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Mr. Michael Grochala <br />April 8, 2020 <br />Page 4 <br />Table 5. 2020 AUAR Update Scenario 2 <br />Land Use <br />Unit <br />Size <br />AM Peak <br />PM Peak <br />ADT <br />Low Density <br />DU <br />2,283 <br />1,689 <br />2,260 <br />21,552 <br />Res <br />Med Density <br />DU <br />1,977 <br />811 <br />989 <br />13,088 <br />Res <br />High Density <br />DU <br />3,143 <br />1,446 <br />1,760 <br />23,007 <br />Res <br />Commercial <br />SF <br />5,307,000 <br />4,033 <br />5,042 <br />77,270 <br />Industrial <br />SF <br />10,054,000 <br />4,022 <br />3,921 <br />32,173 <br />Total <br />12,001 <br />13,971 <br />167,089 <br />Table 6. 2020 AUAR Update Scenario 3 - City 2030 Comprehensive Plan <br />Land Use <br />Unit <br />Size <br />AM Peak <br />PM Peak <br />ADT <br />Low Density <br />DU <br />190 <br />140 <br />188 <br />1,794 <br />Res <br />Med Density <br />DU <br />1,991 <br />816 <br />996 <br />13,180 <br />Res <br />High Density <br />DU <br />273 <br />126 <br />153 <br />1,998 <br />Res <br />Commercial <br />SF <br />3,229,000 <br />2,454 <br />3,068 <br />47,014 <br />Industrial <br />SF <br />10,128,000 <br />4,051 <br />3,950 <br />32,410 <br />Total <br />7,588 <br />8,354 <br />96,396 <br />Comparing the land use scenarios shows that the future traffic generated with the updated land <br />uses will be less than that from the original AUAR. The percent reduction in traffic generation is <br />shown below in Table 7. <br />Table 7. Scenario Comparison <br />2006 <br />2020 <br />AM Peak <br />PM Peak <br />ADT % <br />Scenario <br />Reduction <br />Scenario <br />Reduction <br />Reduction <br />Scenario 1 <br />Scenario 1 <br />21 % <br />23% <br />1 % <br />Scenario 2 <br />Scenario 2 <br />61 % <br />63% <br />31 % <br />Scenario 3 <br />Scenario 2 <br />31 % <br />30% <br />10% <br />Scenario 1 <br />Scenario 3 <br />86% <br />97% <br />53% <br />Traffic Analysis <br />The Transportation Study completed as part of the original AUAR analyzed the effects the land <br />use scenarios had on the local and regional roadway systems. The analysis was based on <br />existing traffic counts at the time and the Anoka County version of the Metropolitan Council's <br />Travel Demand Forecasting Model. <br />KA015144-000\Admin\DOCSWUAR -Update 2020\Traffic\MEMO - 040820 - Transportation.docx <br />