
employment volume.
Career Cluster Wages and Demand
20 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
As is the case statewide, careers in Science,
Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics
offer the highest average annual wages in
Washington County of all sixteen career
clusters.
Hospitality and Tourism has the highest annual
estimated total demand, which includes growth
and replacement demands due to job changes,
retirements, and other career exits.
Career Cluster Employment
Avg Ann
Wages Job Ads
Ann Empl
Growth
Ann Total
Demand
Science, Technology, Engineering & Mathematics 999 $104,400 107 11 83
Information Technology 2,237 $96,200 134 29 192
Finance 2,929 $86,800 202 21 279
Health Science 8,731 $82,500 1,054 133 912
Law, Public Safety, Corrections & Security 2,276 $75,900 92 15 238
Government & Public Administration 665 $73,200 37 5 71
Business, Management & Administration 15,808 $66,000 616 67 1,934
Architecture & Construction 6,818 $64,400 107 53 749
Arts, A/V Technology & Communications 1,334 $63,100 38 13 156
Education & Training 6,526 $58,000 303 71 707
Agriculture, Food & Natural Resources 1,620 $55,000 65 20 259
Manufacturing 8,855 $50,600 343 29 1,006
Transportation, Distribution & Logistics 7,405 $50,400 264 69 1,018
Marketing, Sales & Service 12,925 $49,500 824 42 1,830
Human Services 6,529 $42,300 390 126 1,038
Hospitality & Tourism 13,442 $34,700 873 210 2,753
Total -All Occupations 99,098 $58,000 5,447 925 13,239
Detailed Occupation Forecast
21 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
There are over 800 defined occupations at the
detailed level (6-digit SOC). Among those
occupations that support a living wage, General
and Operations Managers and Software
Developers are expected to add the most jobs
over the next ten years in Washington County.
Among occupations supporting a living wage
locally, Executive Secretaries and Executive
Administrative Assistants and Correctional
Officers and Jailers are projected to have the
largest decline in employment over the next ten
years, due in part to the extensive regional talent
shortage as well as the shifting needs of business
that now offer alternatives to secretarial
supports.
Occupations of Most Significant Forecast Decline Employment
Avg Ann
Wages Job Ads
Hist 10yr
Change
Proj 10yr
Decline
Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative
Assistants 237 $67,600 2 -319 -39
Correctional Officers and Jailers 336 $59,800 4 5 -24
Legal Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 81 $61,000 0 -19 -13
First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers 225 $93,800 0 -40 -13
Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks 77 $54,700 3 -12 -9
Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators 143 $53,900 8 46 -8
Power Plant Operators 32 $93,700 0 2 -7
Chief Executives 180 $222,600 5 -97 -7
Occupations of Highest Forecast Growth Employment
Avg Ann
Wages Job Ads
Hist 10yr
Change
Proj 10yr
Growth
General and Operations Managers 1,989 $110,900 27 805 219
Software Developers 875 $110,500 28 831 187
Registered Nurses 1,439 $85,300 209 390 165
Nurse Practitioners 171 $124,200 17 92 107
Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists 465 $81,900 13 199 103
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,179 $59,500 70 232 101
Construction Laborers 885 $53,400 13 297 98
Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 871 $51,200 102 168 90
Medical and Health Services Managers 248 $111,500 88 91 89
Local Occupational Employment at a Glance
22 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023 Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Top Occupations by 5-Year Average Annual
Historical Employment Growth
1)Healthcare Support (+6.3%)
2)Computer and Mathematical (+4.9%)
3)Healthcare Practitioners and Technical (+3.9%)
4)Business and Financial Operations (+3.6%)
5)Transportation and Material Moving (+3.4%)
Top Occupations by Location Quotient (LQ)
1)Personal Care and Service (1.45)
2)Food Preparation and Serving (1.28)
3)Sales and Related (1.25)
4)Production (1.24)
5)Educational Instruction and Library (1.10)
Top Occupations by Employment Volume
1)Sales and Related (11,633)
2)Office and Administrative Support (10,591)
3)Food Preparation and Serving (10,041)
4)Transportation and Material Moving (8,499)
5)Production (6,938)
Top Occupations by 5-Year Average Annual
Forecasted Employment Growth
1)Healthcare Support (+2.2%)
2)Personal Care and Service (+1.9%)
3)Food Preparation and Serving (+1.6%)
4)Community and Social Service (+1.5%)
5)Healthcare Practitioners and Technical (+1.4%)
Top Occupations by Average Wage
1)Management ($117,000)
2)Legal ($111,400)
3)Healthcare Practitioners ($102,600)
4)Computer and Mathematical ($96,300)
5)Architecture and Engineering ($88,700)
Lowest Unemployment Rate Occupations
1)Healthcare Practitioners (0.6%, 53)
2)Legal (0.8%, 10)
3)Computer and Mathematical (0.8%, 44)
4)Architecture and Engineering (0.9%, 25)
5)Community and Social Service (0.9%, 37)
Regional Industry and Career Highlights
23 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Northern
Top Industries
1) Retail Trade (HD, LQ, HW)
2) Manufacturing (HD, LQ, HW)
3) Other Services (HD, LQ)
4) Construction (HD, LQ, HW)
5) Educational Services (HD, LQ)
Top Detailed Industries
1) Custom Architectural Woodwork and
Millwork Manufacturing
2) Die and Tool Manufacturing
3) Industrial Mold Manufacturing
Top Career Clusters
1) Manufacturing
2) Architecture and Construction
3) Marketing, Sales, and Service
4) Business, Management, and Admin
5) Human Services
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. *Shortened
from “Management of Companies and Enterprises.”
Central
Top Industries
1) Manufacturing (HD, LQ, HW)
2) Management* (HD, LQ, HW)
3) Arts and Entertainment (HD, LQ)
4) Retail Trade (HD, LQ)
5) Public Admin. (HD, LQ HW)
Top Detailed Industries
1) Wood Window and Door Manufacturing
2) Chemical Product Manufacturing
3) In-Vitro Diagnostic Substance
Manufacturing
Top Career Clusters
1) Manufacturing
2) Health Science
3) Human Services
4) Hospitality and Tourism
5) Marketing, Sales, and Service
Southern
Top Industries
1) Retail Trade (HD, LQ)
2) Arts and Entertainment (HD, LQ)
3) Other Services (HD, LQ)
4) Accomm. and Food (HD, LQ)
5) Agriculture (HD, LQ)
Top Detailed Industries
1) Wood Window and Door Manufacturing
2) Unlaminated Plastics Manufacturing
3) Petroleum Refineries
Top Career Clusters
1) Health Science
2) Human Services
3) Marketing, Sales, and Service
4) Hospitality and Tourism
5) Education and Training
03. Industry Analysis
Industry Analysis
Based on an analysis of local concentration of industry employment, importance to local
economy, and future employment demand, three critical industries are the topic of focus for
workforce and economic development opportunity.
Approach
•Detail the unique concentration of sub-industries within each of the three critical industries
•Outline the economic contributions of each industry to the county and regional economy
•Perform a spatial evaluation of industry importance by region across the county’s north,
central, and southern areas
•Identify the top occupations for employment by industry and assessed their unique
workforce challenges and opportunities, including necessary skillsets and training
•Feature industry-specific commute patterns, remote work trends, and postsecondary
program graduate demographics
25 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Critical Industries
Healthcare
Manufacturing
Construction
“The Washington County CDA’s mission is
To improve the lives of Washington County
residents by providing access to affordable
housing and supporting community and
economic development in local municipalities.
Healthcare Industry
The Healthcare Industry is an important foundation to Washington County’s economy in its local
economic contributions and social stability offerings. Southern and Central Washington County
have uniquely high concentrations of Ambulatory Health Care Services and Nursing and
Residential Care Facilities compared to the concentration of these industries at the national
level. Demand has been strong and is forecast to continue to grow in the county and
surrounding region.
Key Findings
•Zip codes in Central and Southern Washington County have particularly high concentration
of Healthcare firms (Southern LQ 1.11 and Central LQ 1.05), particularly Ambulatory Health
Care Services and Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
•Dangerously low local unemployment rates in Health Science pathways may fuel ongoing
talent shortages
•The county has strong local postsecondary program offerings serving the Healthcare
Industry, positioning it well for increasing graduate volumes and meeting talent demand
27 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Location Quotient of Healthcare Industry
Employment by Washington County Zip Code
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Healthcare Industry Firms
28 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Healthcare Firms in Washington County by YearThe Healthcare Industry’s Contribution to GDP
8.2% Industry Share of Total GDP (7.6 % in the nation)
+5.7% Average Annual GDP growth (+3.8% in the nation)
$148K Output per Worker ($162K in the nation)
3-digit Supplier Industries
Purchases from
In-Region ($M)
Purchases from
Out-of-Region ($M)
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services $44.4 $43.5
Real Estate $48.5 $38.9
Chemical Manufacturing $5.2 $54.3
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities $22.2 $31.6
Administrative and Support Services $22.0 $28.7
Remaining Supplier Industries $132.5 $182.5
Total $274.8 $379.5
Empl %
Private 11,156 97.3%
Self-Employment 304 2.7%
Healthcare Employers by Type
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Healthcare Industry Detail
29 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Jobs in the Healthcare
Industry
11,460 Total Employment
+2.8% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to -0.1% statewide
and +1.2% nationally
11.6% of Total Employment
compared to 11.4% nationally
1.01 Location Quotient
$65,458 average wages
compared to $69,454 nationally
3-Digit Industry Empl
Avg Ann
Wages LQ
North
LQ
Central
LQ
South
LQ 5yr History
Annual
Demand
Forecast
Ann Growth
Ambulatory Health Care
Services 6,835 $72,607 1.27 0.82 1.27 1.41 766 1.6%
Nursing and Residential Care
Facilities 2,576 $35,725 1.32 0.80 1.43 1.35 353 1.2%
Hospitals 2,049 $78,994 0.51 0.02 0.56 0.60 196 0.9%
Healthcare Industry 11,460 $65,458 1.01 0.53 1.05 1.11 1,316 1.4%
Industry Staffing Pattern
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Healthcare Industry Occupational
Employment
30 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Jobs in the
Health Science Cluster
8,731 Total Employment
+3.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.3% statewide
1.0% unemployment rate
(133 people) compared to
1.2% statewide (3,416 people)
0.98 Location Quotient
$82,500 average wages
compared to $83,700 statewide
Occupation Distribution for Healthcare in Washington County, Minnesota, Baseline
Current 5-Year Demand
SOC Occupation Empl
Avg Ann
Wages Exits Transfers
Empl
Growth
Total
Demand
29-1141 Registered Nurses 1,270 $80,600 213 167 70 450
31-1122 Personal Care Aides 901 $28,300 360 317 87 764
31-1131 Nursing Assistants 540 $36,600 184 240 28 452
43-6013 Medical Secretaries and Administrative
Assistants 520 $42,000 156 159 31 346
31-9092 Medical Assistants 440 $42,600 110 221 45 376
43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 362 $34,400 119 141 22 281
29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational
Nurses 337 $49,500 71 73 20 163
31-1121 Home Health Aides 320 $28,300 93 100 31 224
31-9091 Dental Assistants 318 $52,300 92 148 19 260
29-1292 Dental Hygienists 242 $77,400 54 29 15 98
43-9061 Office Clerks, General 219 $40,800 70 70 2 142
11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 214 $103,000 35 62 36 133
21-1018 Substance Abuse, Behavioral Disorder, and
Mental Health Counselors 204 $50,700 41 63 24 128
35-3041 Food Servers, Nonrestaurant 200 $30,400 87 81 13 181
29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 163 $117,500 24 29 50 104
Other Occupations 5,185 1,075 1,340 297 2,713
Total 11,434 2,784 3,239 789 6,814
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Regional Healthcare Highlights
31 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Northern
Top Detailed Industries
1)Offices of Chiropractors (LQ 2.70)
2)Offices of Mental Health Practitioners
(LQ 1.79)
3)Offices of Physicians, Mental Health
Specialists (LQ 1.61)
4)Offices of Dentists (LQ 1.51)
5)Offices of Optometrists (LQ 1.22)
Talent Shortages
1)Registered Nurses
2)Nursing Assistants
3)Medical Secretaries
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. *Shortened
from “Management of Companies and Enterprises.”
Central
Top Detailed Industries
1)Offices of Physicians, Mental Health
Specialists (LQ 7.39)
2)Continuing Care Retirement
Communities (LQ 5.27)
3)Offices of Chiropractors (LQ 2.05)
4)Outpatient Mental Health and
Substance Abuse Centers (LQ 1.98)
5)Offices of Mental Health Practitioners
(LQ 1.88)
Talent Shortages
1)Registered Nurses
2)Nursing Assistants
3)Medical Assistants
4)Medical and Health Services
Managers
5)Nurse Practitioners
6)Licensed Practical Nurses
7)Physical Therapists
8)Speech-Language Pathologists
9)Dental Hygienists
10)Veterinarians
Southern
Top Detailed Industries
1)Offices of Physicians, Mental Health
Specialists (LQ 13.93)
2)Continuing Care Retirement
Communities (LQ 3.14)
3)Offices of Chiropractors (LQ 2.71)
4)HMO Medical Centers (LQ 2.45)
5)Residential Intellectual and
Developmental Disability Facilities
(LQ 2.34)
Talent Shortages
1)Registered Nurses
2)Nurse Practitioners
3)Medical and Health Services
Managers
4)Licensed Practical Nurses
5)Medical Assistants
6)Radiologic Techs
7)Veterinarians
8)Dental Assistants
9)Speech-Language Pathologists
10)Pharmacy Technicians
Healthcare Industry Workforce by Location
32 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Healthcare Industry Employment by
Washington County Zip Code Health Science Occupational Employment by
Washington County Zip Code Place of Work
Health Science Occupational Employment by
Washington County Zip Code Residence
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Health Science Cluster by Location
33 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Health Science Unemployment by
Washington County Zip Code Health Science Occupational Net Commuting
Pattern by Washington County Zip Code
All Occupational Net Commuting Pattern by
Washington County Zip Code
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or
Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. -7,790 net Health Science talent
(-50,742 workers overall) work outside the zip code of their residence.
-41,221 Net
Commuters
-4,999 Net
Commuters
Manufacturing Industry
It is difficult to overstate the importance of Manufacturing to the MSP Metro’s economy, and
Washington County has a unique concentration of jobs in this critical sector (LQ 1.39). Over
11,100 people work in the Manufacturing Industry in Washington County, making average
wages of about $75,300—well above the overall local average wage. The 219 Manufacturing
firms located in Washington County contributed about $2.2 billion in GDP for the county in
2021, representing about 18.1% of the total local GDP (compared to 10.6% that Manufacturing
contributes nationwide). Demand has been strong and is forecast to continue to grow in the
county at a rate of about 0.4% on average annually through 2027.
Key Findings
•Several zip codes in the southwest corner of Washington County have particularly high
concentration of Manufacturing firms, but Northern Washington County has the highest
overall concentration of employment (LQ 1.56)
•High replacement demand needs and an older than average workforce signal the
importance of talent pipeline planning
•Over half of the workforce currently employed in the industry will need to be replaced over
the next five years
34 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Location Quotient of Manufacturing Industry
Employment by Washington County Zip Code
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Industry Firms
35 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Manufacturing Firms in Washington County by YearThe Manufacturing Industry’s Contribution to GDP
18.1% Industry Share of Total GDP (10.6 % in the nation)
+2.0% Average Annual GDP growth (+2.6% in the nation)
$680K Output per Worker ($600K in the nation)
3-digit Supplier Industries
Purchases from
In-Region ($M)
Purchases from
Out-of-Region ($M)
Crude Petroleum Extraction <$0.1 $930.7
Natural Gas Extraction $19.5 $309.1
Petroleum Refineries $115.4 $63.5
Corporate, Subsidiary, and Regional Managing
Offices $45.7 $90.9
Offices of Lawyers $8.1 $64.5
Remaining Supplier Industries $305.1 $2,533.6
Total $493.7 $3,992.3
Empl %
Private 10,871 97.9%
Self-Employment 237 2.1%
Manufacturing Employers by Type
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Industry Detail
36 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Jobs in the
Manufacturing Industry
11,108 Total Employment
+3.9% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.5% statewide
and +0.6% nationally
11.2% of Total Employment
compared to 8.1% nationally
1.39 Location Quotient
$75,300 average wages
compared to $79,193 nationally
3-Digit Industry Empl
Avg Ann
Wages LQ
North
LQ
Central
LQ
South
LQ 5yr History
Annual
Demand
Forecast
Ann Growth
Wood Product Manufacturing 4,329 $99,520 15.75 7.60 21.06 12.95 515 0.6%
Chemical Manufacturing 1,155 $104,890 2.07 1.60 3.23 1.08 126 0.6%
Machinery Manufacturing 835 $85,509 1.23 4.71 0.85 0.58 79 -0.8%
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing 808 $65,298 0.90 2.49 0.52 0.81 88 0.2%
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing 781 $60,721 1.69 1.18 1.38 2.14 91 0.8%
Miscellaneous Manufacturing 765 $64,297 1.84 1.15 2.29 1.62 88 0.7%
Food Manufacturing 601 $38,116 0.57 0.30 0.56 0.65 80 0.7%
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing 415 $159,611 6.37 0.29 0.14 14.23 44 0.5%
Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing 352 $58,759 0.53 0.48 0.97 0.11 35 0.6%
Printing and Related Support Activities 254 $64,047 1.03 3.02 1.36 0.13 22 -2.4%
Remaining Component Industries 814 $49,374 0.43 0.28 0.36 0.34 92 -0.5%
Manufacturing 11,108 $75,300 1.39 1.56 1.56 1.16 1,255 0.4%
Industry Staffing Pattern
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Industry Occupational
Employment
37 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Jobs in the
Manufacturing Cluster
8,855 Total Employment
+2.8% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to -0.1% statewide
2.0% unemployment rate
(194 people) compared to
2.3% statewide (6,242 people)
1.12 Location Quotient
$50,600 average wages
compared to $52,400 statewide
Occupation Distribution for Manufacturing in Washington County, Minnesota, Baseline
Current 5-Year Demand
SOC Occupation Empl
Avg Ann
Wages Exits Transfers
Empl
Growth
Total
Demand
51-2092 Team Assemblers 1,131 $37,500 221 410 -62 569
51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and
Tenders, Except Sawing 547 $41,900 101 187 31 320
51-1011 Supervisors of Production/Operating Workers 425 $66,400 79 147 15 241
53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material
Movers, Hand 385 $37,500 97 185 19 300
11-1021 General and Operations Managers 264 $117,800 31 87 10 129
41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and
Manufacturing 261 $75,000 46 89 9 144
47-2031 Carpenters 252 $43,200 45 78 14 138
51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, and Weighers 232 $44,600 47 88 -13 123
17-2112 Industrial Engineers 224 $93,800 28 46 17 91
51-4041 Machinists 221 $52,000 43 76 3 122
51-7011 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters 206 $42,000 48 68 11 127
53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 189 $46,200 33 79 10 121
43-9061 Office Clerks, General 186 $41,400 58 58 -2 114
53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 175 $51,500 42 65 9 116
49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 173 $51,900 37 50 8 95
Other Occupations 6,214 1,283 2,151 134 3,570
Total 11,084 2,237 3,865 214 6,318
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Regional Manufacturing Highlights
38 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Northern
Top Detailed Industries
1)Custom Architectural Woodwork and
Millwork (LQ 58.79)
2)Spring (LQ 56.55)
3)Special Die and Tool, Die Set, Jig, and
Fixture (LQ 48.78)
4)Industrial Mold (LQ 48.21)
5)Wood Window and Door (LQ 30.22)
Talent Shortages
1) Maintenance and Repair Workers
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. *Shortened
from “Management of Companies and Enterprises.”
Central
Top Detailed Industries
1)Wood Window and Door (LQ 154.02)
2)Chemical Product and Preparation (LQ
39.07)
3)In-Vitro Diagnostic Substance (LQ
33.43)
4)Photographic Film, Paper, Plate,
Chemical, and Copy Toner (LQ 13.67)
5)Printed Circuit Assembly (LQ 13.22)
Talent Shortages
1)Woodworking Machine Operators
2)Maintenance and Repair Workers
3)Industrial Machinery Mechanics
4)Machinists
5)Welders
6)Packaging Machine Operators
7)Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters
8)Mechanics Supervisors
9)Production Supervisors
10)Chemical Equipment Operators
Southern
Top Detailed Industries
1)Wood Window and Door (LQ 95.67)
2)Unlaminated Plastics Film and Sheet
(LQ 35.84)
3)Petroleum Refineries (LQ 25.07)
4)Stationery Product (LQ 23.20)
5)Chemical Product and Preparation
(LQ 18.65)
Talent Shortages
1)Maintenance and Repair Workers
2)Woodworking Machine Operators
3)Industrial Machinery Mechanics
4)Mechanics Supervisors
5)Production Supervisors
Manufacturing Industry Workforce by Location
39 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Manufacturing Industry Employment by
Washington County Zip Code Manufacturing Cluster Occupational
Employment by Washington County Zip Code
Place of Work
Manufacturing Cluster Occupational
Employment by Washington County Zip Code
Residence
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Cluster by Location
40 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Manufacturing Unemployment by
Washington County Zip Code Manufacturing Occupational Net Commuting
Pattern by Washington County Zip Code
All Occupational Net Commuting Pattern by
Washington County Zip Code
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or
Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. A net -3,062 Manufacturing talent (-50,742
overall) work in a zip code other than their zip code of residence.
-41,221 Net
Commuters
-884 Net
Commuters
Construction Industry
Nearly 6,000 people work in the Construction Industry in Washington County, rising 4.5% on
average annually over the past five years and forecasting 0.7% average annual growth over the
coming five years under a baseline forecast. Construction roles are about as concentrated in
Washington County as a typical community nationally, (LQ 0.98), but prefabricated construction
components including drywall and structural steel contractors are uniquely found in high
number in Washington County. The Industry pays average wages of $68,943 annually, well
above the county’s average overall wage.
Key Findings
•Nonresidential Drywall Contractors (LQ 6.43); Power and Communication Line Construction
(LQ 3.39); Nonresidential Structural Steel Contractors (LQ 2.80) are the most uniquely
concentrated sub-industries in Washington County’s Construction Industry
•Residential Roofing Contractors, Nonresidential Plumbing and HVAC Contractors, and Power
Line Construction sub-industries all saw significant growth over the past five years, averaging
annually 29.9%, 29.2%, and 20.0% growth in the county respectively
•The county’s local postsecondary programming is likely underproducing Cost Estimators,
Construction Managers, and Civil Engineers needed in the local talent pipeline
41 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Location Quotient of the Construction Industry
Employment by Washington County Zip Code
Construction Industry Firms
42 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Construction Firms in Washington County by YearThe Construction Industry’s Contribution to GDP
5.6% Industry Share of Total GDP (4.3% in the nation)
+8.7% Average Annual GDP growth (+6.3% in the nation)
$251K Output per Worker ($232K in the nation)
3-digit Supplier Industries
Purchases from
In-Region ($M)
Purchases from
Out-of-Region ($M)
Petroleum Refineries $31.0 $6.8
Engineering Services $10.9 $13.4
All Other Plastics Product Manufacturing $13.9 $1.0
Ready-Mix Concrete Manufacturing $8.1 $6.8
Wood Kitchen Cabinet and Countertop
Manufacturing $4.2 $8.9
Remaining Supplier Industries $108.7 $393.2
Total $176.9 $430.1
Empl %
Private 4,398 76.5%
Self-Employment 965 16.8%
Government 385 6.7%
Construction Employers by Type
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Construction Industry Detail
43 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Jobs in the Construction
Industry
5,747 Total Employment
+3.8% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +2.4% statewide
and +2.7% nationally
5.8% of Total Employment
compared to 5.9% nationally
0.98 Location Quotient
$68,943 average wages
compared to $65,968 nationally
6-Digit Industry Empl
Avg Ann
Wages LQ
North
LQ
Central
LQ
South
LQ 5yr History
Annual
Demand
Forecast
Ann Growth
Nonresidential drywall contractors 534 $80,296 6.43 9.72 6.78 5.12 52 0.7%
Residential Remodelers 487 $57,175 1.11 0.91 1.18 1.09 49 0.6%
Power and Communication Line and Related
Structures Construction 481 $74,480 3.39 17.37 1.01 1.63 52 1.2%
Highway, Street, and Bridge Construction 424 $73,697 1.33 0.97 2.61 0.17 47 1.0%
Commercial and Institutional Building 400 $106,011 0.88 1.18 1.29 0.40 40 0.6%
Residential plumbing and HVAC contractors 345 $71,685 0.77 1.28 2.29 0.62 37 0.5%
Nonresidential plumbing and HVAC contractors 304 $103,599 0.85 1.15 0.82 0.67 32 0.5%
New Single-Family Housing Construction (except
For-Sale Builders)293 $70,867 0.91 1.34 0.90 0.81 30 0.6%
Residential site preparation contractors 229 $51,153 1.30 1.96 1.37 1.04 24 0.6%
All other residential trade contractors 220 $48,666 1.05 1.04 1.11 0.85 24 0.6%
Remaining Component Industries 2,031 $59,972 0.71 1.02 0.73 0.59 210 0.6%
Construction 5,747 $68,943 0.98 1.63 1.07 0.70 603 0.7%
Industry Staffing Pattern
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Construction Industry Occupational
Employment
44 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Jobs in the Architecture
and Construction Cluster
6,818 Total Employment
+2.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +1.1% statewide
2.3% unemployment rate
(164 people) compared to
2.9% statewide (5,425 people)
1.01 Location Quotient
$64,400 average wages
compared to $66,600 statewide
Occupation Distribution for Manufacturing in Washington County, Minnesota, Baseline
Current 5-Year Demand
SOC Occupation Empl
Avg Ann
Wages Exits Transfers
Empl
Growth
Total
Demand
47-2061 Construction Laborers 772 $51,800 146 252 43 440
47-2031 Carpenters 732 $65,200 127 220 17 364
47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades
and Extraction Workers 348 $84,100 60 108 14 182
11-9021 Construction Managers 238 $100,900 29 67 18 114
47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 221 $80,200 38 78 8 123
47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction
Equipment Operators 193 $72,200 36 66 8 110
47-2111 Electricians 177 $69,800 32 64 11 106
43-9061 Office Clerks, General 176 $44,800 55 55 -3 107
47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 169 $53,700 30 45 6 81
11-1021 General and Operations Managers 153 $113,300 18 51 6 74
47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 153 $63,600 21 42 6 70
13-1082 Project Management Specialists 147 $83,000 17 43 5 66
49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration
Mechanics and Installers 128 $63,000 20 42 4 66
47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 117 $62,400 15 36 0 52
53-3032 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 98 $55,600 23 36 4 63
Other Occupations 1,899 358 628 54 1,041
Total 5,720 1,026 1,833 201 3,060
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Regional Construction Highlights
45 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Northern
Top Detailed Industries
1)Power and Communication Line and
Related Structures Construction (LQ
17.37)
2)Nonresidential Drywall Contractors
(LQ 9.72)
3)Nonresidential Structural Steel
Contractors (LQ 4.12)
4)Other Heavy and Civil Engineering
Construction (LQ 2.89)
5)Residential Finish Carpentry
Contractors (LQ 2.21)
Talent Shortages
1)Construction Supervisors
2)Carpenters
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. *Shortened
from “Management of Companies and Enterprises.”
Central
Top Detailed Industries
1)Nonresidential Drywall Contractors
(LQ 6.78)
2)Nonresidential Structural Steel
Contractors (LQ 2.95)
3)Highway, Street, and Bridge
Construction (LQ 2.61)
4)New Multifamily Housing Construction
(except For-Sale Builders) (LQ 1.63)
5)Residential Finish Carpentry
Contractors (LQ 1.57)
Talent Shortages
1)Carpenters
2)Plumbers and Pipefitters
3)Painters, Construction and Maint.
4)Electricians
5)Operating Engineers
6)Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers
7)Construction Managers
8)Construction Supervisors
Southern
Top Detailed Industries
1)Nonresidential Drywall Contractors
(LQ 5.12)
2)New Multifamily Housing
Construction (except For-Sale
Builders) (LQ 4.35)
3)Nonresidential Structural Steel
Contractors (LQ 2.26)
4)Power and Communication Line and
Related Structures Construction (LQ
1.63)
5)Residential Finish Carpentry
Contractors (LQ 1.20)
Talent Shortages
1)Carpenters
2)Painters, Construction and Maint.
3)Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers
4)Construction Managers
5)Construction Supervisors
Construction Industry Workforce by Location
46 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Construction Industry Employment by
Washington County Zip Code
Architecture and Construction Cluster
Occupational Employment by Washington
County Zip Code Place of Work
Architecture and Construction Cluster
Occupational Employment by Washington
County Zip Code Residence
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Architecture and Construction Cluster by
Location
47 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Architecture and Construction Unemployment
by Washington County Zip Code
Architecture and Construction Occupational
Net Commuting Pattern by Washington County
Zip Code
All Occupational Net Commuting Pattern by
Washington County Zip Code
-41,221 Net
Commuters
-168 Net
Commuters
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or
Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. A net -2,366 Architecture and Construction
talent (-50,742 overall) work in a zip code other than their zip code of residence.
04. Pathway Priorities
Approach
•Classify all occupations in the critical career clusters into three tiers: Origin, Gateway, and
Target occupations
•Analyze all occupations in the model by wage, skill-level, and demand
•Evaluate the prominent career pathways for development and investment for equitable
economic growth, with attention to average wages and trends in job posting requirements
Pathway Priorities
49 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Critical Pathways
Health Science (Therapeutic Services)
Manufacturing
Architecture and Construction
Utilizing an Origin-Gateway-Target Model for
career pathway evaluation, this report
highlights the most important areas of
investment in local training and education
programming to prepare the talent needed
for today and tomorrow’s future workforce.
Origin-Gateway-Target Model
An Origin-Gateway-Target Model for
Health Science (Therapeutic Services)
50 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Washington County, 2022Q3
Origin Occupations
Home Health Aides (HD, AG)
Nursing Assistants (HS, HD, OG)
Pharmacy Technicians (HS, HD)
Veterinary Technologists & Technicians (HS, HD, OG, AG)
Opticians, Dispensing (HD, AG)
Gateway Occupations
Medical Assistants (HS, HD, OG, AG)
Licensed Practical Nurses (HS, HD, OG, AG)
Dental Assistants (HS, HD, OG)
Medical Secretaries & Administrative Assistants (HD, OG)
Dental Hygienists (HS, HD, OG)
Target Occupations (all HW, HD, HS)
Registered Nurses (OG, AG)
Medical and Health Services Managers (OG, AG)
Pharmacists (OG, AG)
Nurse Practitioners (OG, AG)
Physical Therapists (OG, AG)
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Health Science Cluster Wages
51 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
8,731 Total Employment
+3.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.3% statewide
1.0% unemployment rate
(133 people) compared to
1.2% statewide (3,416 people)
0.98 Location Quotient
$82,500 average wages
compared to $83,700 statewide
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation
SOC may be abbreviated. Wage thresholds for Origin and Gateway Occupations
adjusted moderately for this pathway (Opticians and Pharmacy Technicians have
average wages above the $42,500 threshold into Gateway careers but are shown
as Origin Occupations as they typically do not require a credential or experience.
SOC Occupation
County
Empl Mean Entry LevelExperienced 10%25%
50%
(Median)75%90%
Typical Entry-
Level Education
Previous Work
Experience
Typical On-the-
Job Training
29-1141 Registered Nurses 1,439 $85,300 $66,500 $94,800 $61,400 $74,600 $78,700 $98,500 $99,500 BA None None
11-9111 Medical and Health Services
Managers 248 $111,500 $69,800 $132,300 $66,700 $78,200 $97,700 $124,200 $158,100 BA Less than 5
years None
29-1051 Pharmacists 207 $127,600 $99,700 $141,600 $82,100 $126,000 $130,200 $151,300 $164,100 PhD None None
29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 171 $124,200 $86,300 $143,200 $79,200 $101,400 $126,100 $129,900 $160,200 MA None None
29-1123 Physical Therapists 150 $86,300 $75,900 $91,400 $75,300 $77,300 $79,500 $98,600 $100,500 PhD None None
29-1229 Physicians, All Other 140 $264,500 $87,500 $353,000 $73,500 $115,100 $235,600 $287,000 $349,400 PhD None Residency
31-9092 Medical Assistants 449 $45,400 $37,500 $49,400 $37,800 $38,700 $47,600 $48,300 $48,500 Certificate None None
29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed
Vocational Nurses 371 $52,400 $46,700 $55,300 $46,700 $47,100 $49,300 $59,000 $60,400 AS None None
31-9091 Dental Assistants 320 $55,700 $47,300 $60,000 $48,100 $48,400 $60,600 $61,100 $61,900 Certificate None None
43-6013 Medical Secretaries and
Administrative Assistants 546 $45,000 $36,800 $49,100 $37,200 $37,900 $46,900 $48,000 $58,700 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
29-1292 Dental Hygienists 244 $81,800 $77,800 $83,800 $77,800 $78,000 $78,700 $82,600 $98,400 AS None None
31-1121 Home Health Aides 664 $30,500 $26,300 $32,600 $24,400 $29,000 $29,400 $30,800 $36,400 HS/GED None Short-term OJT
31-1131 Nursing Assistants 597 $39,000 $33,200 $41,800 $30,900 $36,800 $37,900 $43,100 $47,400 Certificate None None
29-2052 Pharmacy Technicians 291 $43,800 $33,400 $49,000 $31,400 $37,500 $45,900 $47,800 $58,500 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
31-9096 Veterinary Assistants and
Laboratory Animal Caretakers 113 $37,000 $29,400 $40,700 $29,400 $30,700 $37,500 $38,400 $47,900 HS/GED None Short-term OJT
29-2081 Opticians, Dispensing 86 $44,400 $34,700 $49,200 $33,500 $38,100 $46,200 $46,700 $58,400 HS/GED None Long-term OJTOriginGatewayTarget
Health Science Cluster Job Vacancies
52 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Statewide and MSP 7-County Metro Regional Job Vacancy Estimates, 2021Q4
Minnesota MSP Metro
SOC Occupation
Job
Vacancies
Job Vacancy
Rate Job Vacancies
Job
Vacancy
Rate Part Time
Temp/Seas
onal
Requiring
Postsecon
dary
Requiring
Certificate
or License
29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 19,758 10.5%12,178 11.8%30%2%87%71%
29-1000 Healthcare Diagnosing or Treating Practitioners 11,941 9.5%7,390 27%2%98%78%
29-2000 Health Technologists and Technicians 7,691 13.0%4,719 36%3%69%61%
29-9000 Other Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 125 4.4%67 39%2%91%91%
31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations 18,212 11.3%11,428 11.9%41%5%31%57%
31-1100 Home Health and Personal Care Aides; Nursing Assistants and Orderlies 15,110 9,044 5%21%55%
31-1121 Home Health Aides 1,829 1,411 47%10%16%23%
31-1122 Personal Care Aides 7,281 4,044 56%2%3%45%
31-1131 Nursing Assistants 5,878 23.2%3,537 31.2%32%6%45%80%
31-1132 Orderlies 51 15.1%32 15.1%50%0%0%4%
31-1133 Psychiatric Aides 69 7.7%18 3.4%77%6%0%23%
31-2000 Occupational Therapy and Physical Therapist Assistants 803 44.3%689 5%5%100%98%
31-9000 Other Healthcare Support Occupations 2,299 9.6%1,693 34%5%53%54%
Total –All Occupations 214,071 8.2%126,916 7.9%27%5%38%33%
Source: MN DEED Job Vacancy Survey, 2021Q4 Dataset
for the MSP 7-County Metro Economic Development
Region. Blank fields indicate no published data.
Health Science Shortages
53 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Average Annual Talent Shortages through 2027 Local Talent Postsecondary Award Gaps
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Health Science Job Posting Trends
54 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Top Occupations Advertised
Two Year Wage Trends
Registered Nurse
Caregiver/Personal Care Aide
Home Health Aide
LPN
Nursing Assistant
Pharmacy Technician
Laboratory Technician
Nursing Manager/Supervisor
Medical Assistant
Physician
Median Advertised Salary in 2022
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
Health Science Job Posting Trends
55 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Comparison of Monthly Job Postings Volume to Hires
Top Employers Posting
Lakeview Hospital
CareInHomes
Fairview Health Services
Sevita
Presbyterian Homes
Allina Health
Regions Hospital
Interim HealthCare
Good Samaritan Society
Stillwater Medical
+20.7%
in posting volumes
between 2021 and 2022
1 hire
For every 2 unique job postings
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
Health Science Skill Demand
56 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Common Skills in Demand Specialized Skills in Demand
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
An Origin-Gateway-Target Model for
Manufacturing
57 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Origin Occupations
Team Assemblers
Production Workers, Other (OG)
Assemblers and Fabricators, Other
Packaging & Filling Machine Operators & Tenders (OG)
Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Gateway Occupations
Maintenance &Repair Workers, General (OG, AG)
Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing (OG, AG)
Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers
Machinists (OG, AG)
Industrial Machinery Mechanics (HW, OG, AG)
Target Occupations (all HW, HD)
Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers (OG, AG)
Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers (OG, AG)
Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail (HS, OG, AG)
Petroleum Pump System Operators
Power Plant Operators (OG)
Washington County, 2022Q3
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Cluster Wages
58 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
8,731 Total Employment
+3.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.3% statewide
1.0% unemployment rate
(133 people) compared to
1.2% statewide (3,416 people)
0.98 Location Quotient
$82,500 average wages
compared to $83,700 statewide
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
SOC Occupation
County
Empl Mean Entry LevelExperienced 10%25%
50%
(Median)75%90%
Typical Entry-
Level Education
Previous Work
Experience
Typical On-the-
Job Training
51-1011 Supervisors of Production and
Operating Workers 507 $72,000 $51,900 $82,100 $48,600 $58,100 $65,100 $80,600 $100,600 HS/GED Less than 5
years None
49-1011 Supervisors of Mechanics,
Installers, and Repairers 256 $80,100 $55,400 $92,400 $51,500 $63,900 $78,200 $96,400 $103,300 HS/GED Less than 5
years None
13-1023 Purchasing Agents 164 $77,400 $51,900 $90,100 $48,100 $60,300 $75,100 $95,300 $118,600 BA None Mod-term OJT
51-8093 Petroleum Pump System Operators,
Refinery Operators, and Gaugers 41 $93,400 $78,100 $101,100 $75,600 $84,100 $95,700 $101,400 $103,600 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-8013 Power Plant Operators 32 $93,700 $62,900 $109,100 $52,800 $80,400 $104,700 $108,900 $113,700 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers 871 $51,200 $36,800 $58,400 $35,600 $40,000 $48,100 $60,000 $65,200 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters,
Operators, and Tenders 552 $44,800 $35,800 $49,300 $34,700 $39,000 $46,500 $48,500 $51,600 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters,
Samplers, and Weighers 310 $48,100 $33,900 $55,100 $31,500 $38,700 $48,300 $53,700 $61,400 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-4041 Machinists 243 $55,400 $40,700 $62,800 $38,900 $44,800 $52,600 $62,500 $76,600 HS/GED None Long-term OJT
49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 219 $66,800 $50,900 $74,800 $48,700 $55,600 $63,100 $77,500 $81,400 HS/GED None Long-term OJT
51-2092 Team Assemblers 1,228 $39,900 $29,800 $45,000 $29,700 $31,300 $38,100 $46,500 $50,100 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-9199 Production Workers, Other 199 $41,100 $29,500 $46,900 $29,800 $30,400 $37,500 $47,000 $58,500 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-2099 Assemblers and Fabricators, Other 197 $39,600 $29,700 $44,600 $29,600 $31,200 $37,900 $46,200 $49,700 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine
Operators and Tenders 196 $40,100 $30,500 $44,900 $30,200 $32,300 $39,300 $47,000 $49,400 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
51-4072
Molding, Coremaking, and Casting
Machine Setters, Operators, and
Tenders, Metal and Plastic
156 $42,200 $31,000 $47,700 $30,600 $32,700 $38,500 $47,400 $60,400 HS/GED None Mod-term OJTOriginGatewayTarget
Manufacturing Cluster Job Vacancies
59 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Statewide and MSP 7-County Metro Regional Job Vacancy Estimates, 2021Q4
Minnesota MSP Metro
SOC Occupation
Job
Vacancies
Job Vacancy
Rate Job Vacancies
Job Vacancy
Rate Part Time
Temp/Seas
onal
Req Post
secondary
Req Cert/
License
17-0000Architecture and Engineering Occupations 3,912 7.5%2,523 7%3%2%91%56%
17-2000Engineers 2,779 8.4%1,828 3%2%99%60%
17-3000Drafters, Engineering Technicians, and Mapping Tec 1,034 7.1%609 2%0%66%39%
49-0000Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 6,925 7.2%3,298 6.7%6%1%23%73%
49-1000Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 476 6.7%78 8%0%32%59%
49-2000Electrical and Electronic Equipment Mechanics, Installers 531 7.3%211 0%4%29%81%
49-9000Other Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupa 2,942 6.1%1,475 7%2%34%54%
51-0000Production Occupations 10,989 5.5%5,041 4.9%11%0%18%7%
51-1000Supervisors of Production Workers 344 2.8%145 2%1%41%13%
51-2000Assemblers and Fabricators 2,181 4.8%1,121 1%1%51%1%
51-3000Food Processing Workers 1,197 5.3%506 8%0%2%3%
51-4000Metal Workers and Plastic Workers 2,388 6%936 6%0%13%12%
51-5100Printing Workers 453 276 0%0%0%0%
51-6000Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers 256 4%162 58%0%4%0%
51-7000Woodworkers 625 12.2%503 0%0%0%0%
51-8000Plant and System Operators 514 8.4%25 10%10%32%81%
51-9000Other Production Occupations 3,028 5.8%1,365 24%0%7%10%
Total –All Occupations 214,071 8.2%126,916 7.9%27%5%38%33%
Source: MN DEED Job Vacancy Survey, 2021Q4 Dataset
for the MSP 7-County Metro Economic Development
Region. Blank fields indicate no published data.
Manufacturing Shortages
60 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Average Annual Talent Shortages through 2027 Local Talent Postsecondary Award Gaps
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Job Posting Trends
61 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Top Occupations Advertised
Two Year Wage Trends
Maintenance and Repair Workers
Production Workers
Industrial Engineering Techs
Misc. Assemblers and Fabricators
Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Weighers
Helpers—Production Workers
Production Supervisors
Mechanics Supervisors
Production and Planning Clerks
Aircraft Assemblers
Median Advertised Salary in 2022
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Job Posting Trends
62 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023 Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
Comparison of Monthly Job Postings Volume to Hires
Top Employers Posting
Andersen Windows
Aerotek
Up North Plastics
Randstad
3M
Supermom’s Bakery
Award Staffing
JI Schwieters
Adecco
Lube-Tech
-6.0%
in posting volumes
between 2021 and 2022
1 hire
for every 2 unique job postings
Manufacturing Skill Demand
63 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Common Skills in Demand Specialized Skills in Demand
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
An Origin-Gateway-Target Model for
Architecture and Construction
64 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Origin Occupations
Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers (HD)
Helpers—Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers (HD)
Helpers—Carpenters (HD)
Manufactured Building and Mobile Home Installers
Helpers—Construction Trades, All Other (HD)
Gateway Occupations (all HD)
Construction Laborers
Painters, Construction and Maintenance (OG)
Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeepers (OG)
Highway Maintenance Workers (OG)
Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall
Target Occupations (all HW, HD)
Carpenters (AG)
Supervisors of Construction Trades Workers (OG, AG)
Construction Managers (HS, AG)
Operating Engineers (OG)
Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters (OG, AG)
Washington County, 2022Q3
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Architecture and Construction Cluster
Wages
65 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
8,731 Total Employment
+3.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.3% statewide
1.0% unemployment rate
(133 people) compared to
1.2% statewide (3,416 people)
0.98 Location Quotient
$82,500 average wages
compared to $83,700 statewide
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
SOC Occupation
County
Empl Mean Entry LevelExperienced 10%25%
50%
(Median)75%90%
Typical Entry-
Level Education
Previous Work
Experience
Typical On-the-
Job Training
47-2031 Carpenters 1,026 $61,200 $42,200 $70,700 $39,200 $48,800 $61,500 $76,300 $78,000 HS/GED None Apprenticeship
47-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Construction
Trades and Extraction Workers 414 $89,500 $68,000 $100,200 $62,400 $77,100 $82,800 $101,900 $117,700 HS/GED 5 years or
more None
11-9021 Construction Managers 262 $108,800 $68,900 $128,800 $64,100 $79,900 $100,100 $126,500 $165,400 BA None Mod-term OJT
47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other
Construction Equipment Operators 262 $74,400 $54,000 $84,600 $50,300 $62,600 $78,600 $81,200 $96,100 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and
Steamfitters 254 $83,800 $53,500 $99,000 $49,700 $62,900 $85,000 $101,000 $103,400 HS/GED None Apprenticeship
47-2061 Construction Laborers 885 $53,400 $33,400 $63,400 $30,400 $38,600 $48,300 $66,800 $78,400 None None Short-term OJT
47-2141 Painters, Construction and
Maintenance 191 $55,500 $36,900 $64,800 $36,400 $39,700 $50,100 $65,000 $77,200 None None Mod-term OJT
37-1012 Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn
Service, and Groundskeepers 153 $56,400 $40,800 $64,300 $40,000 $44,200 $55,600 $64,000 $79,300 HS/GED Less than 5 years None
47-4051 Highway Maintenance Workers 126 $57,500 $46,600 $62,900 $45,300 $50,300 $60,200 $61,500 $76,000 HS/GED None Mod-term OJT
47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling 74 $53,500 $40,100 $60,100 $39,000 $42,900 $48,100 $59,100 $75,100 None None Short-term OJT
37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping
Workers 923 $41,800 $30,600 $47,400 $30,600 $32,100 $39,400 $49,000 $60,300 None None Short-term OJT
49-9098 Helpers--Installation, Maintenance,
and Repair Workers 37 $36,100 $26,700 $40,800 $25,100 $29,300 $34,500 $37,900 $47,000 HS/GED None Short-term OJT
47-3012 Helpers--Carpenters 23 $37,900 $29,600 $42,000 $22,100 $36,800 $38,400 $38,400 $48,400 None None Short-term OJT
49-9095 Manufactured Building and Mobile
Home Installers 17 $41,100 $30,300 $46,600 $28,900 $33,400 $41,300 $43,800 $52,600 HS/GED None Short-term OJT
47-3019 Helpers, Construction Trades, Other 16 $38,400 $23,200 $46,000 $23,400 $23,400 $29,900 $52,600 $66,500 None None Short-term OJTOriginGatewayTarget
Architecture and Construction Cluster Job
Vacancies
66 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Statewide and MSP 7-County Metro Regional Job Vacancy Estimates, 2021Q4
Minnesota MSP Metro
SOC Occupation
Job
Vacancies
Job Vacancy
Rate Job Vacancies
Job Vacancy
Rate
Part
Time
Temp/Seas
onal
Req Post
secondary
Req Cert/
License
17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 3,912 7.5%2,523 7%3%2%91%56%
17-2000 Engineers 2,779 8.4%1,828 3%2%99%60%
17-3000 Drafters, Engineering Technicians, and Mapping Tec 1,034 7.1%609 2%0%66%39%
47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 4,163 3.9%1,146 2.2%36%21%8%69%
47-1000 Supervisors of Construction and Extraction Workers 264 3.0%119 0%0%26%84%
47-2000 Construction Trades Workers 3,468 4.5%645 24%3%7%52%
47-4000 Other Construction and Related Workers 423 4.5%379 66%57%3%93%
37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Occupations 5,285 7.0%3,405 8.2%27%14%6%18%
37-1000 Supervisors of Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Workers 282 7.8%132 23%2%5%57%
37-2000 Building Cleaning and Pest Control Workers 4,244 7.9%2,621 28%7%7%5%
37-3000 Grounds Maintenance Workers 758 5.4%651 25%42%7%61%
Total –All Occupations 214,071 8.2%126,916 7.9%27%5%38%33%
Source: MN DEED Job Vacancy Survey, 2021Q4 Dataset
for the MSP 7-County Metro Economic Development
Region. Blank fields indicate no published data.
Architecture and Construction Shortages
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Average Annual Talent Shortages through 2027 Local Talent Postsecondary Award Gaps
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Architecture and Construction Job Posting
Trends
68 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Top Occupations Advertised
Two Year Wage Trends
Landscaping Workers
Construction Laborers
Construction Managers
Cost Estimators
Carpenters
HVAC Mechanics and Installers
Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn
Service, and Groundskeepers
Civil Engineers
Supervisors of Construction Workers
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Median Advertised Salary in 2022
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
Architecture and Construction Job Posting
Trends
69 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023 Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
Comparison of Monthly Job Postings Volume to Hires
Top Employers Posting
Norhart
GPAC
Horticulture Services
Turner Construction Company
Ryan
Rj’s Property Maintenance
Aerotek
State of Minnesota
Tradesmen International
Bolton & Menk
+11.5%
in posting volumes
between 2021 and 2022
1 hire
for every 1 unique job posting
Architecture and Construction Skill Demand
70 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Common Skills in Demand Specialized Skills in Demand
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset, live deduplicated job
postings. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC
may be abbreviated.
Priorities by Pathway
Health Science
CRITICAL ISSUE: Address the growing
local shortage of talent in key roles that
provide direct care to aging and high-
need populations.
Ramp up volume of graduates
coming through critical
postsecondary programs that train:
•Registered Nurses
•Medical and Health Services
Managers
•Nurse Practitioners
Support employers in talent
retention efforts in origin and
gateway occupations
Manufacturing
CRITICAL ISSUE: Bolster the Wood Product
and Chemical Manufacturing Industries by
growing talent pipelines in occupations of
high shortages.
Grow the volume of graduates at the
two-year level for critical roles including:
•Industrial Engineering Techs
•Chemical Techs
•Welders and Solderers
•Industrial Machinery Mechanics
•Chemical Equipment Operators
Build career advancement pathways
into critical supervisory positions
including:
•Production Supervisors
•Mechanics Supervisors
Architecture and Construction
CRITICAL ISSUE: Grow the base of talent
needed to support the important Drywall and
Nonresidential Structural Steel Industries, as
well as the Power Line Construction Industry.
Accelerate talent attraction into origin and gateway occupations in high-demand in these core industries that are forecasting
shortages, such as Drywall Installers.
Address talent shortages through
expanding career advancement pathways
to ensure sufficient talent:
•Construction Managers
•Construction Supervisors
71 Washington County
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March 2023
05. Summary
We’re at a turning point
The talent shortage poses challenges we have never
encountered before, necessitating new solutions and
collective action
Our industry needs are clear
Washington County has strong local Manufacturing,
Construction, and Healthcare industries whose future
growth relies on the ability to attract, retain, and train
local talent
Our community is becoming more diverse
The county has welcomed nearly 30,000 new
residents between 2010 and 2021, and has increased in racial diversity to about 20.3% of local
residents being BIPOC by race or ethnicity as of 2021
Workplaces are changing
Our talent has different expectations for the
workplace, and employers are responding by offering
more flexibility in place of work and scheduling
We can lead by example
The Washington County CDA and its partners
countywide have an opportunity to offer an impactful
model of economic development support that
features workforce development at the center of a
healthy and thriving local economy
72 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Next Steps
Washington County is poised for growth, if it can leverage its available workforce effectively and attract talent to fill critical workforce needs. An accompanying labor market supply study will further analyze the depth of workforce needs and elevate gaps and opportunities in education and workforce development.
Working forward together,
RealTime Talent
erin@realtimetalentmn.org
Author of this Report
Erin Olson, MURP, MPH
Senior Director of Strategic Research,
RealTime Talent
74 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
What is a location quotient?
A location quotient (LQ) is a measurement of concentration in comparison to the nation. An LQ of 1.00 indicates a region has the same concentration of an industry (or
occupation) as the nation. An LQ of 2.00 would mean the region has twice the expected employment compared to the nation and an LQ of 0.50 would mean the region has
half the expected employment in comparison to the nation.
What is a cluster?
A cluster is a geographic concentration of interrelated industries or occupations. If a regional cluster has a location quotient of 1.25 or greater, the region is considered to
possess a competitive advantage in that cluster.
What is separation demand?
Separation demand is the number of jobs required due to separations—labor force exits (including retirements) and turnover resulting from workers moving from one
occupation into another. Note that separation demand does not include all turnover—it does not include when workers stay in the same occupation but switch employers.
The total projected demand for an occupation is the sum of the separation demand and the growth demand (which is the increase or decrease of jobs in an occupation
expected due to expansion or contraction of the overall number of jobs in that occupation).
What is the difference between industry wages and occupation wages?
Industry wages and occupation wages are estimated via separate data sets, often the time periods being reported do not align,and wages are defined slightly differently in
the two systems (for example, certain bonuses are included in the industry wages but not the occupation wages). It is therefore common that estimates of the average
industry wages and average occupation wages in a region do not match exactly. Annual average wages per worker and employment data are derived from the Quarterly
Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and imputed where necessary. Data are updated through 2022Q2 with preliminary estimates
updated to 2022Q3.
What is NAICS?
The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is used to classify business establishments according to the type of economic activity. The NAICS Code comprises
six levels, from the “all industry” level to the 6-digit level. The first two digits define the top-level category, known as the “sector,” which is the level examined in this report.
FAQ Regarding Data and
Methodology
75 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
FAQ Regarding Data and
Methodology -Continued
76 Washington County
Labor Demand Study
March 2023
Where does the data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) come from?
Gross Domestic Product data are provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, imputed by Chmura where necessary, updated through 2021.
What is SOC?
The Standard Occupational Classification system (SOC) is used to classify workers into occupational categories. All workers are classified into one of over 804 occupations
according to their occupational definition. To facilitate classification, occupations are combined to form 22 major groups, 95 minor groups, and 452 occupation groups. Each
occupation group includes detailed occupations requiring similar job duties, skills, education, or experience.
Where can I learn more about the sources that were used in this report?
Lightcast offers a suite of labor market data analysis tools that are used to analyze candidate profiles and educational data from NCES IPEDS to track program graduate data
and estimate talent pool availability. These tools scrape millions of candidate profiles and model skills, credentials, and employment experience to link where talent is located
to where talent is in demand.
Chmura JobsEQ is a labor market data analysis tool that provides employment, unemployment, and education data from sources like the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census
Bureau, and NCES IPEDS and models this data at detailed geographic levels. This tool is utilized by RealTime Talent to model alternate forecasts impacted by COVID-19 to
show possible future-state talent gaps, award gaps, and optimistic employment growth.
Who created this report?
This report was developed by RealTime Talent for the Transportation Center of Excellence. If you have questions about the data found in this report, or are interested in
learning more, please contact the Senior Director of Strategic Research, Erin Olson at erin@realtimetalentmn.org or visit the RealTime Talent website at
www.realtimetalent.org
Labor Market title page graphic: Roger Spooner/Getty Images
Articles cited in the introduction: 1. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage. Feb 22, 2023. Accessed at
https://www.uschamber.com/workforce/understanding-americas-labor-shortage 2. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding
America’s Labor Shortage: The most Impacted States. Feb 1, 2023. Accessed at https://www.uschamber.com/workforce/the-states-
suffering-most-from-the-labor-shortage?state=mn
Washington
County Labor
Supply Study
Washington County CDA
Developed by RealTime Talent
March 29, 2023
Supply Study
Contents
01. Introduction (p. 3)
Centering equity and
community well-being as we
address workforce needs for
economic development
02. Community
Overview (p. 4)
Demographics, educational
attainment, social
characteristics, and
household makeup of the
county’s residents
03. Labor Force
Overview (p. 10)
Labor force participation,
employment,
unemployment, and
underemployment
04. Post-High School
Education (p. 15)
Post-high school program
offerings, and analysis of
award gaps in critical
pathways
05. Talent
Demographics (p. 21)The strengths of Washington
County’s workforce and
recommended next steps
2 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
06. Summary and
Opportunity
Assessment (p. 28)
Talent demographics and
post-high school education
program graduate
demographics with focus on
critical pathways
01. Introduction
The talent shortage is here, and likely to become more severe
Significant talent shortages have been on the horizon for years, and the effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic accelerated
many of the workforce transitions and talent misalignments seen on our horizon in 2018. In 2022, demographic trends
and the complex economic environment nationwide collided to create the tightest job market in history, and the impacts
of that tightness are still being felt. We still see a “great reshuffle” playing out as talent seeks higher wage opportunities more closely aligned to areas of interest and skill, and early retirements, lack of access to childcare and other dependent
care, illness, entrepreneurship and new business starts are cited as the top influencing factors limiting our available
talent pool.1 Minnesota has one of the most severe talent shortages in the nation, with about 50 available workers for
every 100 open jobs—not even taking into account skill misalignments.2 In short, we don’t have workers to spare.
The needs and expectations of talent are shifting
3 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
1. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage.
Feb 22, 2023. 2. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s
Labor Shortage: The most Impacted States. Feb 1, 2023.
In the same way that the COVID-19 Pandemic impacted the way that businesses operate, it also impacted the
expectations of workers. Talent that had postponed retirement began exiting the workforce at a more rapid pace, and
remote and hybrid work environments led to shifts in commute patterns that have remained with our communities even after stabilization. In addition, the demographic pendulum has swung with an aging local workforce and a swelling of a
more diverse younger generation on the cusp of entering the world of work.
02. Community
Overview
Regional Demographics –Age and Gender
5 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Washington County’s population is forecast to grow by about
1.1% annually, adding just over 2,650 residents per year, about
7.7% of the total population growth forecast for Minnesota as a
whole. The largest adult age cohorts in Washington County’s
population are between 45-54 and 55-64 years old, suggesting
a local population approaching retirement age.
About 3.9% of Washington County’s population are veterans
(6,162), and the labor force participation rate of Washington
County’s veterans is higher than the rate observed statewide:
83.9% compared to 80.9%.
About 1.9% of Washington County residents commute via public
transportation compared to 3.2% statewide and 4.6%
nationwide.
Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey 2016-2020
5-Year Estimates. Current population estimate at 277,283.
Percent Value
Washington
County,
Minnesota Minnesota USA
Washington
County,
Minnesota Minnesota USA
Demographics
Population (ACS) — — — 259,072 5,600,166 326,569,308
Male 49.5% 49.8% 49.2% 128,233 2,789,017 160,818,530
Female 50.5% 50.2% 50.8% 130,839 2,811,149 165,750,778
Median Age2 — — — 39.5 38.1 38.2
Under 18 Years 24.5% 23.2% 22.4% 63,411 1,299,284 73,296,738
18 to 24 Years 7.9% 8.9% 9.3% 20,422 498,444 30,435,736
25 to 34 Years 11.6% 13.6% 13.9% 29,979 760,033 45,485,165
35 to 44 Years 13.3% 12.7% 12.7% 34,366 710,985 41,346,677
45 to 54 Years 13.9% 12.4% 12.7% 36,125 692,277 41,540,736
55 to 64 Years 13.9% 13.4% 12.9% 36,057 751,567 42,101,439
65 to 74 Years 9.0% 9.1% 9.4% 23,308 511,127 30,547,950
75 Years and Over 5.9% 6.7% 6.7% 15,404 376,449 21,814,867
Population Growth
Population (Pop Estimates)4 — — — 265,476 5,657,342 329,484,123
Population Annual Average Growth4 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 2,654 34,641 2,015,698
People per Square Mile — — — 682.9 70.8 92.9
Economic
Armed Forces Labor Force 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 176 3,607 1,143,342
Veterans, Age 18-64 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 6,162 125,683 8,920,267
Veterans Labor Force Participation Rate
and Size, Age 18-64 83.9% 80.9% 76.8% 5,171 101,620 6,853,673
Median Household Income2 — — — $97,584 $73,382 $64,994
Per Capita Income — — — $46,842 $38,881 $35,384
Mean Commute Time (minutes) — — — 25.7 23.8 26.9
Commute via Public Transportation 1.9% 3.2% 4.6% 2,525 93,692 7,044,886
Regional Demographics –Race and Ethnicity
6 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Southern Washington County is the most
diverse of the three regions, with 18.8% of
residents being Black, Indigenous, or
People of Color (BIPOC) as defined by race;
an additional 4.6% identify as Hispanic or
Latinx. Nearly one in ten Southern
Washington County residents are foreign-
born. Similar statistics are reflected in the
local workforce (see the chart to the right).
Central Washington County has the highest
share of the population that are veterans.
Workforce Demographics by Washington County Region
Population Race, Ethnicity, Foreign Born, and Veteran Status by Region
% BIPOC Race % Hispanic/Latinx % Foreign Born % Veterans
Northern Washington County 9.8%3.1%2.9%3.6%
Central Washington County 14.3%4.4%5.5%4.5%
Southern Washington County 18.8%4.6%9.2%3.7%
Washington County, MN 15.8%4.3%6.9%3.9%
% Hispanic
4.1%
2.8%
4.5%
4.3%
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Educational Attainment
7 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Among Washington County’s population 18 or older, the local Asian population has the highest percent of residents holding a Bachelor’s
degree or higher (56.9%), but it is the non-Hispanic White population that has the highest share of adults holding at least a high school
diploma or equivalent (97.6%). By age cohort, about 12.4% of 18-to 24-year-olds have not completed a high school diploma or equivalent
credential, with this volume dropping to just 3.7% of all adults 25 years and older in Washington County (the 25-34 year cohort is most likely to
hold a high school diploma or more education).
Educational Attainment by Age, Washington County, Minnesota
Source: US Census Bureau, 2021 5-Year ACS. Data on White talent that includes
Hispanic/Latinx, and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islanders have been excluded from
this table due to redundancy in the first instance and small sample sizes in the
second (only 138 individuals); NH/PI has been combined with “some other race.”
Educational Attainment by Race and Ethnicity, Washington County, Minnesota
HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+
Total Population 151,563 147,928 72,385 7,170 5,947 2,578 438 336 34 10,486 9,893 5,970 1,940 1,557 529 4,432 4,210 1,760 6,254 5,197 2,218
Percent of Community Group 97.6%47.8%82.9%36.0%76.7%7.8%94.3%56.9%80.3%27.3%95.0%39.7%83.1%35.5%
Percent of Total Population 83.1%81.2%39.7%3.9%3.3%1.4%0.2%0.2%0.0%5.8%5.4%3.3%1.1%0.9%0.3%2.4%2.3%1.0%3.4%2.9%1.2%
Percent of Education Level 84.5%84.7%3.4%3.0%0.2%0.0%5.7%7.0%0.9%0.6%2.4%2.1%3.0%2.6%
Two or More Races Hispanic or Latinx OriginWhite alone, not Hispanic/Latinx Black Alone American Indian/Alaska Native Asian Alone Some other race alone (incl. NH/PI)
Total
<HS HS/GED
Some
College/
AS BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+
Total Population 199,818 20,718 2,562 6,350 8,039 3,767 179,100 172,398 84,393 30,117 29,258 13,977 35,880 34,688 21,076 73,205 70,304 34,366 39,898 38,148 14,974
Percent of Age Group 12.4%30.6%38.8%18.2%96.3%47.1%97.1%46.4%96.7%58.7%96.0%46.9%95.6%37.5%
Percent of Total Population 10.4%1.3%3.2%4.0%1.9%89.6%86.3%2.2%15.1%14.6%7.0%18.0%17.4%10.5%36.6%35.2%17.2%20.0%19.1%7.5%
Percent of Education Level 27.7%15.4%13.1%4.3%90.5%95.7%15.4%15.9%18.2%23.9%36.9%39.0%20.0%17.0%
Population 65 years and overPopulation 18 to 24 years Population 25 years and over Population 25 to 34 years Population 35 to 44 years Population 45 to 64 years
Income and Wages
8 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Quarterly Wages for Stable Hires in Washington County
Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) by race, all
industries. US Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. More on
how the US Census Bureau calculates poverty can be found at:
https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/poverty/guidance/poverty-measures.html
Percent of Population At or Below the Federal Poverty Level
Social Characteristics
9 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Washington County has just under 100,000 housing units, with a
median value of $301,000—above the statewide median of
$235,700. Homeowner vacancy rates are low at 0.6% or about
486 total vacant homesteaded units. About 18.4% of occupied
housing units in Washington County are renter-occupied,
compared to 28.1% statewide.
About 4.4% of the total population of Washington County live in
poverty, with zip codes in the central region having higher poverty
rates (see prior page). Nearly one in four children live in single
parent families (23.0%), below the rate observed statewide
(28.4%). There are also fewer disconnected youth in Washington
County than observed statewide, at just 0.6% of youth (or about 78
young people) between 16 and 19 years of age who are (1) not in
school, (2) not high school graduates, and (3) either unemployed
or not in the labor force. Nearly 18,000 residents (6.9% of the
population) are foreign born, and 2.7% of residents over 5 years
old speak English “less than very well.”
Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey 2016-2020 5-Year
Estimates. More on how the US Census Bureau calculates poverty can be found at:
https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/poverty/guidance/poverty-
measures.html
Percent Value
Washington
County,
Minnesota Minnesota USA
Washington
County,
Minnesota Minnesota USA
Housing
Total Housing Units — — — 99,696 2,458,030 138,432,751
Median House Value (of owner-occupied
units)2 — — — $301,000 $235,700 $229,800
Homeowner Vacancy 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 486 12,744 1,129,755
Rental Vacancy 2.8% 4.2% 5.8% 511 27,736 2,704,553
Renter-Occupied Housing Units (% of
Occupied Units) 18.4% 28.1% 35.6% 17,628 619,377 43,552,843
Occupied Housing Units with No Vehicle
Available (% of Occupied Units) 3.8% 6.6% 8.5% 3,638 145,467 10,344,521
Social
Poverty Level (of all people) 4.4% 9.3% 12.8% 11,134 511,185 40,910,326
Households Receiving Food Stamps/SNAP 4.0% 7.5% 11.4% 3,804 165,078 13,892,407
Enrolled in Grade 12 (% of total
population) 1.8% 1.4% 1.3% 4,552 78,075 4,358,865
Disconnected Youth3 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 78 5,115 433,164
Children in Single Parent Families (% of all
children) 23.0% 28.4% 34.0% 14,241 354,664 23,628,508
Uninsured 3.5% 4.5% 8.7% 8,952 251,900 28,058,903
With a Disability, Age 18-64 7.7% 8.7% 10.3% 11,924 295,441 20,231,217
With a Disability, Age 18-64, Labor Force
Participation Rate and Size 59.7% 52.8% 43.2% 7,117 156,039 8,740,236
Foreign Born 6.9% 8.4% 13.5% 17,877 470,687 44,125,628
Speak English Less Than Very Well
(population 5 yrs and over) 2.7% 4.5% 8.2% 6,624 234,697 25,312,024
03. Labor Force
Overview
Labor Force Overview
Washington County’s population has grown at a faster rate than observed statewide and is home
to a highly-engaged labor force. Taking the demographic, social, and economic realities of the
first section of this report as backdrop, this section features a high-level summary of who is
working in Washington County.
Approach
•Summarize overall labor force participation, employment, and unemployment statistics
•Drill down to disparities in employment by race, ethnicity, gender, and age where possible
•Explore differences in labor force participation trends by region
•Unpack high-level unemployment, underemployment, and wage information by occupation
groups
11 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Population and Labor Force Trends
12 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Washington County is home to an
estimated 277,283 residents of all
ages as of 2022, growing by 21,566
over the last 5 years and is
projected to grow by 23,061 over
the next five years. Unemployment
is low at an estimated 1.9% county-
wide as of 2022Q3 (2,728 people).
A larger share of Black and African
American adults are unemployed
than their share of the local
workforce (9.3% of the unemployed
compared to 4.7% of the population
and 4.3% of the workforce).
Approximately three in ten adult
residents hold a bachelor’s degree
(31.1%, which is 10.2% above the
national average).
Labor Force Participation Summary Statistics
Educational Attainment of the Prime Working Age Population
Unemployment by Race, Nov 2022
American Indian/Alaska Native 37 (1.5%)
Asian 79 (3.1%)
Black or African American 236 (9.3%)
Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 6 (0.2%)
White 2,182 (85.9%)
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset.
Regional Trends
13 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Washington County is home to an
estimated 277,283 residents of all
ages, with the largest share of
population residing in the Southern
portion of the county (49).
The Southern and Central regions
have the highest overall labor force
participation rates.
Average annual salary is highest in
the Central region of the county
($57,259).
Share of Population by
Washington County Region
Average Annual Salary by Region
Northern Washington County $50,478
Central Washington County $57,259
Southern Washington County $52,950
Washington County, MN $54,920
15%
36%
49%
Northern
Central
Southern
Map of Washington County
69.5%
72.4%
70.0%
65.4%
88.9%
90.5%
90.6%
85.5%
Washington County
Southern
Central
Northern
25-54 Prime-Age 16+
Civilian Labor Force
Participation Rate by Region
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Unemployment and Underemployment
14 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
This table indicates employment,
unemployment, and under-employment
of talent working in Washington County.
While unemployment overall is already
low at 1.9%, it is particularly low in
Healthcare Practitioners and Technical
(0.6%), Computer and Mathematical
(0.8%), and Legal (0.8%) occupations.
Underemployment occurs when an
individual has more advanced training
or education beyond what is required in
their current occupation.
Underemployed individuals may seek
job changes to better align their
experience with their work. About
23,146 people working in Washington
County are underemployed.
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset.
Empl (Place of Work)Overall Occupation
SOC Occupation Underemployed
2022Q3
Empl
Avg Ann
Wages
Forecast Ann
Growth UnemplRate
43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 3,963 10,591 $47,200 0.0%1.7%
41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations 3,953 11,633 $46,000 0.2%2.4%
35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 2,511 10,041 $33,200 1.6%3.6%
53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 1,717 8,499 $45,200 1.1%2.9%
11-0000 Management Occupations 1,516 5,805 $117,000 1.1%1.1%
51-0000 Production Occupations 1,460 6,938 $46,900 0.1%2.4%
31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations 1,190 4,422 $36,700 2.2%2.1%
39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 1,187 3,491 $36,600 1.9%3.6%
47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 810 4,580 $65,200 0.8%2.8%
37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 677 3,219 $39,800 0.9%2.7%
13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 646 4,919 $83,700 1.0%1.1%
29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 620 5,519 $102,600 1.4%0.6%
49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 612 3,260 $58,600 0.9%1.3%
25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations 586 5,822 $56,200 1.0%1.3%
33-0000 Protective Service Occupations 556 1,357 $60,800 0.4%1.5%
27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 423 1,656 $64,100 1.4%2.5%
15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 296 2,340 $96,300 1.3%0.8%
45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 135 580 $42,400 0.9%2.7%
17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 125 1,227 $88,700 0.8%0.9%
23-0000 Legal Occupations 124 680 $111,400 1.3%0.8%
19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 40 684 $81,800 1.0%1.2%
Total -All Occupations 23,146 99,098 $58,000 0.9%1.9%
04. Post-High School
Education
Post-High School Education Opportunities
16 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
There were a total of 1,929 awards
conferred at the two post-high school
accredited institutions based in
Washington County in the 2021 school
year, with Liberal Arts and Sciences
Associate degrees having the highest
volume of awards conferred (426 awards
from CIP 24-0101). Over half (59.4%) of
completions were Associate’s degrees,
22.6% were certificates that take less
than one academic year, 16.3% were
certificates taking one to two years, and
1.7% were awards taking more than two
years but less than four to complete.
About 29% of all completions were
achieved through distance-offered
programs. All completions have declined
by about 10.7% over the past 10 years.
Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021
Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools by Program, SY2021
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset. NCES IPEDS 2021.
Century College Freshmen Attraction
17 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
2020 Freshmen Home State Map
Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset.
Century College delivered 1,810 of
all 2021 completions, and the
Minnesota School of Cosmetology in
Woodbury conferred the rest (119).
Among freshmen enrolling at
Century College in 2020, 94.5%
were in-state students, while the
other 5.5% came from Wisconsin,
Illinois, Texas, Florida, New York,
and Pennsylvania.
Healthcare Programs
18 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Awards Conferred in
Healthcare Pathways
623 Total SY2021 Awards
15% Awards from Distance-
Offered Programs (96)
-6.2% over the past 10 years
47.5%Associate Degrees
52.5% Certificates
Top Award Gaps
Medical Managers
Licensed Practical Nurses
Nurse Practitioners
CIP CIP Title Cert <1 Yr
Cert 1<
>2 Yr Associate Cert 2< Yr
Total
Awards
51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 0 0 108 0 108
51.0601 Dental Assisting/Assistant 0 59 47 0 106
51.0810 Emergency Care Attendant (EMT Ambulance)84 0 0 0 84
51.3902 Nursing Assistant/Aide and Patient Care Assistant/Aide 60 0 0 0 60
51.2307 Orthotist/Prosthetist 0 6 30 19 55
51.0911 Radiologic Technology/Science -Radiographer 0 0 40 0 40
51.0801 Medical/Clinical Assistant 0 34 0 0 34
51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic)0 16 14 0 30
51.0000 Health Services/Allied Health/Health Sciences, General 0 0 18 0 18
51.0716 Medical Administrative/Executive Assistant and Medical Secretary 0 0 15 0 15
Total 190 118 296 19 623
Awards by Broad Group
Source: NCES IPEDS award data, SY2021. Century
College and MN School of Cosmetology –Woodbury.
Top Ten CIP Programs by Volume of Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021
Manufacturing Programs
19 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Awards Conferred in
Manufacturing Pathways
75 Total SY2021 Awards
0 Awards from Distance-
Offered Programs
+41.5% over the past 10 years
64.0%Associate Degrees
36.0% Certificates
Top Award Gaps
Industrial Engineering Techs
Chemical Techs
Supervisors of Production Workers
CIP CIP Title Cert <1 Yr
Cert 1<
>2 Yr Associate Cert 2< Yr
Total
Awards
15.1302 CAD/CADD Drafting and/or Design Technology/Technician 10 0 12 0 22
14.0102 Pre-Engineering 0 0 21 0 21
48.0508 Welding Technology/Welder 13 0 0 0 13
15.1202 Computer/Computer Systems Technology/Technician 0 0 7 0 7
15.0000 Engineering Technologies/Technicians, General 0 0 5 0 5
15.1703 Solar Energy Technology/Technician 3 1 0 0 4
15.1701 Energy Systems Technology/Technician 0 0 3 0 3
41.0101 Biology/Biotechnology Technology/Technician 0 0 0 0 0
Total 26 1 48 0 75
Awards by Broad Group
Source: NCES IPEDS award data, SY2021. Century
College and MN School of Cosmetology –Woodbury.
Top Ten CIP Programs by Volume of Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021
Construction and Architecture Programs
20 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Awards Conferred in
Construction Pathways
Source: NCES IPEDS award data, SY2021. Century
College and MN School of Cosmetology –Woodbury.
Top Ten CIP Programs by Volume of Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021
75 Total SY2021 Awards
0 Awards from Distance-
Offered Programs
-6.3% over the past 10 years
32.0%Associate Degrees
68.0% Certificates
Top Award Gaps
Cost Estimators
Construction Managers
Civil Engineers
CIP CIP Title Cert <1 Yr
Cert 1<
>2 Yr Associate Cert 2< Yr
Total
Awards
47.0201 Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance
Technology/Technician 0 45 16 0 61
46.0401 Building/Property Maintenance 0 2 5 0 7
15.1703 Solar Energy Technology/Technician 3 1 0 0 4
15.1701 Energy Systems Technology/Technician 0 0 3 0 3
Total 3 48 24 0 75
Awards by Broad Group
05. Talent
Demographics
Health Science Cluster
At an unemployment rate of just 1.0%, talent needs in Health Science careers are significant in
Washington County. Century College, located in the immediate region, has many certificates and
Associate-level programs that meet and exceed local needs for talent in Origin and Gateway
Occupations. However, there are no Washington County-based educational institutions that offer
Bachelors, Masters, or PhDs related to Health Science.
Key Findings
•Moderately higher workforce diversity, with greater representation of Black and Asian talent
in the Health Science workforce than observed overall
•High representation of female talent in these careers is likely to persist, given high volumes
of females conferring Health Science awards in Washington County
•Many occupations experiencing talent shortages also have a high share of the existing
workforce that are 45 or older
22 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Health Science Talent Demographics by Race
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Health Science Talent Demographics
23 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
8,731 Total Employment
+3.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.3% statewide
1.0% unemployment rate
(133 people) compared to
1.2% statewide (3,416 people)
0.98 Location Quotient
$82,500 average wages
compared to $83,700 statewide
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation
SOC may be abbreviated. Talent shortage is estimated based on historical talent
pipelines in the region, typical job changes, and the likelihood of retirements. Red
highlighting indicates lower than overall share of workforce or graduate pool, or
existence of occupation or award gap.
SOC Occupation
2022Q3
Empl
Unempl
Rate
Talent
Shortage
Workforce
BIPOC by Race
Workforce
Hispanic/
Latinx
Workforce
Female
Workforce
45+
Award
Gap
SY2021 Graduates BIPOC by
Race or
Ethnicity
SY2021
Graduates
Female
29-1141 Registered Nurses 2,946 0.6%Y 15.0%2.0%83.8%47.8%19.4%87.0%
31-1121 Home Health Aides 1,065 2.6%23.9%6.5%85.0%58.4%
31-1131 Nursing Assistants 956 1.9%Y 20.2%3.2%87.2%43.5%40.0%88.3%
43-6013 Medical Secretaries and Admin. Assistants 730 0.9%Y 10.6%3.9%94.0%58.2%26.6%100.0%
29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 567 0.8%Y 14.6%2.9%89.9%49.0%Y
31-9092 Medical Assistants 552 2.1%Y 12.1%7.6%89.5%33.0%49.0%93.9%
11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 473 0.5%Y 13.8%2.4%70.1%57.8%Y
29-2052 Pharmacy Technicians 373 1.2%Y 16.6%3.8%75.7%29.2%Y
31-9091 Dental Assistants 351 1.3%Y 11.5%7.7%90.7%35.4%44.3%95.3%
29-1051 Pharmacists 317 0.4%21.9%1.3%51.8%42.3%Y
29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 277 0.1%Y 8.4%1.3%83.7%46.1%Y
29-1292 Dental Hygienists 259 0.6%Y 6.4%2.3%94.0%52.6%25.0%100.0%
29-1123 Physical Therapists 234 0.2%Y 13.5%1.2%60.9%49.4%Y
29-1229 Physicians, All Other 219 0.1%24.7%1.3%35.4%55.6%Y
29-1127 Speech-Language Pathologists 203 0.6%Y 3.1%1.2%93.5%43.2%Y
All Health Science Careers 13,729 1.0%15.5%3.1%76.2%47.1%
Total –All Occupations 140,319 1.9%13.2%4.1%48.6%46.8%31.7%62.1%
Workforce and Graduate Demographics of the Top Fifteen Occupations of Employment in Health Science
Manufacturing Cluster
Much like the rest of the state, Washington County’s Manufacturing workforce is predominantly
White (88.8%). There are very few local post-high school education programs at accredited
institutions that directly meet the employment needs of local employers hiring Manufacturing
talent; local programs focus on pre-engineering, energy, and solar technology which are all in-
demand and high-wage careers, but needs for CNC Machinists, Maintenance Technicians, and
Machine Setters in the most prominent local industries are likely to be met by internal training
programs or sourcing talent from programs that exist in neighboring counties.
Key Findings
•Production Supervisors, Machinery Mechanic Supervisors, Machinists, and Industrial
Machinery Mechanics are all experiencing local talent shortages and award gaps,
suggesting that local education and training programs are likely to be underproducing the
talent needed
•Among the top 15 Manufacturing occupations of employment, women are underrepresented
in the workforce in all but one occupation (Packaging and Filling Machine Operators), and a
larger than normal share of the workforce is 45 years or older in all but one occupation
(Welders)
24 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023 Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of
Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated.
Manufacturing Talent Demographics by Race
Manufacturing Talent Demographics
25 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
8,731 Total Employment
+3.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.3% statewide
1.0% unemployment rate
(133 people) compared to
1.2% statewide (3,416 people)
0.98 Location Quotient
$82,500 average wages
compared to $83,700 statewide
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation
SOC may be abbreviated. Talent shortage is estimated based on historical talent
pipelines in the region, typical job changes, and the likelihood of retirements. Red
highlighting indicates lower than overall share of workforce or graduate pool, or
existence of occupation or award gap.
SOC Occupation
2022Q3
Empl
Unempl
Rate
Talent
Shortage
Workforce
BIPOC by Race
Workforce
Hispanic/
Latinx
Workforce
Female
Workforce
45+
Award
Gap
SY2021 Graduates BIPOC by
Race or
Ethnicity
SY2021
Graduates
Female
49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 1,173 1.1%Y 7.6%4.9%4.6%56.6%
51-2092 Team Assemblers 1,166 3.3%15.3%5.0%31.6%48.5%
51-1011 Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 586 0.7%Y 8.7%3.8%17.9%56.3%Y
51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 446 1.6%11.2%4.9%36.7%54.7%
13-1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale 347 1.5%9.7%2.8%57.6%51.3%Y
51-4041 Machinists 342 1.7%Y 6.0%3.9%3.2%55.7%Y
49-1011 Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 328 0.4%Y 5.1%2.5%5.7%65.2%Y
43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 315 1.0%12.7%2.9%45.9%48.8%
49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 271 0.8%Y 6.2%4.5%4.8%61.7%Y
51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, Tenders 269 1.5%Y 10.7%5.4%26.5%59.3%Y
51-2028 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers 257 2.1%21.6%3.5%41.0%52.2%Y
51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 255 2.3%Y 7.3%.0%3.7%41.5%Y 7.7%15.4%
51-9161 Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators 203 2.3%9.1%1.5%7.7%47.7%Y
51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 187 2.4%Y 19.1%12.9%52.4%51.5%
51-9199 Production Workers, All Other 183 2.6%Y 14.4%6.5%30.1%47.1%
All Manufacturing Careers 9,739 2.0%11.2%4.1%23.6%52.2%
Total –All Occupations 140,319 1.9%13.2%4.1%48.6%46.8%31.7%62.1%
Workforce and Graduate Demographics of the Top Fifteen Occupations of Employment in Manufacturing
Architecture and
Construction Cluster
Ninety-two and a half percent of talent working in Architecture and Construction roles in
Washington County are White, and the same percentage are male. With such low overall racial
and gender diversity, and an older-than-average workforce, this is a career cluster ripe for
interventions to bring more diverse young people into this highly-skilled high-wage pathway.
Key Findings
•Four local programs exist at Century College aligned to this pathway, preparing students for
careers in HVAC maintenance, property maintenance, and renewable energy. However, there
are many other in-demand careers that do not have local post-high school programming
•Carpenters, Electricians, and Construction Managers are all experiencing local talent
shortages and award gaps in Washington County
•There are double the share of Hispanic and Latinx workers in Architecture and Construction
careers than observed in Washington County’s workforce overall (8.9% compared to 4.1%
overall), with the highest overrepresentation of Hispanic and Latinx talent as Painters,
Landscapers,and Construction Laborers
26 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Architecture and Construction Talent
Demographics by Race
Architecture and Construction Talent
Demographics
27 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
8,731 Total Employment
+3.3% average annual growth
over the past ten years
compared to +0.3% statewide
1.0% unemployment rate
(133 people) compared to
1.2% statewide (3,416 people)
0.98 Location Quotient
$82,500 average wages
compared to $83,700 statewide
Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation
SOC may be abbreviated. Talent shortage is estimated based on historical talent
pipelines in the region, typical job changes, and the likelihood of retirements. Red
highlighting indicates lower than overall share of workforce or graduate pool, or
existence of occupation or award gap.
SOC Occupation
2022Q3
Empl
Unempl
Rate
Talent
Shortage
Workforce
BIPOC by Race
Workforce
Hispanic/
Latinx
Workforce
Female
Workforce
45+
Award
Gap
SY2021 Graduates BIPOC by
Race or
Ethnicity
SY2021
Graduates
Female
47-2031 Carpenters 912 2.4%Y 6.3%10.7%2.9%45.2%Y
47-2061 Construction Laborers 859 3.6%7.3%14.8%4.2%41.8%
37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 837 2.4%7.2%14.1%5.8%43.7%
47-1011 Supervisors of Construction and Extraction Workers 454 1.1%Y 4.1%5.4%3.7%55.8%Y
47-2111 Electricians 422 1.8%Y 6.1%5.3%1.6%47.0%Y
11-9021 Construction Managers 362 1.3%Y 4.1%3.3%7.7%57.0%Y
47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 313 2.4%Y 6.6%5.8%2.1%46.5%Y
17-2051 Civil Engineers 278 1.3%15.0%2.4%14.3%48.1%Y
49-9021 HVAC and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 215 0.9%Y 6.1%6.7%10.4%53.0%26.2%3.3%
47-2073 Operating Engineers and Equipment Operators 211 4.0%Y 5.1%5.0%3.4%54.1%
13-1051 Cost Estimators 198 1.0%6.4%2.0%13.7%56.9%Y
47-4051 Highway Maintenance Workers 173 2.9%Y 6.2%3.6%3.7%62.4%
47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 152 2.7%Y 6.2%21.2%10.1%47.8%
17-1011 Architects, Except Landscape and Naval 129 1.3%16.6%1.6%25.7%50.3%Y
17-3022 Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians 113 1.2%10.3%3.3%19.8%53.4%Y
All Architecture and Construction Careers 6,986 2.3%7.5%8.9%7.4%48.0%
Total –All Occupations 140,319 1.9%13.2%4.1%48.6%46.8%31.7%62.1%
Workforce and Graduate Demographics of the Top Fifteen Occupations of Employment in Architecture and Construction
06. Summary
Diversity is an opportunity
Washington County’s young population is more
diverse than the existing workforce and a future asset
to local businesses
Top industries of need have diversity challenges
There is an overrepresentation of female talent in
Healthcare careers,while both Manufacturing and
Construction careers have significant
overrepresentation of male talent;All three sectors
see low diversity by race and ethnicity, particularly in
the most high-wage, high-demand local careers
Growth will continue
Demographics are on the county’s side and growth of
the local population is forecast to be higher than most
other parts of Minnesota at about 1.1% growth annually
More post-high school programming is needed
Local institutions in Washington County that offer
post-high school education and training meet an
impressive number of local Gateway Career talent
needs; However, there are numerous examples of
gaps in local programming to meet the needs of
employers based in Washington County
28 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Next Steps
Washington County is poised for growth, if it can leverage its available workforce effectively and attract talent to fill critical workforce needs. An accompanying labor market demand study showcases the county’s total talent needs with a deep-dive into the occupations of greatest demand in Healthcare, Manufacturing, and Construction.
Working forward together,
RealTime Talent
erin@realtimetalentmn.org
Author of this Report
Erin Olson, MURP, MPH
Senior Director of Strategic Research,
RealTime Talent
30 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
What is a location quotient?
A location quotient (LQ) is a measurement of concentration in comparison to the nation. An LQ of 1.00 indicates a region has the same concentration of an industry (or
occupation) as the nation. An LQ of 2.00 would mean the region has twice the expected employment compared to the nation and an LQ of 0.50 would mean the region has
half the expected employment in comparison to the nation.
What is a cluster?
A cluster is a geographic concentration of interrelated industries or occupations. If a regional cluster has a location quotient of 1.25 or greater, the region is considered to
possess a competitive advantage in that cluster.
What is separation demand?
Separation demand is the number of jobs required due to separations—labor force exits (including retirements) and turnover resulting from workers moving from one
occupation into another. Note that separation demand does not include all turnover—it does not include when workers stay in the same occupation but switch employers.
The total projected demand for an occupation is the sum of the separation demand and the growth demand (which is the increase or decrease of jobs in an occupation
expected due to expansion or contraction of the overall number of jobs in that occupation).
What is the difference between industry wages and occupation wages?
Industry wages and occupation wages are estimated via separate data sets, often the time periods being reported do not align,and wages are defined slightly differently in
the two systems (for example, certain bonuses are included in the industry wages but not the occupation wages). It is therefore common that estimates of the average
industry wages and average occupation wages in a region do not match exactly. Annual average wages per worker and employment data are derived from the Quarterly
Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and imputed where necessary. Data are updated through 2022Q2 with preliminary estimates
updated to 2022Q3.
What is NAICS?
The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is used to classify business establishments according to the type of economic activity. The NAICS Code comprises
six levels, from the “all industry” level to the 6-digit level. The first two digits define the top-level category, known as the “sector,” which is the level examined in this report.
FAQ Regarding Data and
Methodology
31 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
FAQ Regarding Data and
Methodology -Continued
32 Washington County
Labor Supply Study
March 2023
Where does the data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) come from?
Gross Domestic Product data are provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, imputed by Chmura where necessary, updated through 2021.
What is SOC?
The Standard Occupational Classification system (SOC) is used to classify workers into occupational categories. All workers are classified into one of over 804 occupations
according to their occupational definition. To facilitate classification, occupations are combined to form 22 major groups, 95 minor groups, and 452 occupation groups. Each
occupation group includes detailed occupations requiring similar job duties, skills, education, or experience.
Where can I learn more about the sources that were used in this report?
Lightcast offers a suite of labor market data analysis tools that are used to analyze candidate profiles and educational data from NCES IPEDS to track program graduate data
and estimate talent pool availability. These tools scrape millions of candidate profiles and model skills, credentials, and employment experience to link where talent is located
to where talent is in demand.
Chmura JobsEQ is a labor market data analysis tool that provides employment, unemployment, and education data from sources like the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census
Bureau, and NCES IPEDS and models this data at detailed geographic levels. This tool is utilized by RealTime Talent to model alternate forecasts impacted by COVID-19 to
show possible future-state talent gaps, award gaps, and optimistic employment growth.
Who created this report?
This report was developed by RealTime Talent for the Transportation Center of Excellence. If you have questions about the data found in this report, or are interested in
learning more, please contact the Senior Director of Strategic Research, Erin Olson at erin@realtimetalentmn.org or visit the RealTime Talent website at
www.realtimetalent.org
Labor Market title page graphic: Roger Spooner/Getty Images
Articles cited in the introduction: 1. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage. Feb 22, 2023. Accessed at
https://www.uschamber.com/workforce/understanding-americas-labor-shortage 2. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding
America’s Labor Shortage: The most Impacted States. Feb 1, 2023. Accessed at https://www.uschamber.com/workforce/the-states-
suffering-most-from-the-labor-shortage?state=mn
STAFF REPORT
DATE: August 15, 2023
REGULAR
AGENDA ITEM: Business Retention and Expansion Survey Updates
SUBMITTED BY: Kristina Handt, City Administrator
BACKGROUND: Conducting a Business Retention and Expansion Survey (BRE), has been identified as the top goal for the
EDA for 2022 and 2023. The EDA finalized the survey questions and decided to begin by meeting with businesses in the Old Village area last year. At the August 2022 meeting, it was decided to move on to contacting businesses south of 10th St between Inwood Ave and Keats Ave.
ISSUE BEFORE COMMITTEE: What feedback do members have from their business visits since May? PROPOSAL DETAILS/ANALYSIS: Only one business visit has been completed since our last meeting. Responses below:
1. Coffee and specialty espresso drinks, other beverages, pastries, roasted coffee beans to take out, or shipped by mail 2. 4 FT: owners and one other FT, and 5 PT
3. Would like to expand at this location with additional menu items and possibly a larger outdoor seating area. 4. Challenges:
a. attracting talent - would like to hire experienced baristas b. training - if they hire inexperienced help, they need to train the new employees c. ok d. ok e. ok f. ok g. concern about Lake Elmo City water with recent publication of news articles (can they serve drinking water from the faucet?) https://www.kare11.com/article/news/local/water-issues-plague-booming-lake-elmo/89-3d857882-8fcd-4df7-8504-21014f280c6e no issue with sewer, code enforcement, permits, etc
h. ok i. Other - ok
5. complementary businesses would be affordable lunch provider, ice cream shop, etc they are "plenty busy" now but are concerned about lower traffic in the colder months.
6. Short-term assistance - Useful amenities would be bike racks and especially a safe crossing of Highway 14 at the Gorman's / Lake Elmo Elementary School point . Did not feel the need for larger signs or off-site advertising. They are doing OK with Social Media
7. Longer term strategic planning suggestions Create a safe pedestrian and bicycle crossing of Highway 14 Create a community gathering space (such as a bandshell or covered patio) in the downtown area
Streetside beautification along Main Street RECOMMENDATIONS: Provide verbal updates at the meeting on BRE visits
ATTACHMENT:
• None