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07-19-2017
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07-19-2017
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8/30/2018 6:14:45 AM
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MV City Council
City Council Document Type
City Council Packets
Date
7/19/2017
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<br /> <br /> 16 <br />Bowen National Research <br />155 E. Columbus Street, Suite 220 <br />Pickerington, Ohio 43147 <br />(614) 833-9300 <br />For the purposes of this analysis we assume an opening date of sometime in 2019 for the <br />subject project. Based on the preceding analysis and MHFA methodology, the following <br />is a summary of our demand calculations for the proposed subject project, based on the <br />household projections for the Mounds View Site PMA. <br /> <br /> Capture Rate <br />Number of Proposed Units 60 <br />Income-Eligible Renter Households – 2019 / 2,239 <br />Capture Rate = 2.7% <br /> <br />Generally, capture rates up to 10.0% are considered achievable for general-occupancy <br />properties located in urban/suburban markets such as the Mounds View Site PMA. <br />Therefore, the subject’s 2.7% capture rate is considered low and easily achievable, <br />particularly when considering the general lack of family-oriented LIHTC product within <br />the Mounds View Site PMA. <br /> <br />Conclusions <br /> <br />Based on the findings of this preliminary analysis, it is our opinion that a development <br />opportunity exists for a new family-oriented LIHTC property within the Mounds View <br />Site PMA. Notably, while a total of four LIHTC properties were identified (one <br />surveyed) within the Site PMA, three are age-restricted. The fourth property, although <br />general-occupancy, only offers a total of 16 units. Thus, the subject project is expected to <br />help fill a void within the Mounds View rental market. The three comparable LIHTC <br />projects surveyed outside the Site PMA, but within the nearby region, are 99.3% <br />occupied, demonstrating strong demand for family-oriented LIHTC product within the <br />region. The subject’s proposed gross rents will be the lowest in the market, relative to <br />those reported among similar unit types at the comparable LIHTC properties surveyed <br />outside the Site PMA. These low proposed gross rents will contribute to the subject’s <br />marketability within the market, particularly when considering the newness and thus <br />superior anticipated quality of the subject project as compared to the existing comparable <br />properties which were originally built between 1966 and 2004. <br /> <br />Demographic trends within the Mounds View Site PMA have been, and are projected to <br />continue to be, positive in terms of both total population and households. It is projected <br />that 7,412 (30.0%) of all households within the Site PMA will be renters in 2021, which <br />is an increase of 221, or 3.1%, renter households over 2016 levels. More specific to the <br />subject project, it is estimated that there will be 2,239 income-qualified renter households <br />in the market for the subject project in 2019. This results in a low overall capture rate of <br />2.7% for the 60 proposed units at the subject site, which is considered easily achievable <br />within the Mounds View market. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />
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