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<br /> SOUTHERN GATEWAY (THE VILLAGE LLC) 02/19/2018 <br />REVISED TRAFFIC STUDY <br />CITY OF SAINT ANTHONY <br />WSB PROJECT NO. 2170-300 PAGE 10 <br />TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS <br /> <br />In order to analyze the lane configuration and traffic control needs, projected traffic <br />volumes were determined for the area. Projected 2019 and 2030 traffic volumes were <br />determined based on proposed anticipated future development land use in the area and the <br />City’s current Transportation Plan. The following sections outline the traffic generation <br />from the study area, as well as the traffic distribution and projected traffic volumes. <br /> <br />A. Traffic Generation <br /> <br />Traffic growth in the vicinity of a proposed site will occur between existing <br />conditions and any given future year due to other development within the region. <br />This background growth must be accounted for and included in future year traffic <br />forecasts. Reviewing the historical traffic counts in the area, traffic has stayed <br />somewhat constant or dropped in the past few years. However, in order to <br />account for some background growth in traffic the Metropolitan Travel Demand <br />model projection factor of 0.15% per year was used to project traffic from the <br />2016 counts to the 2019 and 2030 analysis years. <br /> <br />The estimated trip generation from the Southern Gateway (revised Village LLC) <br />development project is shown in Table 2. The trip generation used to estimate <br />the proposed site traffic is also based on rates for other similar land uses as <br />documented in the Institute of Transportation Engineers Trip Generation Manual, <br />10th Edition. The table shows the weekday AM and PM peak hour trip generation <br />for the proposed development. <br /> <br />Table 2 - Estimated Southern Gateway Development Site Trip Generation <br />Planned Use Dwelling <br />Units <br />ADT AM Peak PM Peak <br />Total In Out Total In Out Total In Out <br />Apartments 225 1487 743 744 114 30 84 141 86 55 <br />Senior Living 61 203 102 101 12 4 8 16 9 7 <br />Townhomes 128 473 236 237 38 24 14 76 29 47 <br />Total 414 2163 1081 1082 164 58 106 233 124 109 <br />Source: Institute of Transportation Engineers Trip Generation Manual, 10th Edition <br /> <br />As discussed previously the proposed Southern Gateway Development is less <br />intense than the original The Village LLC Development. Table 3 below shows a <br />comparison of the traffic generation that would be anticipated from the existing <br />Mobile Home Park, assuming it fully developed; the original The Village LLC <br />Development, and; the revised Southern Gateway Development. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />