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Home My WebLink AboutEDA PACKET 05.16.23If you need accommodations for the EDA meeting please contact Rachel Juba at (651) 762-6304 or rjuba@ci.hugo.mn.us, thank you. Agenda ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AUTHORITY (EDA) Tuesday, May 16, 2023 Hugo City Hall 5:30 PM 5:30 pm 1. Call to Order 5:31 pm 2. Roll Call (Arcand, Chrun, Denaway, Klein, Puleo, Roberts, Weidt) 5:32 pm 3. Approval of Minutes EDA Meeting of April 18, 2023 5:35 pm 4. Update on Washington County Economic Development Chris Eng, Economic Development Director, CDA Tyler Hilsabeck, MCCD Open to Business 6:00 pm 6. Update on Development 6:15 pm 7. Adjournment If you need accommodations for the EDA meeting please contact Rachel Juba at (651) 762-6304 or rjuba@ci.hugo.mn.us, thank you. Background memo for the EDA Meeting of Tuesday, May 16, 2023 3. Approval of Minutes Staff recommends approval of the minutes from the April 18, 2023 EDA Meeting as presented. 4. Update on Washington County Economic Development Chris Eng, the Economic Development Director for the Washington County Community Development Agency (CDA) and Tyler Hilsabeck, with the Metropolitan Consortium of Community Developers (MCCD) Open to Business program, will each be giving reports on their respective agencies’ activities throughout the year and their mission to promote economic development in Washington County. 5. Update on Development Staff will update the EDA on the development within the city. MINUTES FOR THE EDA MEETING OF APRIL 18, 2023 President Weidt called the meeting to order at 5:30pm. PRESENT: Arcand, Chrun, Denaway, Klein, Puleo, Weidt ABSENT: Roberts STAFF PRESENT: Rachel Juba, Community Development Director Max Gort, Associate Planner STAFF ABSENT: Bryan Bear, City Administrator APPROVAL OF MINUTES FOR THE EDA MEETING OF FEBRUARY 21, 2023 Commissioner Klein made a motion, seconded by Commissioner Arcand, to approve the February 21, 2023 EDA meeting minutes. Ayes: All. Nay: None. Motion carried. UPDATE FROM THE HUGO AREA BUSINESS ASSOCIATION Community Development Director Juba introduced Eric Heagle, the publisher of the Hugo Neighbors Magazine and the newly elected president of the Hugo Area Business Association (HBA). Heagle gave background on the HBA’s function as a group for business owners to connect with each other, promote their business interests, and create a channel of communication with City government. Heagle stated that member business owners have found great benefit with networking opportunities and participating in events such as ribbon cuttings and social media engagements. Heagle asked the EDA for advice for continuing to engage business owners and make Hugo a more attractive business environment. President Weidt highlighted the Washington County Community Development Agency and their Economic Development Director Chris Eng being a resource, and Commissioner Denaway suggested engaging with the Open to Business program with the Metropolitan Consortium of Community Developers. The EDA suggested continuing to sponsor HBA events like Kidz N Biz, which Heagle stated will be the HBA’s core public facing event going forward. UPDATE ON HIGHWAY 61 VISIONING STUDY Juba gave an update on the Highway 61 Visioning Study, a collaboration with Washington County, MnDOT, and the City of Hugo. The team hosted an Open House on April 5, 2023 where preliminary feedback was given by roughly 110 attendees. Community members had differing opinions on how the highway should be designed to either limit or manage growth. Discussions took place relating to pedestrian and bicyclist safety, the future of transit along the corridor, and right-of-way needs. Juba stated that as the study progresses, discussions relating to beautification and small area planning will likely occur. The visioning study is proposed to be followed by a jurisdictional transfer, with the highway being turned over from MnDOT to Washington County, although the County does not want to take control of the highway without improvements or provided financial ability. The EDA did not have any further questions or discussion. UPDATE ON DEVELOPMENT Juba gave an update on development taking place throughout the City. The Shores of Oneka Lake is in the process of grading and installing utilities for the first addition, which will include 50 single f amily lots and an accompanying roundabout at the intersection of TH 61 and 159th Street N. Rice Lake Reserve’s third and final addition will be constructed with access to CSAH 8 west of Hanifl Fields Athletic Park. The Hugo Estates expansion has received approval but the developer is waiting to begin construction. The Ordinance Review Committee (ORC) is having discussions relating to the City’s solar farm ordinance, and will begin discussing the future of apartment projects afterward. Commissioner Puleo asked how solar farms are taxed. Juba responded that solar projects are taxed with both commercial/industrial and agricultural portions. Vice-President Klein asked about the type of product being proposed in the Shores of Oneka Lake, and Juba responded that the lots will feature a mixture of single-family homes and twin homes. Premier Banks has applied for the building permit to relocate their Hugo branch, and the Xcel Energy training center is planning for the first phase of their expansion this year. Dart Portable Storage received approval for a Conditional Use Permit amendment and is working with the existing property owner before closing on the site. Staff is continuing to work with Dennis Properties, LLC. on the Downtown Hugo plan proposed for the City- owned property on Egg Lake. ADJOURNMENT Commissioner Klein made a motion, seconded by Commissioner Denaway, to adjourn the meeting at 6:11 PM. Ayes: All Nay: None Motion carried. Respectfully submitted. Max Gort, Associate Planner Washington County Labor Supply Study Washington County CDA Developed by RealTime Talent March 29, 2023 Supply Study Contents 01. Introduction (p. 3) Centering equity and community well-being as we address workforce needs for economic development 02. Community Overview (p. 4) Demographics, educational attainment, social characteristics, and household makeup of the county’s residents 03. Labor Force Overview (p. 10) Labor force participation, employment, unemployment, and underemployment 04. Post-High School Education (p. 15) Post-high school program offerings, and analysis of award gaps in critical pathways 05. Talent Demographics (p. 21)The strengths of Washington County’s workforce and recommended next steps 2 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 06. Summary and Opportunity Assessment (p. 28) Talent demographics and post-high school education program graduate demographics with focus on critical pathways 01. Introduction The talent shortage is here, and likely to become more severe Significant talent shortages have been on the horizon for years, and the effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic accelerated many of the workforce transitions and talent misalignments seen on our horizon in 2018. In 2022, demographic trends and the complex economic environment nationwide collided to create the tightest job market in history, and the impacts of that tightness are still being felt. We still see a “great reshuffle” playing out as talent seeks higher wage opportunities more closely aligned to areas of interest and skill, and early retirements, lack of access to childcare and other dependent care, illness, entrepreneurship and new business starts are cited as the top influencing factors limiting our available talent pool.1 Minnesota has one of the most severe talent shortages in the nation, with about 50 available workers for every 100 open jobs—not even taking into account skill misalignments.2 In short, we don’t have workers to spare. The needs and expectations of talent are shifting 3 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 1. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage. Feb 22, 2023. 2. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage: The most Impacted States. Feb 1, 2023. In the same way that the COVID-19 Pandemic impacted the way that businesses operate, it also impacted the expectations of workers. Talent that had postponed retirement began exiting the workforce at a more rapid pace, and remote and hybrid work environments led to shifts in commute patterns that have remained with our communities even after stabilization. In addition, the demographic pendulum has swung with an aging local workforce and a swelling of a more diverse younger generation on the cusp of entering the world of work. 02. Community Overview Regional Demographics –Age and Gender 5 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Washington County’s population is forecast to grow by about 1.1% annually, adding just over 2,650 residents per year, about 7.7% of the total population growth forecast for Minnesota as a whole. The largest adult age cohorts in Washington County’s population are between 45-54 and 55-64 years old, suggesting a local population approaching retirement age. About 3.9% of Washington County’s population are veterans (6,162), and the labor force participation rate of Washington County’s veterans is higher than the rate observed statewide: 83.9% compared to 80.9%. About 1.9% of Washington County residents commute via public transportation compared to 3.2% statewide and 4.6% nationwide. Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey 2016-2020 5-Year Estimates. Current population estimate at 277,283. Percent Value Washington County, Minnesota Minnesota USA Washington County, Minnesota Minnesota USA Demographics Population (ACS) — — — 259,072 5,600,166 326,569,308 Male 49.5% 49.8% 49.2% 128,233 2,789,017 160,818,530 Female 50.5% 50.2% 50.8% 130,839 2,811,149 165,750,778 Median Age2 — — — 39.5 38.1 38.2 Under 18 Years 24.5% 23.2% 22.4% 63,411 1,299,284 73,296,738 18 to 24 Years 7.9% 8.9% 9.3% 20,422 498,444 30,435,736 25 to 34 Years 11.6% 13.6% 13.9% 29,979 760,033 45,485,165 35 to 44 Years 13.3% 12.7% 12.7% 34,366 710,985 41,346,677 45 to 54 Years 13.9% 12.4% 12.7% 36,125 692,277 41,540,736 55 to 64 Years 13.9% 13.4% 12.9% 36,057 751,567 42,101,439 65 to 74 Years 9.0% 9.1% 9.4% 23,308 511,127 30,547,950 75 Years and Over 5.9% 6.7% 6.7% 15,404 376,449 21,814,867 Population Growth Population (Pop Estimates)4 — — — 265,476 5,657,342 329,484,123 Population Annual Average Growth4 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 2,654 34,641 2,015,698 People per Square Mile — — — 682.9 70.8 92.9 Economic Armed Forces Labor Force 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 176 3,607 1,143,342 Veterans, Age 18-64 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 6,162 125,683 8,920,267 Veterans Labor Force Participation Rate and Size, Age 18-64 83.9% 80.9% 76.8% 5,171 101,620 6,853,673 Median Household Income2 — — — $97,584 $73,382 $64,994 Per Capita Income — — — $46,842 $38,881 $35,384 Mean Commute Time (minutes) — — — 25.7 23.8 26.9 Commute via Public Transportation 1.9% 3.2% 4.6% 2,525 93,692 7,044,886 Regional Demographics –Race and Ethnicity 6 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Southern Washington County is the most diverse of the three regions, with 18.8% of residents being Black, Indigenous, or People of Color (BIPOC) as defined by race; an additional 4.6% identify as Hispanic or Latinx. Nearly one in ten Southern Washington County residents are foreign- born. Similar statistics are reflected in the local workforce (see the chart to the right). Central Washington County has the highest share of the population that are veterans. Workforce Demographics by Washington County Region Population Race, Ethnicity, Foreign Born, and Veteran Status by Region % BIPOC Race % Hispanic/Latinx % Foreign Born % Veterans Northern Washington County 9.8%3.1%2.9%3.6% Central Washington County 14.3%4.4%5.5%4.5% Southern Washington County 18.8%4.6%9.2%3.7% Washington County, MN 15.8%4.3%6.9%3.9% % Hispanic 4.1% 2.8% 4.5% 4.3% Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Educational Attainment 7 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Among Washington County’s population 18 or older, the local Asian population has the highest percent of residents holding a Bachelor’s degree or higher (56.9%), but it is the non-Hispanic White population that has the highest share of adults holding at least a high school diploma or equivalent (97.6%). By age cohort, about 12.4% of 18-to 24 -year-olds have not completed a high school diploma or equivalent credential, with this volume dropping to just 3.7% of all adults 25 years and older in Washington County (the 25-34 year cohort is most likely to hold a high school diploma or more education). Educational Attainment by Age, Washington County, Minnesota Source: US Census Bureau, 2021 5-Year ACS. Data on White talent that includes Hispanic/Latinx, and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islanders have been excluded from this table due to redundancy in the first instance and small sample sizes in the second (only 138 individuals); NH/PI has been combined with “some other race.” Educational Attainment by Race and Ethnicity, Washington County, Minnesota HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+ Total Population 151,563 147,928 72,385 7,170 5,947 2,578 438 336 34 10,486 9,893 5,970 1,940 1,557 529 4,432 4,210 1,760 6,254 5,197 2,218 Percent of Community Group 97.6%47.8%82.9%36.0%76.7%7.8%94.3%56.9%80.3%27.3%95.0%39.7%83.1%35.5% Percent of Total Population 83.1%81.2%39.7%3.9%3.3%1.4%0.2%0.2%0.0%5.8%5.4%3.3%1.1%0.9%0.3%2.4%2.3%1.0%3.4%2.9%1.2% Percent of Education Level 84.5%84.7%3.4%3.0%0.2%0.0%5.7%7.0%0.9%0.6%2.4%2.1%3.0%2.6% Two or More Races Hispanic or Latinx OriginWhite alone, not Hispanic/Latinx Black Alone American Indian/Alaska Native Asian Alone Some other race alone (incl. NH/PI) Total <HS HS/GED Some College/ AS BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+HS+BA+ Total Population 199,818 20,718 2,562 6,350 8,039 3,767 179,100 172,398 84,393 30,117 29,258 13,977 35,880 34,688 21,076 73,205 70,304 34,366 39,898 38,148 14,974 Percent of Age Group 12.4%30.6%38.8%18.2%96.3%47.1%97.1%46.4%96.7%58.7%96.0%46.9%95.6%37.5% Percent of Total Population 10.4%1.3%3.2%4.0%1.9%89.6%86.3%2.2%15.1%14.6%7.0%18.0%17.4%10.5%36.6%35.2%17.2%20.0%19.1%7.5% Percent of Education Level 27.7%15.4%13.1%4.3%90.5%95.7%15.4%15.9%18.2%23.9%36.9%39.0%20.0%17.0% Population 65 years and overPopulation 18 to 24 years Population 25 years and over Population 25 to 34 years Population 35 to 44 years Population 45 to 64 years Income and Wages 8 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Quarterly Wages for Stable Hires in Washington County Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) by race, all industries. US Census Bureau American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. More on how the US Census Bureau calculates poverty can be found at: https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/poverty/guidance/poverty-measures.html Percent of Population At or Below the Federal Poverty Level Social Characteristics 9 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Washington County has just under 100,000 housing units, with a median value of $301,000—above the statewide median of $235,700. Homeowner vacancy rates are low at 0.6% or about 486 total vacant homesteaded units. About 18.4% of occupied housing units in Washington County are renter-occupied, compared to 28.1% statewide. About 4.4% of the total population of Washington County live in poverty, with zip codes in the central region having higher poverty rates (see prior page). Nearly one in four children live in single parent families (23.0%), below the rate observed statewide (28.4%). There are also fewer disconnected youth in Washington County than observed statewide, at just 0.6% of youth (or about 78 young people) between 16 and 19 years of age who are (1) not in school, (2) not high school graduates, and (3) either unemployed or not in the labor force. Nearly 18,000 residents (6.9% of the population) are foreign born, and 2.7% of residents over 5 years old speak English “less than very well.” Source: US Census Bureau American Community Survey 2016-2020 5-Year Estimates. More on how the US Census Bureau calculates poverty can be found at: https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/poverty/guidance/poverty- measures.html Percent Value Washington County, Minnesota Minnesota USA Washington County, Minnesota Minnesota USA Housing Total Housing Units — — — 99,696 2,458,030 138,432,751 Median House Value (of owner-occupied units)2 — — — $301,000 $235,700 $229,800 Homeowner Vacancy 0.6% 0.8% 1.4% 486 12,744 1,129,755 Rental Vacancy 2.8% 4.2% 5.8% 511 27,736 2,704,553 Renter-Occupied Housing Units (% of Occupied Units) 18.4% 28.1% 35.6% 17,628 619,377 43,552,843 Occupied Housing Units with No Vehicle Available (% of Occupied Units) 3.8% 6.6% 8.5% 3,638 145,467 10,344,521 Social Poverty Level (of all people) 4.4% 9.3% 12.8% 11,134 511,185 40,910,326 Households Receiving Food Stamps/SNAP 4.0% 7.5% 11.4% 3,804 165,078 13,892,407 Enrolled in Grade 12 (% of total population) 1.8% 1.4% 1.3% 4,552 78,075 4,358,865 Disconnected Youth3 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 78 5,115 433,164 Children in Single Parent Families (% of all children) 23.0% 28.4% 34.0% 14,241 354,664 23,628,508 Uninsured 3.5% 4.5% 8.7% 8,952 251,900 28,058,903 With a Disability, Age 18-64 7.7% 8.7% 10.3% 11,924 295,441 20,231,217 With a Disability, Age 18-64, Labor Force Participation Rate and Size 59.7% 52.8% 43.2% 7,117 156,039 8,740,236 Foreign Born 6.9% 8.4% 13.5% 17,877 470,687 44,125,628 Speak English Less Than Very Well (population 5 yrs and over) 2.7% 4.5% 8.2% 6,624 234,697 25,312,024 03. Labor Force Overview Labor Force Overview Washington County’s population has grown at a faster rate than observed statewide and is home to a highly-engaged labor force. Taking the demographic, social, and economic realities of the first section of this report as backdrop, this section features a high-level summary of who is working in Washington County. Approach •Summarize overall labor force participation, employment, and unemployment statistics •Drill down to disparities in employment by race, ethnicity, gender, and age where possible •Explore differences in labor force participation trends by region •Unpack high-level unemployment, underemployment, and wage information by occupation groups 11 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Population and Labor Force Trends 12 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Washington County is home to an estimated 277,283 residents of all ages as of 2022, growing by 21,566 over the last 5 years and is projected to grow by 23,061 over the next five years. Unemployment is low at an estimated 1.9% county- wide as of 2022Q3 (2,728 people). A larger share of Black and African American adults are unemployed than their share of the local workforce (9.3% of the unemployed compared to 4.7% of the population and 4.3% of the workforce). Approximately three in ten adult residents hold a bachelor’s degree (31.1%, which is 10.2% above the national average). Labor Force Participation Summary Statistics Educational Attainment of the Prime Working Age Population Unemployment by Race, Nov 2022 American Indian/Alaska Native 37 (1.5%) Asian 79 (3.1%) Black or African American 236 (9.3%) Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 6 (0.2%) White 2,182 (85.9%) Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset. Regional Trends 13 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Washington County is home to an estimated 277,283 residents of all ages, with the largest share of population residing in the Southern portion of the county (49). The Southern and Central regions have the highest overall labor force participation rates. Average annual salary is highest in the Central region of the county ($57,259). Share of Population by Washington County Region Average Annual Salary by Region Northern Washington County $50,478 Central Washington County $57,259 Southern Washington County $52,950 Washington County, MN $54,920 15% 36% 49% Northern Central Southern Map of Washington County 69.5% 72.4% 70.0% 65.4% 88.9% 90.5% 90.6% 85.5% Washington County Southern Central Northern 25-54 Prime-Age 16+ Civilian Labor Force Participation Rate by Region Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Unemployment and Underemployment 14 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 This table indicates employment, unemployment, and under-employment of talent working in Washington County. While unemployment overall is already low at 1.9%, it is particularly low in Healthcare Practitioners and Technical (0.6%), Computer and Mathematical (0.8%), and Legal (0.8%) occupations. Underemployment occurs when an individual has more advanced training or education beyond what is required in their current occupation. Underemployed individuals may seek job changes to better align their experience with their work. About 23,146 people working in Washington County are underemployed. Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Empl (Place of Work)Overall Occupation SOC Occupation Underemployed 2022Q3 Empl Avg Ann Wages Forecast Ann Growth Unempl Rate 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 3,963 10,591 $47,200 0.0%1.7% 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations 3,953 11,633 $46,000 0.2%2.4% 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 2,511 10,041 $33,200 1.6%3.6% 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 1,717 8,499 $45,200 1.1%2.9% 11-0000 Management Occupations 1,516 5,805 $117,000 1.1%1.1% 51-0000 Production Occupations 1,460 6,938 $46,900 0.1%2.4% 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations 1,190 4,422 $36,700 2.2%2.1% 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 1,187 3,491 $36,600 1.9%3.6% 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 810 4,580 $65,200 0.8%2.8% 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 677 3,219 $39,800 0.9%2.7% 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 646 4,919 $83,700 1.0%1.1% 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 620 5,519 $102,600 1.4%0.6% 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 612 3,260 $58,600 0.9%1.3% 25-0000 Educational Instruction and Library Occupations 586 5,822 $56,200 1.0%1.3% 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations 556 1,357 $60,800 0.4%1.5% 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 423 1,656 $64,100 1.4%2.5% 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 296 2,340 $96,300 1.3%0.8% 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 135 580 $42,400 0.9%2.7% 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 125 1,227 $88,700 0.8%0.9% 23-0000 Legal Occupations 124 680 $111,400 1.3%0.8% 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 40 684 $81,800 1.0%1.2% Total -All Occupations 23,146 99,098 $58,000 0.9%1.9% 04. Post-High School Education Post -High School Education Opportunities 16 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 There were a total of 1,929 awards conferred at the two post-high school accredited institutions based in Washington County in the 2021 school year, with Liberal Arts and Sciences Associate degrees having the highest volume of awards conferred (426 awards from CIP 24-0101). Over half (59.4%) of completions were Associate’s degrees, 22.6% were certificates that take less than one academic year, 16.3% were certificates taking one to two years, and 1.7% were awards taking more than two years but less than four to complete. About 29% of all completions were achieved through distance-offered programs. All completions have declined by about 10.7% over the past 10 years. Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021 Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools by Program, SY2021 Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset. NCES IPEDS 2021. Century College Freshmen Attraction 17 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 2020 Freshmen Home State Map Source: Lightcast 2023Q1 Dataset. Century College delivered 1,810 of all 2021 completions, and the Minnesota School of Cosmetology in Woodbury conferred the rest (119). Among freshmen enrolling at Century College in 2020, 94.5% were in-state students, while the other 5.5% came from Wisconsin, Illinois, Texas, Florida, New York, and Pennsylvania. Healthcare Programs 18 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Awards Conferred in Healthcare Pathways 623 Total SY2021 Awards 15% Awards from Distance- Offered Programs (96) -6.2% over the past 10 years 47.5%Associate Degrees 52.5% Certificates Top Award Gaps Medical Managers Licensed Practical Nurses Nurse Practitioners CIP CIP Title Cert <1 Yr Cert 1< >2 Yr Associate Cert 2< Yr Total Awards 51.3801 Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse 0 0 108 0 108 51.0601 Dental Assisting/Assistant 0 59 47 0 106 51.0810 Emergency Care Attendant (EMT Ambulance)84 0 0 0 84 51.3902 Nursing Assistant/Aide and Patient Care Assistant/Aide 60 0 0 0 60 51.2307 Orthotist/Prosthetist 0 6 30 19 55 51.0911 Radiologic Technology/Science -Radiographer 0 0 40 0 40 51.0801 Medical/Clinical Assistant 0 34 0 0 34 51.0904 Emergency Medical Technology/Technician (EMT Paramedic)0 16 14 0 30 51.0000 Health Services/Allied Health/Health Sciences, General 0 0 18 0 18 51.0716 Medical Administrative/Executive Assistant and Medical Secretary 0 0 15 0 15 Total 190 118 296 19 623 Awards by Broad Group Source: NCES IPEDS award data, SY2021. Century College and MN School of Cosmetology –Woodbury. Top Ten CIP Programs by Volume of Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021 Manufacturing Programs 19 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Awards Conferred in Manufacturing Pathways 75 Total SY2021 Awards 0 Awards from Distance- Offered Programs +41.5% over the past 10 years 64.0%Associate Degrees 36.0% Certificates Top Award Gaps Industrial Engineering Techs Chemical Techs Supervisors of Production Workers CIP CIP Title Cert <1 Yr Cert 1< >2 Yr Associate Cert 2< Yr Total Awards 15.1302 CAD/CADD Drafting and/or Design Technology/Technician 10 0 12 0 22 14.0102 Pre-Engineering 0 0 21 0 21 48.0508 Welding Technology/Welder 13 0 0 0 13 15.1202 Computer/Computer Systems Technology/Technician 0 0 7 0 7 15.0000 Engineering Technologies/Technicians, General 0 0 5 0 5 15.1703 Solar Energy Technology/Technician 3 1 0 0 4 15.1701 Energy Systems Technology/Technician 0 0 3 0 3 41.0101 Biology/Biotechnology Technology/Technician 0 0 0 0 0 Total 26 1 48 0 75 Awards by Broad Group Source: NCES IPEDS award data, SY2021. Century College and MN School of Cosmetology –Woodbury. Top Ten CIP Programs by Volume of Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021 Construction and Architecture Programs 20 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Awards Conferred in Construction Pathways Source: NCES IPEDS award data, SY2021. Century College and MN School of Cosmetology –Woodbury. Top Ten CIP Programs by Volume of Awards Conferred at Washington County Schools, SY2021 75 Total SY2021 Awards 0 Awards from Distance- Offered Programs -6.3% over the past 10 years 32.0%Associate Degrees 68.0% Certificates Top Award Gaps Cost Estimators Construction Managers Civil Engineers CIP CIP Title Cert <1 Yr Cert 1< >2 Yr Associate Cert 2< Yr Total Awards 47.0201 Heating, Air Conditioning, Ventilation and Refrigeration Maintenance Technology/Technician 0 45 16 0 61 46.0401 Building/Property Maintenance 0 2 5 0 7 15.1703 Solar Energy Technology/Technician 3 1 0 0 4 15.1701 Energy Systems Technology/Technician 0 0 3 0 3 Total 3 48 24 0 75 Awards by Broad Group 05. Talent Demographics Health Science Cluster At an unemployment rate of just 1.0%, talent needs in Health Science careers are significant in Washington County. Century College, located in the immediate region, has many certificates and Associate-level programs that meet and exceed local needs for talent in Origin and Gateway Occupations. However, there are no Washington County-based educational institutions that offer Bachelors, Masters, or PhDs related to Health Science. Key Findings •Moderately higher workforce diversity, with greater representation of Black and Asian talent in the Health Science workforce than observed overall •High representation of female talent in these careers is likely to persist, given high volumes of females conferring Health Science awards in Washington County •Many occupations experiencing talent shortages also have a high share of the existing workforce that are 45 or older 22 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Health Science Talent Demographics by Race Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. Health Science Talent Demographics 23 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 8,731 Total Employment +3.3% average annual growth over the past ten years compared to +0.3% statewide 1.0% unemployment rate (133 people) compared to 1.2% statewide (3,416 people) 0.98 Location Quotient $82,500 average wages compared to $83,700 statewide Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. Talent shortage is estimated based on historical talent pipelines in the region, typical job changes, and the likelihood of retirements. Red highlighting indicates lower than overall share of workforce or graduate pool, or existence of occupation or award gap. SOC Occupation 2022Q3 Empl Unempl Rate Talent Shortage Workforce BIPOC by Race Workforce Hispanic/ Latinx Workforce Female Workforce 45+ Award Gap SY2021 Graduates BIPOC by Race or Ethnicity SY2021 Graduates Female 29-1141 Registered Nurses 2,946 0.6%Y 15.0%2.0%83.8%47.8%19.4%87.0% 31-1121 Home Health Aides 1,065 2.6%23.9%6.5%85.0%58.4% 31-1131 Nursing Assistants 956 1.9%Y 20.2%3.2%87.2%43.5%40.0%88.3% 43-6013 Medical Secretaries and Admin. Assistants 730 0.9%Y 10.6%3.9%94.0%58.2%26.6%100.0% 29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 567 0.8%Y 14.6%2.9%89.9%49.0%Y 31-9092 Medical Assistants 552 2.1%Y 12.1%7.6%89.5%33.0%49.0%93.9% 11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 473 0.5%Y 13.8%2.4%70.1%57.8%Y 29-2052 Pharmacy Technicians 373 1.2%Y 16.6%3.8%75.7%29.2%Y 31-9091 Dental Assistants 351 1.3%Y 11.5%7.7%90.7%35.4%44.3%95.3% 29-1051 Pharmacists 317 0.4%21.9%1.3%51.8%42.3%Y 29-1171 Nurse Practitioners 277 0.1%Y 8.4%1.3%83.7%46.1%Y 29-1292 Dental Hygienists 259 0.6%Y 6.4%2.3%94.0%52.6%25.0%100.0% 29-1123 Physical Therapists 234 0.2%Y 13.5%1.2%60.9%49.4%Y 29-1229 Physicians, All Other 219 0.1%24.7%1.3%35.4%55.6%Y 29-1127 Speech-Language Pathologists 203 0.6%Y 3.1%1.2%93.5%43.2%Y All Health Science Careers 13,729 1.0%15.5%3.1%76.2%47.1% Total –All Occupations 140,319 1.9%13.2%4.1%48.6%46.8%31.7%62.1% Workforce and Graduate Demographics of the Top Fifteen Occupations of Employment in Health Science Manufacturing Cluster Much like the rest of the state, Washington County’s Manufacturing workforce is predominantly White (88.8%). There are very few local post-high school education programs at accredited institutions that directly meet the employment needs of local employers hiring Manufacturing talent; local programs focus on pre-engineering, energy, and solar technology which are all in- demand and high-wage careers, but needs for CNC Machinists, Maintenance Technicians, and Machine Setters in the most prominent local industries are likely to be met by internal training programs or sourcing talent from programs that exist in neighboring counties. Key Findings •Production Supervisors, Machinery Mechanic Supervisors, Machinists, and Industrial Machinery Mechanics are all experiencing local talent shortages and award gaps, suggesting that local education and training programs are likely to be underproducing the talent needed •Among the top 15 Manufacturing occupations of employment, women are underrepresented in the workforce in all but one occupation (Packaging and Filling Machine Operators), and a larger than normal share of the workforce is 45 years or older in all but one occupation (Welders) 24 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. Manufacturing Talent Demographics by Race Manufacturing Talent Demographics 25 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 8,731 Total Employment +3.3% average annual growth over the past ten years compared to +0.3% statewide 1.0% unemployment rate (133 people) compared to 1.2% statewide (3,416 people) 0.98 Location Quotient $82,500 average wages compared to $83,700 statewide Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. Talent shortage is estimated based on historical talent pipelines in the region, typical job changes, and the likelihood of retirements. Red highlighting indicates lower than overall share of workforce or graduate pool, or existence of occupation or award gap. SOC Occupation 2022Q3 Empl Unempl Rate Talent Shortage Workforce BIPOC by Race Workforce Hispanic/ Latinx Workforce Female Workforce 45+ Award Gap SY2021 Graduates BIPOC by Race or Ethnicity SY2021 Graduates Female 49-9071 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 1,173 1.1%Y 7.6%4.9%4.6%56.6% 51-2092 Team Assemblers 1,166 3.3%15.3%5.0%31.6%48.5% 51-1011 Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 586 0.7%Y 8.7%3.8%17.9%56.3%Y 51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 446 1.6%11.2%4.9%36.7%54.7% 13-1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale 347 1.5%9.7%2.8%57.6%51.3%Y 51-4041 Machinists 342 1.7%Y 6.0%3.9%3.2%55.7%Y 49-1011 Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 328 0.4%Y 5.1%2.5%5.7%65.2%Y 43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 315 1.0%12.7%2.9%45.9%48.8% 49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 271 0.8%Y 6.2%4.5%4.8%61.7%Y 51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, Tenders 269 1.5%Y 10.7%5.4%26.5%59.3%Y 51-2028 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Assemblers 257 2.1%21.6%3.5%41.0%52.2%Y 51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 255 2.3%Y 7.3%.0%3.7%41.5%Y 7.7%15.4% 51-9161 Computer Numerically Controlled Tool Operators 203 2.3%9.1%1.5%7.7%47.7%Y 51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 187 2.4%Y 19.1%12.9%52.4%51.5% 51-9199 Production Workers, All Other 183 2.6%Y 14.4%6.5%30.1%47.1% All Manufacturing Careers 9,739 2.0%11.2%4.1%23.6%52.2% Total –All Occupations 140,319 1.9%13.2%4.1%48.6%46.8%31.7%62.1% Workforce and Graduate Demographics of the Top Fifteen Occupations of Employment in Manufacturing Architecture and Construction Cluster Ninety-two and a half percent of talent working in Architecture and Construction roles in Washington County are White, and the same percentage are male. With such low overall racial and gender diversity, and an older-than-average workforce, this is a career cluster ripe for interventions to bring more diverse young people into this highly-skilled high-wage pathway. Key Findings •Four local programs exist at Century College aligned to this pathway, preparing students for careers in HVAC maintenance, property maintenance, and renewable energy. However, there are many other in-demand careers that do not have local post-high school programming •Carpenters, Electricians, and Construction Managers are all experiencing local talent shortages and award gaps in Washington County •There are double the share of Hispanic and Latinx workers in Architecture and Construction careers than observed in Washington County’s workforce overall (8.9% compared to 4.1% overall), with the highest overrepresentation of Hispanic and Latinx talent as Painters, Landscapers,and Construction Laborers 26 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Architecture and Construction Talent Demographics by Race Architecture and Construction Talent Demographics 27 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 8,731 Total Employment +3.3% average annual growth over the past ten years compared to +0.3% statewide 1.0% unemployment rate (133 people) compared to 1.2% statewide (3,416 people) 0.98 Location Quotient $82,500 average wages compared to $83,700 statewide Source: Chmura JobsEQ 2022Q3 Dataset. Names of Industry NAICS or Occupation SOC may be abbreviated. Talent shortage is estimated based on historical talent pipelines in the region, typical job changes, and the likelihood of retirements. Red highlighting indicates lower than overall share of workforce or graduate pool, or existence of occupation or award gap. SOC Occupation 2022Q3 Empl Unempl Rate Talent Shortage Workforce BIPOC by Race Workforce Hispanic/ Latinx Workforce Female Workforce 45+ Award Gap SY2021 Graduates BIPOC by Race or Ethnicity SY2021 Graduates Female 47-2031 Carpenters 912 2.4%Y 6.3%10.7%2.9%45.2%Y 47-2061 Construction Laborers 859 3.6%7.3%14.8%4.2%41.8% 37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 837 2.4%7.2%14.1%5.8%43.7% 47-1011 Supervisors of Construction and Extraction Workers 454 1.1%Y 4.1%5.4%3.7%55.8%Y 47-2111 Electricians 422 1.8%Y 6.1%5.3%1.6%47.0%Y 11-9021 Construction Managers 362 1.3%Y 4.1%3.3%7.7%57.0%Y 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 313 2.4%Y 6.6%5.8%2.1%46.5%Y 17-2051 Civil Engineers 278 1.3%15.0%2.4%14.3%48.1%Y 49-9021 HVAC and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 215 0.9%Y 6.1%6.7%10.4%53.0%26.2%3.3% 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Equipment Operators 211 4.0%Y 5.1%5.0%3.4%54.1% 13-1051 Cost Estimators 198 1.0%6.4%2.0%13.7%56.9%Y 47-4051 Highway Maintenance Workers 173 2.9%Y 6.2%3.6%3.7%62.4% 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 152 2.7%Y 6.2%21.2%10.1%47.8% 17-1011 Architects, Except Landscape and Naval 129 1.3%16.6%1.6%25.7%50.3%Y 17-3022 Civil Engineering Technologists and Technicians 113 1.2%10.3%3.3%19.8%53.4%Y All Architecture and Construction Careers 6,986 2.3%7.5%8.9%7.4%48.0% Total –All Occupations 140,319 1.9%13.2%4.1%48.6%46.8%31.7%62.1% Workforce and Graduate Demographics of the Top Fifteen Occupations of Employment in Architecture and Construction 06. Summary Diversity is an opportunity Washington County’s young population is more diverse than the existing workforce and a future asset to local businesses Top industries of need have diversity challenges There is an overrepresentation of female talent in Healthcare careers,while both Manufacturing and Construction careers have significant overrepresentation of male talent;All three sectors see low diversity by race and ethnicity, particularly in the most high-wage, high-demand local careers Growth will continue Demographics are on the county’s side and growth of the local population is forecast to be higher than most other parts of Minnesota at about 1.1% growth annually More post-high school programming is needed Local institutions in Washington County that offer post-high school education and training meet an impressive number of local Gateway Career talent needs; However, there are numerous examples of gaps in local programming to meet the needs of employers based in Washington County 28 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Next Steps Washington County is poised for growth, if it can leverage its available workforce effectively and attract talent to fill critical workforce needs. An accompanying labor market demand study showcases the county’s total talent needs with a deep-dive into the occupations of greatest demand in Healthcare, Manufacturing, and Construction. Working forward together, RealTime Talent erin@realtimetalentmn.org Author of this Report Erin Olson, MURP, MPH Senior Director of Strategic Research, RealTime Talent 30 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 What is a location quotient? A location quotient (LQ) is a measurement of concentration in comparison to the nation. An LQ of 1.00 indicates a region has the same concentration of an industry (or occupation) as the nation. An LQ of 2.00 would mean the region has twice the expected employment compared to the nation and an LQ of 0.50 would mean the region has half the expected employment in comparison to the nation. What is a cluster? A cluster is a geographic concentration of interrelated industries or occupations. If a regional cluster has a location quotient of 1.25 or greater, the region is considered to possess a competitive advantage in that cluster. What is separation demand? Separation demand is the number of jobs required due to separations—labor force exits (including retirements) and turnover resulting from workers moving from one occupation into another. Note that separation demand does not include all turnover—it does not include when workers stay in the same occupation but switch employers. The total projected demand for an occupation is the sum of the separation demand and the growth demand (which is the increase or decrease of jobs in an occupation expected due to expansion or contraction of the overall number of jobs in that occupation). What is the difference between industry wages and occupation wages? Industry wages and occupation wages are estimated via separate data sets, often the time periods being reported do not align,and wages are defined slightly differently in the two systems (for example, certain bonuses are included in the industry wages but not the occupation wages). It is therefore common that estimates of the average industry wages and average occupation wages in a region do not match exactly. Annual average wages per worker and employment data are derived from the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and imputed where necessary. Data are updated through 2022Q2 with preliminary estimates updated to 2022Q3. What is NAICS? The North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) is used to classify business establishments according to the type of economic activity. The NAICS Code comprises six levels, from the “all industry” level to the 6-digit level. The first two digits define the top-level category, known as the “sector,” which is the level examined in this report. FAQ Regarding Data and Methodology 31 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 FAQ Regarding Data and Methodology -Continued 32 Washington County Labor Supply Study March 2023 Where does the data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) come from? Gross Domestic Product data are provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, imputed by Chmura where necessary, updated through 2021. What is SOC? The Standard Occupational Classification system (SOC) is used to classify workers into occupational categories. All workers are classified into one of over 804 occupations according to their occupational definition. To facilitate classification, occupations are combined to form 22 major groups, 95 minor groups, and 452 occupation groups. Each occupation group includes detailed occupations requiring similar job duties, skills, education, or experience. Where can I learn more about the sources that were used in this report? Lightcast offers a suite of labor market data analysis tools that are used to analyze candidate profiles and educational data from NCES IPEDS to track program graduate data and estimate talent pool availability. These tools scrape millions of candidate profiles and model skills, credentials, and employment experience to link where talent is located to where talent is in demand. Chmura JobsEQ is a labor market data analysis tool that provides employment, unemployment, and education data from sources like the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Census Bureau, and NCES IPEDS and models this data at detailed geographic levels. This tool is utilized by RealTime Talent to model alternate forecasts impacted by COVID-19 to show possible future-state talent gaps, award gaps, and optimistic employment growth. Who created this report? This report was developed by RealTime Talent for the Transportation Center of Excellence. If you have questions about the data found in this report, or are interested in learning more, please contact the Senior Director of Strategic Research, Erin Olson at erin@realtimetalentmn.org or visit the RealTime Talent website at www.realtimetalent.org Labor Market title page graphic: Roger Spooner/Getty Images Articles cited in the introduction: 1. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage. Feb 22, 2023. Accessed at https://www.uschamber.com/workforce/understanding-americas-labor-shortage 2. US Chamber of Commerce. Understanding America’s Labor Shortage: The most Impacted States. Feb 1, 2023. Accessed at https://www.uschamber.com/workforce/the-states- suffering-most-from-the-labor-shortage?state=mn