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01-02-2018 WS
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Last modified
1/28/2025 4:45:39 PM
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2/27/2018 2:35:03 PM
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MV Commission Documents
Commission Name
City Council
Commission Doc Type
Agenda Packets
MEETINGDATE
1/2/2018
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City Council Document Type
City Council Packets
Date
1/2/2018
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long as there are less than 8 existing outlets in that 0.1 mile radius. Comparing the <br />estimated percent change in property crime density in areas within 0.1 miles from the <br />new outlet against that in areas between 0.1 and 0.25 miles away, we observe an <br />interesting phenomenon: property crime is displaced from areas further away to areas <br />closer to the new outlet. This suggests that property crimes are `mobile' and are sensitive <br />to the higher human traffic brought about by the opening of a new outlet. Conversely, the <br />estimated increase in violent crime density within 0.1 miles from the new outlets is <br />magnified by the presence of other outlets in the same area. Unlike property crimes, there <br />appears to be agglomeration effects for violent crimes in low -SES neighborhoods. <br />When I limit my sample to outlets located in high -SES tracts, I find that new <br />outlets in high -SES neighborhoods cause property crime density to increase but on the <br />other hand, appear to decrease violent crime density as well. This is not surprising since <br />outlets in high -SES neighborhoods typically consist of supermarkets, specialty wine <br />stores and grocery stores and these outlets will typically attract a clientele consisting <br />largely of families and wine connoisseurs. <br />The closure of outlets in low -SES neighborhoods decreases property crime <br />density in the immediate vicinity of the outlet. There is some evidence, however, that this <br />decrease in property crime results in a corresponding increase further away. This is <br />consistent with earlier findings that suggest that property crimes are displaced and are <br />sensitive to changes in human traffic. The closure of outlets in low -SES neighborhoods <br />has virtually no effect on violent crime density when there are other outlets around. <br />In contrast, the closure of outlets in high -SES neighborhoods appear to increase <br />both property crime and violent crime. While the effect of a closure on violent crime is <br />mitigated by the presence of other outlets, the increase in property crime density is <br />magnified by the presence of other outlets. One plausible explanation for this is that the <br />other outlets that remain after the outlet closure may be located in relatively lower -SES <br />neighborhoods if the outlet that closed was situated near the edge of a high -SES tract. <br />Another possibility is the business that replaced that particular alcohol outlet may not <br />draw as desirable a clientele as the alcohol outlet. <br />In addition, I find that homes located within 0.5 miles from new outlets in low - <br />SES neighborhoods sold for between 2 and 4 percent less on average but homes located <br />5 <br />
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