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<br />NorthPoint Industrial Park – Lake Elmo, MN │Traffic Analysis <br />January 2022 <br />6 <br /> <br />TABLE 1: AADT PROJECTION AND RESPECTIVE GROWTH RATE <br />Count Location <br />Lake Elmo 2040 <br />Comprehensive Plan 2040 Forecast <br />Growth Rate 2015 AADT 2040 AADT <br />34th Street N – West of Ideal Avenue N 16,200 21,000 1.0% <br />34th Street N – East of Stillwater Boulevard/Jamaca Avenue N 11,000 13,300 0.8% <br />Ideal Avenue N – North of 34th Street N 3,850 4,500 0.6% <br />Ideal Avenue N – 34th Street to Stillwater Boulevard N 5,000 7,100 1.4% <br />Stillwater Boulevard N – East of Ideal Avenue N 5,400 8,300 1.7% <br />In addition to the background growth rates, trips were also added to the network to account for the <br />Willowbrooke Residential development, located on the northwest corner of the Ideal Avenue N & 36th Street <br />N intersection. The development is anticipated to have a total 1,410 residential units, composed of single <br />family , townhomes, multifamily apartments, and senior housing. All development is anticipated to be <br />completed prior to the Horizon Year (2040). It was assumed that phase 1 of development (114 single family <br />units and 280 townhomes) was completed by Opening Year (2025). Table 2 provides the anticipated trip <br />generation of the Willowbrooke development for the Opening Year (2025) and Horizon Year (2040). <br />TABLE 2: WILLOWBROOKE DEVELOPMENT TRIP GENERATION <br />Land Use Description ITE Intensity / Units Daily AM Peak Hour PM Peak Hour <br />In Out Total In Out Total <br />Opening Year (2025) Development <br />Single -Family Detached Housing 210 114 Dwelling Units 1,076 21 63 84 71 42 113 <br />Multifamily Housing (Low-Rise) 220 280 Dwelling Units 2,050 8 26 34 99 58 157 <br />TOTAL ROUNDED SITE TRIPS 3,125 30 90 120 170 100 270 <br />Horizon Year (2040) Development <br />Single -Family Detached Housing 210 302 Dwelling Units 2,851 56 167 223 188 111 299 <br />Multifamily Housing (Low-Rise) 220 342 Dwelling Units 2,503 9 32 41 121 71 192 <br />Multifamily Housing (Mid-Rise) 221 656 Dwelling Units 3,569 61 175 236 176 113 289 <br />Senior Adult Housing-Attached 252 110 Dwelling Units 407 8 14 22 16 13 29 <br />TOTAL ROUNDED SITE TRIPS 9,330 135 385 520 500 310 810 <br />The Willowbrooke residential development is anticipated to generate 3,125 daily trips, 120 AM peak hour <br />trips, and 270 PM peak hour trips in the Opening Year. In the Horizon Year, Willowbrooke is anticipated to generate 9,330 daily trips, 520 AM peak hour trips, and 810 PM peak hour trips. The trips were then <br />assigned to the study network based on population hubs and the roadway network. The global distribution was assumed to be: <br />• 65% to/from the west on 34th Street N <br />• 5% to/from the east on 34th Street N <br />• 5% to/from the west on Stillwater Boulevard N <br />• 5% to/from the south on Inwood Avenue N