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DRAFT Market Analysis <br />Lino Lakes Comprehensive Plan Update <br />September, 2006 <br />Page 5 <br />250,000 - <br />200,000 - <br />150,000 - <br />100,000 - <br />50,000 - <br />0 <br />Net Gain in Households and Housing Units by Decade <br />16- County Twin Cities Region <br />1960 -2000 <br />• Households <br />• Housing Units <br />133,366 132,559 <br />179,890 <br />188,718 <br />1960s 1970s <br />Source: US Census of Population and Housing: 1960 -2000 <br />178,688 <br />198,146 <br />183,969 <br />161,591 <br />1980s 1990s <br />Location of New Housing Units by Decade <br />The preceding factors of rate of growth, age distribution, and relative supply of new units often <br />come together to affect where new units tend to get built in a region. For example, sharp increases <br />in the demand for housing among younger households ages 18 to 34 may likely mean increased <br />pressure to develop land where housing costs are the least expensive (i.e., exurban or rural areas) or <br />can achieve significant economies of scale (i.e., multifamily developments on in -fill sites). <br />The chart below depicts where in the metropolitan region new units have been added according to <br />three distinct zones: fully developed communities; communities at the edge of contiguous <br />development; and rural or exurban communities that are significantly beyond the edge of contiguous <br />development. Since 1960, the zone at the contiguous edge of development has captured the most <br />number of new housing units. However, during the 1970s, the number of new units built in the <br />fully developed zone and the rural /exurban zone increased dramatically as the overall number of <br />new units added increased sharply as well. Initial data for the 2000s suggest that by the end of the <br />decade units built in the rural /exurban zone may overtake the developing edge as adding the most <br />number of new units. <br />DAHLGREN <br />SHARDLOW <br />ANDUBAN <br />