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whether they simply tend to be located in areas that inherently have higher crime rates. In <br />addition, in part due to a lack of readily available databases, many of these studies rely on <br />crime data that has been aggregated to either the census tract level or municipality level, <br />and limit their study to a single decennial census year (a cross-section) and a single <br />category of crime (e.g., Scribner et al., 1995; Scribner et al., 1999; Gorman et al., 1998). <br />Another potential impediment is the high costs involved in accessing and using <br />geographical information systems (GIS) software and its associated spatial databases. <br />This study uses administrative historical liquor licensing data from the California <br />Department of Alcoholic Beverage Control (DABC), incident crime reports from 1992- <br />2004 with detailed location information from the Los Angeles Police Department (LAPD) <br />and a database of all residential property transactions in Los Angeles County between <br />January 1980 and June 2000 from DataQuick, together with census tract demographic <br />data from the 1990 and 2000 decennial census, to understand the magnitude and spatial <br />distribution of the effect of alcohol outlets on crime and urban decay. <br />The variation in the geographical allocation of off -sale retail alcohol outlets over <br />time is used to identify the causal impact of alcohol outlets on crime and urban decay. <br />More specifically, I look at the change in the number of violent and property crimes per <br />square mile per month (from here on to be referred to as the crime density for simplicity) <br />at varying distances (from 0 to 0.5 miles) away from the outlet 24 months before and <br />after the opening or closing of the outlet. By limiting the sample to neighborhoods that <br />experience at least one outlet opening (or closing) during the time frames of the crime <br />(January 1992 -December 2004) and residential property transaction (January 1980 -June <br />2000) data sets, this event study (Fama et al., 1969; Binder, 1998) specification estimates <br />changes in crime density across areas that are more similar to one another than to other <br />areas in the city. Moreover, I allow for a different time trend before and after the event, <br />outlet tract specific time trends, and include controls for the number of existing outlets in <br />the neighborhood, time fixed effects as well as individual outlet fixed effects. While the <br />original intent was to conduct an event study estimating monthly coefficients following <br />Jacobson, LaLonde and Sullivan (1993), the noisiness of reported crime data led to the <br />use of between one and four estimated coefficients to summarize the effect of alcohol <br />outlet openings and closings over the 49 month interval that I study. <br />3 <br />