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Functional Analysis <br />March 2l, 2002 <br />Page 11 <br />• The County will not leave the Public Works site until 2005. If initial redevelopment <br />occurs in 2006, tax increment or abate revenues will not be available until 2008. <br />• The establishment of a TIF district is a balancing act. Current laws encourage delaying <br />the start of the five -year window for obligating TIF revenues until the point of <br />redevelopment. Although positive changes in the TIF Act are possible, this approach <br />assumes some risk because the State may change the Act in ways that limit applications <br />for Rice Street Crossings. The challenges in using TIF in this area are present in many <br />other settings across the State. A real commitment to Livable Communities and Smart <br />Growth initiatives will require new or expanded finance tools for local governments. <br />Funding Capacity <br />The table in Attachment A contains a preliminary analysis of the local funding capacity for Rice <br />Street Crossings. This analysis is intended solely to provide an initial indication of the funding <br />capacity created by the Use of TIF and tax abatement. <br />Based on the assumed project size and valuation, the Preferred Concept provides a funding <br />capacity of $8.4 million to $11.7 million. Several variable influence the results of this analysis: <br />• The analysis uses tax capacity formulas and tax rates for taxes payable 2002. Recent <br />history shows the challenges of forecasting the future elements of the property tax <br />system. <br />• The base value of TIF districts is a simple estimate based on existing values. The <br />reconfiguration of parcels, the classification of redevelopment property and the values <br />assigned to County parcels will shape the actual base values and the impacts on funding <br />capacity. <br />• The analysis assumes that all tax increment and abatement revenues are pledged to debt <br />incurred to finance project costs. <br />• No finance costs or capitalized interest are accounted for in this analysis. These expenses <br />count as supportable costs and reduce monies available for project costs. <br />• The economics at the time of redevelopment will influence the actual value resulting <br />from redevelopment. <br />