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COUNCIL MINUTES MARCH 22, 2004 <br />APPROVED <br />384 lane would not back up onto the road. He indicated the ramp will have 43 cars, and CSAH 14 from <br />•385 Hugo would have 166 cars. He stated that is a queue of two-thirds of a mile. He stated that with the <br />386 turn lane there would still be 30 cars on the ramp and 33 from Hugo. <br />387 <br />388 Mr. Swing stated these traffic estimates have no condition factors, such as weather. He stated he also <br />389 did not see a safety analysis, so he contacted Mn/Dot and Anoka County, and the data indicates this <br />390 exit ramp has an accident rate nearly double that of other ramps. He reiterated the church would only <br />391 exacerbate that condition. <br />392 <br />393 Mr. Swing summarized his concerns, commenting that approving this development in this location is <br />394 a mistake. <br />395 <br />396 Councilmember Carlson asked for more information on the number of cars that would back up. Mr. <br />397 Swing stated his figures are with 87% of the seats occupied, and a police officer and right turn lane. <br />398 He indicated the 30 cars estimated on the ramp and 33 on the approach from Hugo are with some <br />399 percentage of the traffic diverted. He stated if traffic is not diverted, it is 43 cars on the ramp and 166 <br />400 coming from Hugo. <br />401 <br />402 Councilmember Carlson asked why it is such a large drop. Mr. Swing stated 22% of the traffic is <br />403 suggested to travel further and come around from the other direction. <br />404 <br />405 Councilmember Carlson asked what the numbers are if 100% of the seats are filled. Mr. Swing <br />406 indicated in the 100% scenario the queue on the ramp is in the high 40's and from Hugo it is over <br />4.407 200. Councilmember Carlson stated they have been flooded with information, but she does <br />408 remember reading a letter with safety calculations of 11.8% and up to 13.8%. She asked if Mr. Swing <br />409 was familiar with this. Mr. Swing stated he has not seen it. <br />410 <br />411 Councilmember Reinert asked if the numbers Mr. Swing is quoting is from SRF. Mr. Swing stated <br />412 that is correct. Councilmember Reinert asked how many cars the highway ramp held. Mr. Swing <br />413 stated it can hold 52 cars. Councilmember Reinert stated he does not see the safety issue if the ramp <br />414 can hold more cars than are expected in the queue. Mr. Swing stated if the number of cars can be <br />415 held on the ramp and not in the traffic lane there is less concern, but if cars are in the through lane the <br />416 chances of an accident are greatly increased. <br />417 <br />418 Councilmember Reinert indicated this is a very pivotal part of the discussion, and he is looking for <br />419 concrete information rather than opinion. Mr. Swing stated as you look at the accident rate, the <br />420 information says if one accident in 100 cars, with 1000 cars you would have 10 accidents. He <br />421 indicated the severity of the accidents depends on the flow. He stated on Sunday morning vehicles <br />422 are not expecting to stop on the highway. <br />423 <br />424 Councilmember Reinert indicated the question is that cars have 650 feet to slow down, and can they <br />425 do it. He stated what he is trying to do is decipher the accuracy of the claims. Mr. Swing stated the <br />426 claims are based on the amount of time it takes to come to a stop. He indicated it appears the distance <br />427 from 70 mph to zero is 270 feet, with an aggressive deceleration rate. Councilmember Reinert stated <br />428 that would mean there is enough room if the number of cars on the ramp is expected to be 30, and <br />429 there is room for 52. <br />• 430 <br />9 <br />