06/02/2008 Council Packet - Laserfiche WebLink

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• • • above, are based on potential market demand and are not proposed to be restrained by a city imposed "cap ". The advisory panel reached consensus to move forward with the proposed market demand forecasts and is not proposing to implement a "cap" on the units per year. Due to the proposed change, the City will need to formally request a forecast revision by Metropolitan Council. Our plan is to submit the request following approval of the draft Comprehensive Plan for adjacent jurisdiction review. Draft 2030 Staging Plan The draft 2030 Staging Plan represents the location and timing of sewered development through the planning period. The staging areas have been sized to provide the necessary land supply to accommodate the forecasted household numbers anticipated through 2030. The staging areas are based primarily on the city's sanitary sewer service districts and in place infrastructure to insure the efficient expansion of municipal services as development takes place. The advisory panel is in agreement with the draft 2030 Staging Plan. The advisory panel did discuss the concept of providing excess land or a "wider search area" to provide more flexibility for development. However, after further consideration by staff and the panel, this was not implemented. The area of each staging district is based on the land supply needed to accommodate the household forecasts using the low end of the density range for each residential land use district. Over the past six years, the city has participated in Metropolitan Council's plat monitoring program and this data shows that, on average, actual development densities have been slightly higher than the low end of the density range. For example low density residential (single family) development has been built at an average density of 1.9 units per acre during this time period, whereas the low end of the density range is 1.5 units per acre. Therefore, as actual development takes place, we are likely to see the same number of units accommodated on less land. This should provide the flexibility desired. Draft 2030 Land Use Plan The draft 2030 Land Use Plan, as presented, accommodates both the 2030 household and employment market based forecasts and is consistent with the staging plan. Please note that the land area calculations assume that all property guided for development through 2030 will actually develop. This is unlikely due to a number of reasons, but most notably because individual property owners may not choose to develop. Growth Management Framework Growth management is an extremely important component of the city's Comprehensive Plan, but is not limited to the plan itself. As the alternative to the City's existing growth management policy, staff, consultant team and the advisory panel are proposing to develop and strengthen an overriding framework for growth management. From a 3