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<br />non -Caucasian youth, and for students in grades 10, 11 and 12.
<br />These trends were significant from 2006 to 2010, but not from
<br />2010 to 2012, suggesting that raising the minimum purchase
<br />age may contribute to a greater decline in smoking in the years
<br />immediately following its adoption. As the smoking rate
<br />decreased in Needham, floor effects might have slowed the rate
<br />of decline in the period from 2010 to 2012; however, the
<br />smoking rate still declined by 18% in that final period.
<br />In addition to lower levels of smoking, Needham youth also
<br />reported a significantly greater decline in purchasing cigarettes
<br />from stores in the years immediately following the legislation.
<br />This was true despite the fact that the youth population in
<br />Needham is very mobile, and closely neighbouring suburban
<br />communities maintained a minimum sales age of 18 throughout
<br />the study period. The decline in smoking in Needham may have
<br />been even more pronounced if surrounding communities had
<br />also increased the tobacco sales age to 21, as this would have
<br />further limited access. Youth who purchase cigarettes are more
<br />likely to supply cigarettes to other youth, 12 13 and these social
<br />sources of tobacco have become more common as commercial
<br />restrictions have increased. -5 Our findings suggest that by suc-
<br />cessfully reducing commercial availability of cigarettes to
<br />Needham youth, there was a decrease in underage purchases, as
<br />well as a potential disruption of the social availability of cigar-
<br />ettes to other youth, resulting in less smoking.
<br />Also notable was the fact that alcohol use did not decline sig-
<br />nificantly more in Needham relative to the comparison commu-
<br />nities during any portion of the study period. This indicates that
<br />the observed pattern of change appears to be specific to cigar-
<br />ette smoking and not due to a broader decline in substance use
<br />or reporting patterns.
<br />Enforcement may partially explain the apparent .success of
<br />raising the minimum tobacco sales age in Needham. Effective
<br />enforcement is important in the success of laws designed to
<br />prevent tobacco sales to minors. 14 In 2008, more than 18 000
<br />compliance checks for cigarette sales to adolescents under the
<br />age of 18 were conducted in Massachusetts towns with state -
<br />funded tobacco control programmes, with an illegal sales rate of
<br />8.3%. In Needham, 57 compliance checks were conducted,
<br />with zero illegal sales to those under the age of 18 occurring. 15
<br />Increasing the tobacco sales age to 21 may have made it less
<br />likely that adolescents under the age of 18 would have been
<br />sold tobacco.
<br />Several limitations are worth noting. First, this study was not
<br />initially designed to evaluate the minimum sales age legislation;
<br />the 2006 survey was administered more than 1 year after the
<br />legislation was adopted in April of 2005; therefore, there is no
<br />baseline measure of youth smoking. It also does not take into
<br />account the fact that the minimum sales age in Needham was
<br />increased in phases: it was first raised from 18 to 19 in April of
<br />2003, then to 20 in April of 2004, and finally to 21 in April of
<br />2003. Data reported from the Youth Risk Behavior Survey con-
<br />ducted in Needham (Needham Youth Risk Behavior Survey,
<br />unpublished raw data, 2001-2005) and the state of
<br />Massachusetts16 in 2001, 2003 and 2005 provide some infor-
<br />mation on trends prior to the current study. In Needham,
<br />current smoking was similar in 2001 (21%) and 2003 (20%),
<br />and then dropped to 1S% in 2005, corresponding with the first
<br />two increases in the minimum sales age. During the same time
<br />period, smoking decreased in Massachusetts from 26% to 21%
<br />during 2001-2003, and then was stable at 21% in 2005. This
<br />suggests that the greater decline in smoking in Needham in this
<br />study may be a continuation of a trend that began earlier, pos-
<br />sibly around the time when the minimum sales age was initially
<br />raised. Second, Needham also passed a law in 2009 prohibiting
<br />tobacco sales in pharmacies, which may have contributed to the
<br />smoking decline after the 2008 survey. With the exception of
<br />one other study community that banned pharmacy sales in
<br />2011, neither Needham nor any of the comparison communi-
<br />ties adopted any of the Massachusetts Tobacco Control
<br />Program's five priority prevention policies during the study
<br />period (banning pharmacy sales, capping tobacco licenses, regu-
<br />lating single cigar purchases, banning flavoured tobacco sales
<br />and regulating electronic cigarette purchases) (M Paskowky,
<br />Director of Surveillance and Evaluation, Massachusetts Tobacco
<br />Cessation and Prevention Program, Massachusetts Department
<br />of Public Health, personal communication, 6 November 2014).
<br />This study did not account for non -policy -related programmes
<br />in Needham or the other communities. Finally, this study ana-
<br />lysed the use of cigarettes only and did not examine the use of
<br />other tobacco products.
<br />Despite these limitations, this study shows promising results
<br />on the potential impact of raising the minimum sales age of
<br />tobacco. Further, raising the minimum age is relatively simple to
<br />implement given the existing mechanisms to restrict tobacco
<br />purchases and conduct compliance checks." As this approach is
<br />considered in more and more localities, our findings provide
<br />strong evidence of its potential to save lives by preventing youth
<br />access, initiation and ultimately addiction.
<br />What this paper add
<br />-i
<br />► An increasing number of communities are implementing
<br />policies to raise the minimum sales age of tobacco to 21,
<br />but there is little direct evidence regarding whether this
<br />strategy is effective in reducing youth smoking.
<br />► We have demonstrated that, after raising the minimum sales
<br />age in Needham, Massachusetts, smoking and cigarette
<br />purchases declined significantly more in Needham relative to
<br />16 comparison communities.
<br />► These findings are valuable to localities that are considering
<br />raising the minimum age, in showing that this approach has
<br />the potential to reduce youth access and initiation, with
<br />potentially life-saving benefits.
<br />Acknowledgements The authors express their gratitude to the MetroWest Health
<br />Foundation, specifically Martin Cohen, CEO/president, and Rebecca Donham, senior
<br />program officer, for funding the MetroWest Adolescent Health Survey (MWAHS)
<br />initiative and encouraging Education Development Center's (EDC) efforts to conduct
<br />this analysis. They thank the Needham Public Schools and Needham Health
<br />Department for permitting public use of the Needham data and assisting with
<br />documentation of local substance use prevention activities. They also acknowledge
<br />Dr Robert Crane for encouraging them to engage in this analysis, and Professor
<br />George Papandanatos and Dr Michelle Rogers for biostatistical and programming
<br />guidance. Finally, they thank the MWAHS team at EDC, including Erin Smith, Robert
<br />Coulter and Olivia Alford, and the many school administrators and staff who worked
<br />to ensure the successful administration of the MWAHS since 2006.
<br />Contributors All authors participated in the study conceptualisation. SKS
<br />originated the study, oversaw data collection and drafted portions of the manuscript.
<br />SLB and KD oversaw the analysis and contributed substantially to the manuscript
<br />writing. JPW contributed to the conceptualisation and manuscript editing. LO
<br />contributed substantially to the study design and manuscript writing.
<br />Funding The MetroWest Adolescent Health Survey data collection was funded by
<br />the MetroWest Health Foundation in Framingham, Massachusetts, USA (grant
<br />numbers P150, P182, P192 and P225).
<br />Competing interests None declared.
<br />Ethics approval The study was approved in all years by the Institutional Review
<br />Board at Education Development Center, Inc, Waltham, Massachusetts, USA.
<br />358 Kessel Schneider S, et al. Tob Control 2016;25:355-359. doi:10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2014-052207
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