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The Consultant will utilize census data, 1990 Travel Behavior Inventory (TBI) data, Metro <br />Transit ridership data, and the regional Travel Demand Forecast Model data to assess study <br />area travel trends including traffic volumes on major roadway facilities, transit ridership, study <br />area trip origin /destination, auto occupancy rates, trip purpose, etc.... <br />Demographics <br />The Consultant will utilize census data, 1990 TBI data, Metropolitan Council data, and the State <br />Demographer's Office data to assess study area demographic trends including population, <br />households (# & size), employment, auto ownership, income, etc... <br />Land Use Development <br />The Consultant will utilize study area building permit data, assessor information, etc... to assess <br />study area development trends. <br />Deliverable: Technical memorandum documenting the market analysis methodology and results. <br />Task III: Development of Transit /Land Use Scenarios <br />The Consultant will work with study area city /township staff, Metro Transit staff, and the <br />development community to identify a range of transit /land use scenarios for the study area. It is <br />anticipated that at least three scenarios will be developed. The scenarios are assumed to include, at <br />a minimum, one scenario based upon current trends and another based upon the aggressive <br />application of the region's smart growth principles. <br />For each city and township, the Consultant will identify the and use and transit <br />service /infrastructure changes appropriate for each scenario. This step will include the <br />identification of potential redevelopment areas and an analysis of the density required to support <br />increased transit investments. <br />Deliverable: Technical memorandum documenting the process, describing the scenarios, and <br />identifying the implications. <br />Task IV: 2010 & 2020 Travel Demand Forecast <br />The Consultant will update and utilize the region's four -step travel demand model for evaluating the <br />ridership anticipated to result from all scenarios developed as part of Task III. This ridership <br />analysis will be conducted using the enhanced regional travel model developed as a part of the <br />Transit 2020 Master P /an. <br />Deliverable: Technical memorandum documenting the ridership forecasting methodology and <br />results. <br />Task V: Cost Estimates <br />The Consultant will develop capital and operations /maintenance cost estimates for the transit <br />service and infrastructure improvements for all scenarios. <br />Deliverable: Technic& memorandum documenting the cost estimating methodology and results. <br />C lkwalker \nediagonai \plan \draftscopel .doc <br />Page 15 <br />