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Rachel Juba <br />From: Barajas, Lisa <Lisa.Barajas@metc.state.mn.us> <br />Sent: Wednesday, February 19, 2014 3:31 PM <br />To: Barajas, Lisa <br />Subject: RE: Update to Regional Forecasts <br />Follow Up Flag: Follow up <br />Flag Status: Flagged <br />Good afternoon, <br />As I mentioned last week, the Council will discuss DRAFT local forecasts for public comment at today's committee of <br />the whole meeting. You can find the draft local forecasts on our website: <br />http://stats.metc.state.mn.us/stats/forecasts204O.aspx <br />Our forecast team has made improvement to the model, informed by discussions with you and other local governments, <br />including: <br />f Corrected data about residential land consumption rates <br />Refreshed projections of regional total households, population, and average household sizes, reducing the <br />overall growth in households across the region <br />Revised development costs to include land values and increased costs of development <br />Stricter tracking of developed and available land supplies <br />• Stricter definition of maximum land use capacities, in both rural and urban areas <br />• Consideration of recent platting activity to identify current growth areas <br />We saw some common themes in the comments: many suburban communities and rural centers said that local <br />forecasts were too low, while many closer in suburbs said that local forecasts were more than what local land supply <br />could handle. These adjustments rebalance the forecasted growth in the region. <br />The public comment draft of Thrive MSP 2040 will be reviewed and adopted by the Council at their regular meeting <br />next week, February 26, 2013, and these forecasts will be included in that draft. Over the next two months, through <br />April 28, we welcome your feedback and discussion of the forecasts and the public comment draft of Thrive. The Council <br />will consider adoption of Thrive and regional and local forecasts near the end of May. <br />Again, if you have more specific questions about forecasts in your community, or want to discuss anything, please feel <br />free to give me a call. <br />Thanks, and have a great day! <br />LisaBeth Barajas <br />Manager I Local Planning Assistance <br />P. 651,602.1895 1 F. 651.602.1674 <br />From: Barajas, Lisa <br />Sent: Friday, February 14, 2014 10:01 AM <br />To: Barajas, Lisa <br />Subject: Update to Regional Forecasts <br />Good morning, <br />