08-11-25 - City Council Agenda - Laserfiche WebLink

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13 Northwest Main – Lino Lakes, MN Traffic Impact Analysis │ June 2025 4. ANALYSIS OF SCENARIO 1 CONDITIONS This section of the report outlines the proposed development Scenario 1, summarizes site-specific traffic characteristics, and develops future traffic projections for the Scenario 1 Build condition of the AUAR site. Scenario 1 represents the density and land uses presently allowed under the City of Lino Lakes’ 2040 Comprehensive Plan. 4.1. DEVELOPMENT CHARACTERISTICS AND SITE ACCESS The proposed Scenario 1 consists of 1,600 low-density residential units, 600 medium-density residential units, 1,200 high-density residential units, and 60,000 square feet of commercial space. The following major access points are included in the traffic modeling for Scenario 1: • Via “Access A”, a right-in/right-out access located along Sunset Avenue south of Main Street. • Via Robinson Drive along Sunset Avenue. • Via Century Trail along Sunset Avenue. • Via “Access B”, a right-in/right-out access located along Main Street east of Sunset Avenue. • Via “Access C”, a proposed roundabout along Main Street located midway between Sunset Avenue and 4th avenue (and east of Access B). • Via “Access D”, a proposed right-in/right-out along Main Street located west of 4th Avenue (and east of Access C). • Via “Access E” (Robinson Drive extension), a proposed full-access intersection along 4th Avenue south of Main Street. • Via “Access F” and “Access G”, both of which are proposed full-access intersections along 4th Avenue north of Main Street, with Access G being the farther north of the two. • Via “Access H”, a full-access intersection along Pine Street west of 4th Avenue. • Via the future north leg of the Main Street & Sunset Avenue roundabout. Only portions of the development are anticipated to be short term developments included in the Opening Year (2030) analysis. Based on the anticipated future development patterns, Accesses E, F, G, H, and Access D north of Main Street are not included in the Opening Year (2030) conditions as these portions of the site are not anticipated to see development by this time. However, as previously noted, when the development on the AUAR site south of Main Street happens, it is anticipated that Robinson Drive (Access E) would be extended to connect to 4th Avenue to provide an additional connection, but this is not included in the analysis because the conservative analysis was used to determine if this Robinson Drive connection would be necessary from a traffic operations standpoint. Note that the layout of the site is preliminary and subject to changes; future development plans may modify the assumed access points and affect how traffic is distributed throughout the site. The access assumptions outlined above are meant to provide a conservative means of estimating traffic levels at site access points and other minor access points are likely to be constructed along minor roadways such as 4th Avenue and Pine Street. It should also be noted that this access plan would only comply with access spacing standards if the speed limit along Main Street is reduced to 45 mph and each access point would need to be located ¼ mile apart. Site specific Traffic Impact Analyses should be conducted to determine the geometric, spacing, and control needs of the site access points. It is anticipated that the full development of the AUAR area would take up to 30 years. However, traffic projections as part of an AUAR are typically 20-year analysis horizon. This results in a conservative analysis for the Design Year as the full site may not be built out yet. Page 194 of 679