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APPENDIX A2a--Swim Lesson Projections: City Managed Facility <br />6 <br />7 <br />A B C D E F G <br />Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Comments <br />50 <br />51 <br />52 <br />53 <br />54 <br />55 <br />56 <br />57 <br />58 <br />59 <br />60 <br />61 <br />62 <br />63 <br />64 <br />65 <br />66 <br />67 <br />68 <br />69 <br />70 <br />71 <br />72 <br />73 <br />74 <br />75 <br />76 <br />77 <br />78 <br />79 <br />80 <br />81 <br />82 <br />83 <br />84 <br />85 <br />86 <br />87 <br />88 <br />89 <br />90 <br />91 <br />92 <br />93 <br />94 <br />95 <br />96 <br />97 <br />Private Lesson Subtotals $ 21,504 $ 29,030 $ 33,385 $ 39,704 $ 41,689 <br />Semi-Private Lessons Calculated as 4 x 30 minute private <br />lessons for session for calculation <br />purposes. Can also do singles or a <br />package of 8 lessons. <br /> Resident 60 81 93 101 106 <br /> Non-Resident 40 54 62 67 70 <br /> Member <br />Fee per Session (4 x 30 min private lesson) <br /> Resident $ 88 $ 88 $ 88 $ 96 $ 96 <br /> Non-Resident $ 96 $ 96 $ 96 $ 104 $ 104 <br /> Member <br />Average cost per 30 minutes <br /> Resident $ 22.00 $ 22.00 $ 22.00 $ 24.00 $ 24.00 <br /> Non-Resident $ 24.00 $ 24.00 $ 24.00 $ 26.00 $ 26.00 <br /> Member <br />Semi-Private Lesson Subtotals $ 9,120 $ 12,312 $ 14,159 $ 16,633 $ 17,465 <br />Family Lessons & Specily Lessons May offer family and special lesson <br />groups. Not readily available in the <br />market but a differentiating program <br />for the future. Not factored in <br />initially. Special Needs lessons are <br />included in group lessons for now. <br /> Resident <br /> Non-Resident <br /> Member <br />Fee per Session <br /> Resident <br /> Non-Resident <br /> Member <br />Average cost per 30 minutes <br /> Resident $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - <br /> Non-Resident $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - <br /> Member <br />Family Lesson Subtotals $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - <br />TOTAL SWIM LESSON REVENUE $ 154,524 $ 208,607 $ 239,899 $ 281,686 $ 295,770 <br />TOTAL Youth Group Swim Lesson Sessions 1,200 1,620 1,863 2,012 2,113 Including Adults <br />TOTAL Estimated Unique Students in Youth <br />Group Lessons <br /> 480 648 745 805 845 Each student averages 2.5 sessions <br />per year <br />TOTAL Lino Lakes Resident Youth Group <br />Lessons <br /> 720 972 1,118 1,207 1,268 <br />TOTAL Lino Lakes unique students in Youth <br />Group Lessons <br /> 288 389 447 483 507 <br />Analysis of Lino Lakes Market Penetration Percent Population <br />Lino Lakes Population (2020 Projection)22,500 <br /> Percent of population under 10 years of age 18.0%4,050 <br /> Percent of population under 18 years of age 28.8%6,480 <br />Number of Unique Lino Lakes students in lessons 447 <br />Percent of Lino Lakes population under 10 years old taking lessons 11.0% <br />Uses Year Three for Market Penetration <br />Assume all students under 10 years old which is conservative. <br />There will be some older kids, but not many. <br />Percentage is actually lower since there will be some > 9 yrs old <br />2 of 2