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Demographic Trends/Forecasts <br />The population within the District is projected to increase from an estimate of 52,050 in 1996 to <br />55,818 in 2000. The majority of the population growth is expected in Hugo, Lino Lakes, and <br />North Oaks. The population age projections within the district are displayed in the following <br />forecast based on Metro Area trends. <br />The number of youth ages 0-14 (prime youth sports participants) will decline (4%) between 2000-2010. <br />The number of youth ages 15-24 will increase (28%) between 2000-2010. <br />The number of adults ages 25-34 (prime adult sports participants) will increase slightly (+i%) between <br />2000-2010. <br />The number of adults ages 3549 will decrease (-5%) between 2000 and 2010. <br />The number of adults ages 50-64 (active older adults) is forecast to increase (48%) between 2000 and <br />2010. <br />The number of adults ages 65-74 (active seniors) will increase (32%) between 2000 and 2010 and will <br />continue to increase for the next 25 years. <br />The number of adults ages 75+ (active seniors) will increase (8%) between 2000 and 2010. <br />'Metropolitan Council <br />Population Estimates and Forecasts <br />1996 2000 2010 t.,.,.a. # <br />Birchwood Village <br />1,027 <br />970 <br />940 <br />Stable <br />Gem Lake <br />452 <br />430 <br />460 <br />Stable <br />Hugo(624)* <br />1659 <br />2634 <br />5709 <br />Growth <br />Lino Lakes(624)* <br />503 <br />798 <br />1267 <br />Growth <br />North Oaks(624)* <br />450 <br />694 <br />1069 <br />Growth <br />Vadnais Hgts. (624)* <br />11,645 <br />13,492 <br />15,001 <br />Slight growth <br />White Bear Lake <br />25,611 <br />24,300 <br />23,200 <br />Stable <br />White Bear Twp. <br />10,703 <br />12,500 <br />13,700 <br />Slight growth <br />Total <br />52,050 <br />55,818 <br />61,346 <br />Steady growth <br />Population within school district 624 estimated for study based on Met Council and City staff projections. <br />The White Bear Lake School District is a unique community due to the stable population of White <br />Bear Lake, Vadnais Heights, and White Bear township, and the projected population surge in the <br />north and west portion of the district, mainly Hugo, Lino Lakes, and North Oaks. <br />As the area's population increases, the need for more recreational facilities will also increase, <br />creating additional shortages. Within the growth areas, all age groups will require additional <br />facilities and programs. <br />In general, district -wide, the biggest population growth segments will be active older adults, <br />seniors and young adults. The expanding senior population will increase demand for facilities <br />such as indoor and outdoor walking areas and daytime gym space. The athletic facility needs <br />should focus on meeting the current shortfall in facilities for youth and adults, and the projected <br />shortages in respect to the growing areas. <br />ff[t?I�OIIr, . <br />6 <br />