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Mr. Michael Grochala <br />April 8, 2020 <br />Page 4 <br />K:\015144-000\Admin\Docs\AUAR - Update 2020\Traffic\MEMO - 040820 - Transportation.docx <br />Table 5. 2020 AUAR Update Scenario 2 <br />Land Use Unit Size AM Peak PM Peak ADT <br />Low Density <br />Res DU 2,283 1,689 2,260 21,552 <br />Med Density <br />Res DU 1,977 811 989 13,088 <br />High Density <br />Res DU 3,143 1,446 1,760 23,007 <br />Commercial SF 5,307,000 4,033 5,042 77,270 <br />Industrial SF 10,054,000 4,022 3,921 32,173 <br />Total 12,001 13,971 167,089 <br /> <br /> <br />Table 6. 2020 AUAR Update Scenario 3 – City 2030 Comprehensive Plan <br />Land Use Unit Size AM Peak PM Peak ADT <br />Low Density <br />Res DU 190 140 188 1,794 <br />Med Density <br />Res DU 1,991 816 996 13,180 <br />High Density <br />Res DU 273 126 153 1,998 <br />Commercial SF 3,229,000 2,454 3,068 47,014 <br />Industrial SF 10,128,000 4,051 3,950 32,410 <br />Total 7,588 8,354 96,396 <br /> <br /> <br />Comparing the land use scenarios shows that the future traffic generated with the updated land <br />uses will be less than that from the original AUAR. The percent reduction in traffic generation is <br />shown below in Table 7. <br /> <br />Table 7. Scenario Comparison <br />2006 <br />Scenario <br />2020 <br />Updated <br />Scenario <br />AM Peak <br />% <br />Reduction <br />PM Peak <br />% <br />Reduction <br />ADT % <br />Reduction <br />Scenario 1 Scenario 1 21% 23% 1% <br />Scenario 2 Scenario 2 61% 63% 31% <br />Scenario 3 Scenario 2 31% 30% 10% <br />Scenario 1 Scenario 3 86% 97% 53% <br /> <br />Traffic Analysis <br />The Transportation Study completed as part of the original AUAR analyzed the effects the land <br />use scenarios had on the local and regional roadway systems. The analysis was based on <br />existing traffic counts at the time and the Anoka County version of the Metropolitan Council’s <br />Travel Demand Forecasting Model. <br />