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35 NorthPoint Industrial Park – Lake Elmo, MN │Traffic Analysis <br />January 2022 <br />6.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS <br />A traffic analysis was performed to quantify the impacts of the proposed development on the adjacent <br />roadway network and intersections. The proposed site is located on the northeast and southeast corner of <br />the intersection of 34th Street N & Ideal Avenue N, in Lake Elmo, MN. No -Buil d, Build Scenario 1, Build <br />Scenario 2, Build Scenario 3, and Build Scenario 4 were analyzed in the Opening Year (2025) and Horizon <br />Year (2040) <br />6.1 PROJECT TRAFFIC DEVELOPMENT & STUDY AREA <br />Four d evelopment buildout scenarios were considered; Scenario 1 is anticipated to have 1,753,400 square <br />feet of industrial development, 91,500 square feet of commercial development, and 400 multifamily dwelling <br />units. Scenario 2 is anticipated to have 1,557,380 square feet of industrial development , 178,596 square <br />feet of commercial development, 38 single family dwelling units, and 334 multifamily dwelling units. <br />Scenario 3 is anticipated to have 1,750,000 square feet of industrial development, 91,500 square feet of <br />commercial development, and 56 single family dwelling unit s . Scenario 4 is anticipated to have 1,100,000 <br />square feet of industrial development and 10 single family dwelling units. All four scenarios are not expected <br />to be fully built out until the Horizon Year (2040); in the Opening Year (2025) all build scenarios are <br />anticipated to have 1,100,000 square feet of industrial development. <br />The Opening Year (2025) Scenarios 1-4 are anticipated to generate 90 trips during the AM peak hour and <br />110 trips during the PM peak hour. In the Horizon Year (2040), Scenario 1 is anticipated to generate 450 <br />trips during the AM peak hour and 805 trips during the PM peak hour. Scenario 2 is anticipated to generate <br />430 AM peak hour trips and 940 PM peak hour trips in the Horizon Year (2040). Scenario 3 is anticipated <br />to generate 380 AM peak hour trips and 750 PM peak hour trips in the Horizon Year (2040). Lastly, Scenario <br />4 is anticipated to generate 95 AM peak hour trips and 120 PM peak hour trips in the Horizon Year (2040). <br />The study area intersections include Ideal Avenue N & 34th Street N, Ideal Avenue & 32nd Street N/Site <br />Access 2, Ideal Avenue N & 31st Street N/Site Access 3, Ideal Avenue N & Stillwater Boulevard N, 34th <br />Street N & Jamaca Avenue N, and Ideal Avenue N & 36th Street N/Site Access 4. A capacity analysis was <br />performed for each of the following conditions to quantify background operations in the study area, as well <br />as operating conditions with Scenario 1, Scenario 2, Scenario 3, and Scenario 4 development: <br />•Existing Year (2021) <br />•Opening Year (2025) No-Build <br />•Opening Year (2025) Build Scenarios 1-4 <br />•Horizon Year (2040) No-Build <br />•Horizon Year (2040) Build Scenario 1 <br />•Horizon Year (2040) Build Scenario 2 <br />•Horizon Year (2040) Build Scenario 3 <br />•Horizon Year (2040) Build Scenario 4 <br />6.2 EXISTING YEAR (2021) LEVEL OF SERVICE ANALYSIS SUMMARY <br />A capacity analysis was conducted for Existing Year (2021) traffic conditions at the study intersections to <br />determine baseline existing conditions. No improvements were incorporated into the traffic model. Based