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M. LONG TERM REVENUE & EXPENDITURE PROJECTIONS <br />Five year revenue and expenditure projections have been prepared to show the impact of <br />the adoption of all of the public service programs presented for the years 1995 - 1999. <br />As with any long term projections, certain assumptions were made regarding the growth <br />of revenues, expenditures, and the City's tax base. The accuracy of the projections <br />contained herein are dependant upon the accuracy of the assumptions made. As a <br />consequence, readers of this document should consider these projections as best estimates <br />of revenues and expenditures. Actual revenues and expenditures are approved by the <br />Council annually during the budget process. <br />The exhibit entitled "Revenue Assumptions" lists the City's General Fund revenues by <br />source. The two major sources of City revenues are property taxes and intergovernmental <br />revenues. For 1995 these two sources represent 44.3% and 32.2% of total General Fund <br />revenues. The column labeled "Assump % Increase" lists the annual growth rates for <br />various sources of revenues that were used in developing revenue projections. <br />The exhibit entitled "Revenue Projections" lists budgeted revenues for 1994, proposed <br />budgeted revenues for 1995 and projected revenues for 1996 - 1999. Proposed budgeted <br />revenues 1995 was the base year for the 1996 - 1999 projections. "Tax Increase - Intl" <br />shows the increased property taxes necessary to support the level of services provided for <br />in the proposed 1995 budget assuming an inflation rate of 3% for the years 1996 - 1999. <br />The exhibit entitled "Expenditure Assumptions" presents the City's General Fund <br />expenditures by expenditure type. The two major expenditure types of the City are <br />personnel services and contractual services. For 1995 those two expenditure types <br />represent 61.6% and 20.3% of the City's General Fund expenditures. The expenditure <br />projections assume a 3% rate of inflation for the years 1996 - 1999. <br />The exhibit entitled " Expenditure Projections" presents the City's 1994 budgeted <br />expenditures, 1995 proposed budgeted expenditures, and projected revenues for the years <br />1996 - 1999. Proposed budgeted 1995 expenditures was the base year for the 1996 - 1999 <br />projections. <br />The impact of new programs contained in the public service portion of the Long Term <br />Financial Plan are presented in the exhibit entitled "Revenue & Expenditure Projections". <br />New programs and their cost are listed for each year. These new programs directly <br />impact property taxes. The amount of property taxes to support these programs is listed <br />as "Tax Increase - New Prog." <br />The impact upon the City's property tax levy of proposed public services contained in the <br />Long Term Financial Plan is presented in the exhibit entitled "Estimated Tax Levy." The <br />City's tax capacity values are listed for the years 1995 - 1999. Two separate values are <br />presented; Fiscal Disparities, which is the City's share of a portion of metro wide <br />54 <br />